Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-23 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

65% 36% -$2,057

Other

28% 23% -$474

Crypto

7% 50% -$1,068

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	29	$4.2K	3,050	3,050	+0	No	+$189	03-26 17:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	14	$3.9K	4,818	4,318	+500	No	-$16	01-31 12:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	33	$3.8K	4,852	1,914	+2,938	Yes	-$1,031	04-07 23:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$3.5K	2,266	2,135	+131	Yes	+$356	04-07 23:27
bitcoin up or down on january 30	44	$2.1K	11,649	10,649	+1,000	Down	-$1,071	01-30 15:44
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	17	$2.1K	2,799	2,799	+0	No	+$40	01-29 18:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$1.5K	1,368	1,368	-0	Yes	-$554	04-07 23:49
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	6	$1.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	-$140	03-29 09:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	12	$1.3K	920	920	+0	Yes	-$1	03-25 19:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	-$10	02-06 02:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	28	$939	2,750	2,750	+0	No	-$278	04-07 22:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$760	450	450	+0	No	+$41	03-26 13:47
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$748	940	940	+0	No	+$154	03-23 12:57
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	20	$723	3,163	3,263	-100	No	-$151	03-17 23:12
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	6	$709	750	750	+0	No	-$46	03-25 11:15
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	10	$648	1,125	1,125	+0	No	-$242	03-17 23:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	30	$553	444	500	-56	No	-$18	03-14 22:29
will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	7	$481	502	310	+192	Yes	+$98	03-13 12:31
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	5	$474	706	706	+0	No	-$196	04-09 15:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	8	$468	256	256	+0	Yes	+$41	04-10 10:46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	6	$412	2,934	0	+2,934	Yes	-$412	03-01 00:01
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	11	$406	1,466	1,712	-246	Yes	+$32	04-09 15:55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$372	400	400	+0	Yes	+$140	03-02 21:51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3	$331	500	500	+0	Yes	-$241	04-05 09:10
bitcoin up or down on february 2	6	$317	250	250	+0	Up	+$2	02-02 01:16
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$309	400	400	+0	No	-$100	03-18 10:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$290	300	300	+0	Yes	+$50	03-07 18:50
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	5	$285	250	250	+0	No	+$0	03-24 01:23
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	38	$222	5,296	4,317	+980	No	-$85	04-09 16:14
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$175	250	250	+0	No	-$65	03-18 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 13:30:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0xf6cd82…
05-03 20:48:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0xca8073…
05-03 20:41:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x96e6b0…
05-03 20:39:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	274	11¢	$30	0xea9adb…
05-03 15:10:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x62dc6f…
04-14 19:04:54	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xdccb06…
04-14 18:21:46	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xf4207c…
04-10 22:23:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xf4cd39…
04-10 16:06:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xc08aee…
04-10 16:06:21	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd712f1…
04-10 16:04:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x67ebf5…
04-10 15:57:07	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0xefa548…
04-10 15:54:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa1394c…
04-10 10:46:21	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x28dd2b…
04-10 10:46:01	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x54d863…
04-10 10:45:53	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xad678e…
04-10 10:45:39	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2305b1…
04-09 16:14:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	980	1¢	$13	0xc0d522…
04-09 15:55:33	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xa73c5c…
04-09 15:55:21	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,317	2¢	$68	0x9e44b2…
04-09 15:54:47	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	430	7¢	$30	0xfd55db…
04-09 15:54:07	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	696	20¢	$137	0xdae565…
04-09 15:46:25	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xff5c54…
04-09 15:16:43	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x7a077b…
04-09 15:14:35	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x1883ad…
04-09 15:13:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xb29674…
04-09 15:13:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x75b64f…
04-09 11:38:59	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	59	16¢	$9	0x7dc698…
04-09 11:34:19	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x204601…
04-09 11:34:17	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	180	16¢	$29	0x0579bd…
04-09 07:50:03	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	962	15¢	$144	0x2e79ee…
04-09 05:57:19	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0xe6dfb7…
04-09 01:39:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xab098b…
04-08 21:51:57	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	579	48¢	$280	0x833b94…
04-08 21:38:47	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	107	44¢	$47	0xa0e101…
04-08 18:54:25	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x89c198…
04-08 17:43:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$6	0x544430…
04-08 15:23:03	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x9c5434…
04-08 15:18:27	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe1d71d…
04-08 15:18:27	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x1b75d5…
04-08 14:51:43	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xf08750…
04-08 14:44:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xd7bd9d…
04-08 14:44:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xd6761e…
04-08 14:44:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x9d72c2…
04-08 14:44:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x308cb1…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xeb6355…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xbb8eef…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x7a28a0…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x5ae9b5…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4cb4b8…
04-08 14:44:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x26fc59…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe0b488…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xdbda42…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xbab4a5…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xb4ba6c…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8fec96…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x7c6a14…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x700ca3…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x6d0c82…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x302a0a…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x180cc9…
04-08 14:44:43	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x082567…
04-08 14:44:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xf0da62…
04-08 14:44:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x5b7c29…
04-08 14:44:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5297aa…
04-08 14:44:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x132e83…
04-08 14:44:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x09835c…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	4¢	$32	0xfc3f26…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xb0de86…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x87dc04…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7da795…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x751364…
04-08 14:44:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x17c024…
04-08 14:36:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$17	0xdbe90d…
04-08 14:28:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$24	0x49c20a…
04-07 23:49:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	1,068	28¢	$294	0xf21936…
04-07 23:27:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0xf71c88…
04-07 23:14:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	201	3¢	$6	0xbc4a10…
04-07 23:14:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	196	3¢	$6	0xf0c005…
04-07 23:14:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xed0ceb…
04-07 23:14:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	576	3¢	$18	0x6e094e…
04-07 22:52:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x904b0e…
04-07 22:35:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,242	10¢	$224	0x35905f…
04-07 22:31:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	85	21¢	$18	0xcbd9b5…
04-07 22:30:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xa45215…
04-07 22:29:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x42e8f0…
04-07 22:28:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0x512137…
04-07 22:27:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	79	46¢	$36	0x5672bb…
04-07 22:27:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x43ac9e…
04-07 22:23:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	300	65¢	$195	0x421feb…
04-07 22:14:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xdbf569…
04-07 22:02:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xdd5627…
04-07 22:01:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	350	21¢	$74	0xe2921c…
04-07 21:42:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	130	73¢	$95	0xd35379…
04-07 21:39:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	400	75¢	$299	0x68148a…
04-07 21:24:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	88	73¢	$64	0x913a4f…
04-07 21:18:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x1b406f…
04-07 21:18:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa72668…
04-07 21:17:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xed2b51…
04-07 21:17:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xaae061…