Dishonest-Association — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$368

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

254

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$2.86M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$6.26K

Open exposure

$68.0K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

87% 69% +$66,170

Politics

7% 17% -$1,760

Sports

6% 54% -$55,578

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+73,543	$68,395	92¢	$68.0K	-$368	10-29 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp zverev sinner 2026 04 11	20	$135.3K	68,681	68,622	+59	Jannik Sinner	+$1,892	04-11 13:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$116.5K	79,433	79,433	+0	open	—	10-27 22:09
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$101.5K	54,835	54,835	+0	Yes	+$1,723	06-22 22:41
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	4	$97.9K	58,156	58,156	+0	Djokovic	-$6,734	01-30 13:10
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	5	$88.6K	58,536	58,536	+0	Paraguay	-$12,051	06-29 21:19
atp alcaraz vachero 2026 04 11	2	$70.2K	75,473	0	+75,473	Carlos Alcaraz	+$5,283	04-11 13:24
atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	3	$69.0K	35,198	35,198	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1,373	07-01 15:27
atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	9	$68.8K	46,018	46,018	+0	Otto Virtanen	-$4,293	06-30 14:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$68.4K	73,543	0	+73,543	open	—	10-29 01:06
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz	3	$67.9K	73,756	0	+73,756	Carlos Alcaraz	+$5,894	09-03 00:01
wta sabalen baptist 2026 03 25	1	$61.3K	63,813	0	+63,813	Aryna Sabalenka	+$2,513	03-25 23:52
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	4	$55.9K	38,303	38,303	+0	Ben Shelton	-$4,073	09-09 06:20
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 liv	1	$54.1K	76,136	0	+76,136	Yes	+$22,004	02-27 23:47
wta swiatek wan 2026 08 30	3	$52.0K	54,645	0	+54,645	Iga Swiatek	+$2,645	08-31 14:47
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09	1	$50.0K	51,897	0	+51,897	Carlos Alcaraz	+$1,897	03-09 22:29
US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci	1	$50.0K	56,180	0	+56,180	Taylor Fritz	+$6,180	09-03 11:43
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	6	$48.0K	56,124	0	+56,124	Alcaraz	+$8,124	01-27 06:27
atp alcaraz paul 2026 01 25	9	$43.1K	47,459	0	+47,459	Alcaraz	+$4,332	01-25 01:00
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$40.6K	43,151	0	+43,151	Argentina	+$2,589	07-03 16:12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$40.0K	44,444	0	+44,444	Yes	+$4,444	05-18 13:06
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$40.0K	49,082	0	+49,082	Sean Strickland	-$40,000	05-10 02:07
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 liv	1	$40.0K	51,898	0	+51,898	No	-$39,962	03-15 06:48
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	3	$38.9K	44,168	0	+44,168	Spain	+$5,284	07-02 16:21
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	3	$37.1K	41,176	6,000	+35,176	Alcaraz	+$2,299	01-30 07:05
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	1	$35.4K	56,143	0	+56,143	Yes	+$20,773	03-18 12:57
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$35.0K	39,773	0	+39,773	England	+$4,773	07-01 15:28
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$34.7K	59,756	0	+59,756	Yes	+$25,097	06-17 18:14
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	2	$34.5K	19,481	19,481	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$4,461	06-06 15:57
atp alcaraz norrie 2026 03 12	3	$30.8K	15,865	15,865	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$849	03-13 05:46
atp shelton sinner 2026 01 28	2	$30.8K	34,262	0	+34,262	Sinner	+$3,426	01-28 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:06:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	73,543	93¢	$68,395	0xe2a5dd…
10-27 22:09:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12,752	61¢	$7,815	0xa5d65f…
10-27 14:30:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12,752	78¢	$10,000	0xe1360b…
10-27 06:27:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x7e76e6…
10-27 06:27:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	66,646	73¢	$48,652	0x104f8c…
10-26 14:33:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,656	75¢	$8,000	0x2f3eed…
10-26 14:29:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	56,026	75¢	$42,000	0x4fdd25…
10-26 08:00:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,791	26¢	$1,000	0x42e448…
10-26 07:59:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	140	21¢	$30	0x377f9f…
10-26 07:57:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,962	25¢	$1,000	0x44de12…
10-26 07:57:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,250	24¢	$1,000	0x48e59f…
10-11 13:31:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	9,091	55¢	$5,000	0x299231…
10-11 13:25:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	7,273	55¢	$4,000	0x8c483a…
09-20 12:26:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	20,548	73¢	$15,000	0xb25182…
09-15 12:54:24	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x279ea1…
09-15 12:53:10	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	3,636	55¢	$2,000	0x137976…
09-15 02:28:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,167	17¢	$708	0x3e1289…
09-13 12:07:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	28,889	45¢	$13,000	0xfdd541…
09-13 06:56:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,167	24¢	$1,000	0x648264…
09-09 23:40:06	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5,682	88¢	$5,000	0x718069…
09-09 23:39:49	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alexander Zverev	BUY	3,409	88¢	$3,000	0x1c86f9…
09-09 06:20:40	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	19,152	68¢	$12,936	0x26ba01…
09-09 06:20:19	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	19,152	68¢	$12,991	0xdf5082…
09-09 02:32:33	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	12,987	77¢	$10,000	0x4134d8…
09-08 13:53:42	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	25,316	79¢	$20,000	0x011504…
09-04 14:20:57	wta sabalen rakhimo 2026 09 04	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	10,526	95¢	$10,000	0x5f6466…
09-03 11:43:09	US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci	Taylor Fritz	BUY	56,180	89¢	$50,000	0xf4d707…
09-03 00:01:40	US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	4,239	92¢	$3,900	0x7dc5ea…
09-03 00:00:36	US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	4,340	92¢	$4,000	0x7521e6…
09-03 00:00:18	US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	65,177	92¢	$59,963	0xeb99ba…
08-31 14:47:06	wta swiatek wan 2026 08 30	Iga Swiatek	BUY	2,128	94¢	$2,000	0x7bea9a…
08-31 14:46:33	wta swiatek wan 2026 08 30	Iga Swiatek	BUY	13,904	97¢	$13,418	0xb9e0ce…
08-31 14:46:31	wta swiatek wan 2026 08 30	Iga Swiatek	BUY	38,613	95¢	$36,582	0x4e4bc0…
08-29 11:57:06	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Umar Nurmagomedov	BUY	11,905	84¢	$10,000	0x1eaa33…
08-16 02:48:45	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0x827f08…
08-16 01:11:10	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	11,995	74¢	$8,876	0x7eed46…
08-16 01:10:48	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15 win by submission	Yes	BUY	2,857	35¢	$1,000	0x82071d…
08-15 08:38:37	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15 win by submission	Yes	BUY	695	36¢	$250	0x259b87…
07-15 18:57:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	9,302	54¢	$5,000	0x38c4e2…
07-12 05:08:11	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5,250	80¢	$4,200	0x12e94a…
07-12 03:25:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	870	23¢	$200	0xbd1faf…
07-12 03:24:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	193	55¢	$106	0x665df0…
07-12 02:59:58	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x36661c…
07-12 02:47:58	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6,154	81¢	$5,000	0x3973f6…
07-12 02:46:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6,667	30¢	$2,000	0xfe5470…
07-12 02:45:55	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	4,717	53¢	$2,500	0x87b235…
07-12 02:45:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,192	84¢	$1,000	0x33c655…
07-12 02:44:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6,006	83¢	$5,000	0x0f7035…
07-11 09:48:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	15,444	65¢	$10,000	0xded843…
07-09 21:41:11	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	20,000	2¢	$500	0xebd179…
07-09 21:40:52	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	20,081	2¢	$500	0x02a050…
07-09 21:40:29	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35,201	3¢	$1,000	0x0bfb15…
07-07 12:32:58	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10,657	94¢	$10,000	0x193499…
07-04 13:21:46	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	17,568	74¢	$13,000	0x361f32…
07-03 16:12:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	32,513	94¢	$30,562	0x0c1012…
07-03 15:22:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10,638	94¢	$10,000	0xad1186…
07-02 16:21:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10,077	88¢	$8,883	0x84039a…
07-02 16:21:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	21,399	88¢	$18,832	0xd242ff…
07-02 16:21:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	12,691	88¢	$11,168	0x613848…
07-01 15:28:59	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	39,773	88¢	$35,000	0x2f48f4…
07-01 15:27:28	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	SELL	35,198	100¢	$35,163	0xd50063…
07-01 07:55:53	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	BUY	823	96¢	$790	0x579edc…
07-01 07:55:22	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	BUY	34,375	96¢	$33,000	0x518c57…
06-30 16:22:16	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	3,774	53¢	$2,000	0x6ab887…
06-30 14:48:38	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	SELL	10,018	68¢	$6,813	0xff328d…
06-30 14:48:23	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	SELL	10,000	67¢	$6,705	0xe37dd3…
06-30 14:48:07	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	SELL	10,000	69¢	$6,889	0x00ae3e…
06-30 14:47:47	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	SELL	6,000	69¢	$4,140	0xb7a4f5…
06-30 14:17:47	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	SELL	10,000	77¢	$7,700	0xbdc6e8…
06-30 02:35:05	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,333	75¢	$1,000	0x8a2287…
06-30 02:31:44	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x735ffb…
06-30 02:31:34	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	BUY	1,923	78¢	$1,500	0xf32b73…
06-30 02:30:58	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	BUY	32,537	79¢	$25,791	0x9072f5…
06-30 02:30:58	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	BUY	11,507	80¢	$9,209	0x23c554…
06-29 21:19:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	999	66¢	$659	0x23714f…
06-29 21:19:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	11,489	65¢	$7,468	0x29248b…
06-29 21:19:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	35,542	66¢	$23,373	0x008e68…
06-29 21:18:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	10,506	65¢	$6,791	0xaaffe5…
06-29 14:19:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	58,536	86¢	$50,341	0x6c0d4d…
06-24 02:14:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0x44b964…
06-23 13:02:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	9,767	86¢	$8,400	0x3b56de…
06-23 04:09:13	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x97084d…
06-22 22:41:53	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	54,835	94¢	$51,623	0x379fe7…
06-22 13:13:26	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	54,835	91¢	$49,900	0x0a37f9…
06-22 13:12:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2,794	68¢	$1,900	0x2cdea1…
06-21 00:07:11	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5,952	84¢	$5,000	0xf9ac91…
06-17 18:14:08	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	59,756	58¢	$34,658	0xc967b7…
06-15 23:41:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	62,112	17¢	$10,588	0x5bb140…
06-15 11:52:45	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16,179	92¢	$14,885	0x076fc9…
06-15 11:49:57	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62,112	16¢	$10,000	0xdbb1b3…
06-15 05:00:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	SELL	8,910	20¢	$1,782	0xde70ba…
06-15 04:59:31	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	SELL	9,608	10¢	$953	0x102ff8…
06-15 02:03:42	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	602	77¢	$463	0xc9e463…
06-15 02:03:27	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x4c0570…
06-14 15:01:48	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	21,167	94¢	$20,000	0xfa6403…
06-13 23:25:37	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	7,692	65¢	$5,000	0x68ba3c…
06-13 23:25:04	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	BUY	6,173	81¢	$5,000	0x1cc76f…
06-13 23:24:42	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	8,475	36¢	$3,076	0x4c7ec0…
06-13 17:18:36	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8,475	59¢	$5,000	0xa6677c…
06-13 17:17:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	12,346	81¢	$10,000	0xe51c99…