Quiet-Wrist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$51.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

$171

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-04 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

42% 44% +$236

Other

26% 0% $-195

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

14% 0% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-250	$-143	68¢	$-171	$-29	06-01 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.1K	9,897	9,897	+0	open	—	06-04 00:12
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$4.0K	10,707	0	+10,707	open	—	04-14 13:36
76ers vs. Celtics	4	$3.8K	3,101	3,101	+0	open	—	05-03 02:23
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	5	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-16 04:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	05-31 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$2.8K	1,675	1,675	+0	open	—	04-24 19:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$2.7K	1,827	1,827	+0	open	—	04-30 02:58
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,511	0	+2,511	open	—	04-27 16:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.2K	600	1,614	-1,014	open	—	06-01 12:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$2.0K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	04-08 01:48
btc updown 5m 1776049800	4	$2.0K	3,834	0	+3,834	open	—	04-13 03:09
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$2.0K	1,447	1,447	+0	open	—	05-02 03:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-28 21:46
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	3	$1.0K	711	686	+25	open	—	05-04 02:25
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5	2	$1000	1,183	0	+1,183	open	—	05-02 19:06
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	2	$899	541	536	+4	open	—	04-07 02:52
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$850	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	04-30 17:52
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12	2	$727	1,369	1,349	+20	open	—	04-13 02:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$576	572	572	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	10	$556	451	451	+0	open	—	04-07 22:55
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$500	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	05-01 23:16
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12 spread home 6pt5	1	$500	759	0	+759	open	—	04-13 02:49
nba okc lal 2026 04 07 spread away 16pt5	3	$451	828	0	+828	open	—	04-08 01:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$434	628	628	+0	open	—	04-13 02:46
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	4	$432	354	352	+1	open	—	04-08 21:23
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	1	$357	700	0	+700	open	—	05-17 12:54
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	2	$345	231	231	+0	Under	+$95	05-06 02:50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$334	341	335	+6	open	—	04-30 17:05
btc updown 5m 1775440500	2	$283	181	176	+5	open	—	04-06 02:00
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$250	294	0	+294	Pistons	+$44	05-05 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:17:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x87d4c2…
06-04 00:12:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0x41e20c…
06-01 18:10:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf645e5…
06-01 17:03:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,141	0¢	$4	0x7333d8…
06-01 12:35:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,141	80¢	$3,300	0x41dd1b…
06-01 12:34:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	57¢	$143	0x776555…
06-01 12:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,614	100¢	$1,610	0xd82de3…
06-01 12:34:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	757	20¢	$151	0xcc1ad9…
06-01 02:26:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	732	89¢	$653	0x684355…
06-01 02:26:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x575cef…
05-31 18:33:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,750	99¢	$1,734	0xd95c87…
05-30 21:55:59	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf187ce…
05-28 23:23:39	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd4082b…
05-28 21:48:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	750	89¢	$668	0x9de1fc…
05-28 21:46:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	838	84¢	$704	0x0e1e8b…
05-28 21:27:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0x621e8c…
05-28 18:27:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0313eb…
05-28 18:27:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9ad459…
05-28 18:26:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x0f86a2…
05-28 17:11:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x997b00…
05-28 16:51:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$834	0xc9f4a8…
05-26 23:00:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x20ed90…
05-25 22:21:54	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x6c7b63…
05-24 23:56:25	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x56e7d9…
05-22 23:58:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x58b3e4…
05-22 21:27:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	220	46¢	$101	0x109889…
05-20 21:13:46	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0x8045fb…
05-20 03:27:10	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x6fb0b6…
05-19 22:06:38	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	72	49¢	$35	0x907791…
05-18 14:07:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	600	95¢	$572	0xd83bd5…
05-17 12:54:56	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0x3822b7…
05-16 04:43:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x21a5bd…
05-16 04:29:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x26fabe…
05-12 00:36:49	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	155	54¢	$84	0x3ed93b…
05-11 19:12:50	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0xf99ece…
05-11 15:39:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0x64ffca…
05-11 04:49:32	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0x905532…
05-11 02:33:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	192	79¢	$152	0x9d8ea6…
05-11 02:29:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	58	79¢	$46	0x601fe6…
05-11 02:22:25	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0x58c336…
05-11 01:30:28	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x75c58f…
05-11 01:30:13	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x7befb1…
05-10 21:29:14	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x997c7b…
05-09 23:55:40	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe5d1ea…
05-09 22:01:18	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	160	53¢	$85	0xdb919e…
05-09 18:33:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xa657d5…
05-09 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x27d60d…
05-09 17:58:31	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	123	53¢	$65	0x7ee961…
05-09 17:58:10	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x39b46a…
05-08 22:42:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	1,244	80¢	$1,000	0xf792ca…
05-08 20:54:05	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x84700a…
05-08 20:53:18	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	139	54¢	$75	0xb68429…
05-08 17:11:34	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd5efcb…
05-08 11:00:11	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	113	19¢	$22	0xed18b7…
05-08 09:30:52	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xe02140…
05-08 09:04:58	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xfe0e14…
05-08 08:48:40	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xb1d6ab…
05-08 08:26:25	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x685a52…
05-08 07:45:07	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x4b4dde…
05-08 07:33:02	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf4d1a7…
05-08 06:34:28	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd54cb1…
05-08 06:24:33	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb0c94d…
05-08 05:23:32	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x10677c…
05-08 04:24:41	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x762a6f…
05-08 01:32:34	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0xf75670…
05-07 01:38:05	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x36b3cb…
05-07 01:37:57	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	SELL	64	69¢	$44	0x771f71…
05-07 01:17:21	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x96e263…
05-06 22:44:35	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x70fd3e…
05-06 02:50:40	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	231	95¢	$220	0x4a904c…
05-05 23:38:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0xb71735…
05-05 23:36:14	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	231	54¢	$125	0xad451c…
05-05 15:07:08	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	174	72¢	$125	0xe6bfa5…
05-05 15:03:16	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	203	37¢	$75	0x237ac2…
05-05 00:25:16	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xdf4499…
05-04 21:48:56	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0x4b70f0…
05-04 18:34:40	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	PlayTime	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xdca969…
05-04 18:17:14	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	against All authority	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x275b76…
05-04 17:49:42	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	PlayTime	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x05e97b…
05-04 02:30:32	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	206	48¢	$100	0xeb9c0d…
05-04 02:25:12	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9a479c…
05-04 02:19:16	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	686	99¢	$679	0x629d5e…
05-03 22:30:38	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	686	51¢	$350	0x9d8f9c…
05-03 20:22:38	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x88c0f6…
05-03 20:22:06	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	SELL	169	14¢	$24	0xfa8c93…
05-03 16:41:56	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x891434…
05-03 03:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x51c26d…
05-03 02:23:02	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	2,101	100¢	$2,099	0x00536c…
05-03 01:46:40	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	1,000	58¢	$580	0x034800…
05-02 22:46:30	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	1,538	39¢	$600	0x5b2266…
05-02 19:58:36	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	SELL	111	74¢	$82	0x7f1e8c…
05-02 19:45:58	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0x7d6011…
05-02 19:09:04	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf9cd57…
05-02 19:06:28	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	554	90¢	$500	0x19af52…
05-02 19:05:50	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	629	79¢	$500	0x84aa1e…
05-02 15:22:16	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9b338a…
05-02 15:14:26	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x325b17…
05-02 04:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x18e0ac…
05-02 03:56:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1,447	100¢	$1,443	0xdc9d73…
05-02 01:32:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xfa9750…