Hidden-Separation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

127

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-18 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 86% -$314

Other

49% 57% -$1,959

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$34	07-18 08:22
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$2.5K	2,763	2,763	+0	open	—	10-18 18:21
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5	8	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$210	05-02 18:23
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	10	$984	900	823	+77	Under	-$18	04-29 20:36
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	3	$937	800	789	+11	Under	+$52	04-27 20:17
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	4	$828	600	600	+0	Over	+$132	05-20 19:43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$798	900	0	+900	Yes	+$102	04-28 20:42
epl bri che 2026 04 21 total 3pt5	8	$767	500	496	+4	Under	+$120	04-21 20:37
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	6	$745	556	556	+0	Over	+$145	06-24 22:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$701	2,724	0	+2,724	No	-$701	09-16 14:16
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$650	397	397	+0	Argentina	+$49	07-12 01:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	5	$643	618	618	+0	No	-$173	10-12 06:26
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	1	$581	700	0	+700	Over	-$581	05-04 20:14
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	2	$572	400	400	+0	Over	+$124	06-16 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	2	$556	371	371	+0	Up	+$156	08-24 13:10
bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	11	$528	400	400	+0	Down	+$128	09-15 04:57
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	2	$500	385	385	+0	Yes	+$100	09-03 15:13
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	5	$481	323	323	+0	Under	+$81	06-13 22:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	7	$451	344	344	+0	Up	+$52	08-17 14:51
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	2	$439	227	227	+0	Under	+$11	07-15 20:30
Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5	3	$408	260	260	+0	Under	+$8	09-10 20:36
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	3	$405	600	600	+0	No	-$249	06-20 21:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 22:00 UTC	1	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	01-13 22:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:45 UTC	2	$392	400	0	+400	Up	+$8	01-13 20:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 14:00 UTC	1	$391	500	0	+500	Down	-$391	01-15 14:14
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	1	$301	485	0	+485	Under	-$301	07-04 21:42
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	8	$300	1,765	0	+1,765	Under	-$300	07-07 20:47
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	1	$300	405	0	+405	Over	-$300	05-19 20:32
uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 total 1pt5	2	$286	600	44	+556	Over	+$350	03-19 21:44
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	4	$279	235	235	+0	Under	-$123	07-09 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:21:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,520	32¢	$492	0x441ec3…
10-12 06:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	618	38¢	$235	0xb0ba11…
10-08 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0x19ff9b…
10-07 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	44	42¢	$18	0xf4eab4…
10-07 21:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x240bc9…
10-06 06:20:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	548	56¢	$307	0xddc820…
10-06 00:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x9e0928…
10-05 22:01:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	56¢	$66	0x3cf873…
10-05 14:29:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	56¢	$213	0x9c0d86…
10-05 14:19:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0e239a…
10-05 14:11:29	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	299	66¢	$197	0xefe841…
10-05 12:29:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xbcea46…
10-05 07:55:05	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x074149…
10-05 07:54:20	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x07bb56…
10-05 07:19:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x5619a5…
10-01 08:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,243	48¢	$597	0x014937…
09-22 23:13:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	59¢	$134	0x855b86…
09-22 12:11:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	57¢	$54	0x0d79a4…
09-22 10:08:43	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x21a3a1…
09-21 07:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x2b5433…
09-21 07:33:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xbd58d0…
09-21 06:11:55	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	621	40¢	$249	0xb1c9fb…
09-20 22:28:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	445	45¢	$200	0xd9a8fa…
09-19 19:09:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x33ee47…
09-16 14:16:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	910	11¢	$100	0x0ec2f1…
09-15 04:57:49	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	387	82¢	$317	0x73ce87…
09-15 04:45:07	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x79ad6c…
09-15 04:43:27	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0f8be8…
09-15 04:42:30	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x913f68…
09-15 04:37:52	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x26a219…
09-15 04:37:51	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x49e9e8…
09-14 22:39:06	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	117	50¢	$58	0x83cebd…
09-14 22:38:58	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8f0248…
09-14 22:36:10	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xb9a084…
09-14 22:30:43	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb6386d…
09-14 22:28:39	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xafa704…
09-14 19:34:06	Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb9c4ba…
09-14 19:34:06	Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	292	68¢	$199	0x16c92c…
09-14 19:31:39	Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfef0f0…
09-13 15:40:57	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5554f0…
09-13 15:40:24	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x05f19a…
09-11 13:04:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,112	18¢	$200	0x39e5be…
09-10 20:36:09	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	259	80¢	$207	0x04c4b9…
09-10 20:35:58	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x86de8e…
09-10 19:32:13	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x7a30ca…
09-08 14:22:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x2a97d5…
09-05 13:19:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x411283…
09-03 15:13:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	385	78¢	$300	0x82cdeb…
09-03 07:50:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x7a8d75…
08-28 22:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	926	2¢	$16	0x0a4853…
08-28 02:18:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	270	22¢	$58	0x3a9723…
08-28 02:18:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x97e515…
08-28 00:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	625	22¢	$135	0x71e979…
08-28 00:05:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0d706b…
08-28 00:04:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf140f6…
08-28 00:02:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd567ea…
08-28 00:02:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x634e7e…
08-28 00:02:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf4b6f8…
08-28 00:01:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x215fcd…
08-24 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Up	SELL	371	96¢	$356	0x7cad02…
08-23 19:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0x147a6d…
08-22 15:42:19	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xb7ef01…
08-22 15:36:09	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	63¢	$52	0xab5fe9…
08-22 15:36:01	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9a7ac2…
08-17 14:51:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa4e8ce…
08-17 14:51:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	344	73¢	$251	0xd5c04a…
08-17 13:36:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x0e1105…
08-17 13:35:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x160bce…
08-17 13:35:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xe211b8…
08-17 13:34:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xdf9946…
08-17 13:34:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xb9fbd2…
08-17 09:46:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x3cbe70…
07-18 08:22:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,904	0x631840…
07-15 20:30:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0x7f9387…
07-15 19:18:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	227	94¢	$214	0x600c38…
07-15 11:53:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,870	0x267017…
07-14 19:23:20	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$198	0x6a1236…
07-12 01:37:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x360eb4…
07-12 01:37:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	238	88¢	$210	0xee50c6…
07-12 01:37:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	47	88¢	$42	0xea776b…
07-12 01:37:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	95	88¢	$84	0x08d768…
07-12 01:35:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xc2b40e…
07-12 01:34:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	120	49¢	$59	0xf67f00…
07-12 00:43:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x72db95…
07-12 00:42:16	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	397	76¢	$301	0x08083a…
07-11 21:21:38	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc54550…
07-09 21:30:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	235	33¢	$78	0xb2362b…
07-09 21:23:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0xe9c380…
07-09 21:23:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	85¢	$27	0x01fc95…
07-09 21:23:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	117	86¢	$101	0x64b86b…
07-07 20:47:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	196	17¢	$33	0xc03bdf…
07-07 20:47:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	144	17¢	$24	0x491a1e…
07-07 20:47:22	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	188	17¢	$32	0xcfc514…
07-07 20:47:14	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0xbff74e…
07-07 20:47:11	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0x5d3fa1…
07-07 20:47:04	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x830cb8…
07-07 20:46:59	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	854	17¢	$145	0xf32b9a…
07-07 20:46:14	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	254	17¢	$43	0x298964…
07-07 17:57:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0xcd96da…
07-07 17:24:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xfb1f2f…