Judicious-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-12 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$5

Crypto

33% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	5	$379	283	98	+185	Up	+$2	03-20 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$185	186	0	+186	No	+$0	04-21 12:49
Will Сириус be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	2	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$1	06-12 15:52
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 12 18	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	01-17 09:30
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$103	104	0	+104	No	+$1	02-10 19:27
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-21 05:15
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	06-12 15:52
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	1	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$2	06-10 03:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	05-06 13:16
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	05-21 05:16
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-06 13:15
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-06 13:16
will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-24 02:31
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-10 19:25
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-21 05:15
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-07 13:41
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-07 13:41
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	01-07 13:40
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	01-07 13:40
will grok be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	01-07 13:40
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-06 13:13
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-10 19:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	02-10 19:27
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-10 03:10
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-10 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 15:52:40	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x60cf29…
06-12 15:52:19	Will Сириус be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd686c0…
06-10 03:12:27	Will Сириус be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xe22e17…
06-10 03:11:51	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x5e46ee…
06-10 03:10:46	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xfe983a…
06-10 03:10:19	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8e867a…
06-10 03:10:03	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5d0f48…
05-21 05:16:11	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x82eff3…
05-21 05:15:47	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x93bf93…
05-21 05:15:36	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x097937…
05-06 13:16:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x93eab1…
05-06 13:16:06	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x697de4…
05-06 13:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe86fd5…
05-06 13:13:10	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc8dbc4…
04-21 12:49:02	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x78dad7…
03-20 10:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xace12d…
03-20 10:42:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xbcfa8f…
03-20 10:39:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4343d0…
03-20 10:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x8aa2bd…
03-20 10:39:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x3301b5…
02-24 02:31:20	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a0fc7…
02-24 02:30:54	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9485d3…
02-10 19:27:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x6013d1…
02-10 19:27:25	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x64894d…
02-10 19:27:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xeec7dd…
02-10 19:25:43	will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe1e2b4…
01-17 09:30:08	will bitcoin dip to 84k january 12 18	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0b7664…
01-07 13:41:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x89ad51…
01-07 13:41:03	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa8ada5…
01-07 13:40:47	will grok be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x85d7d3…
01-07 13:40:29	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf8cc66…
01-07 13:40:19	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x41063b…