Watchful-Train — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

442

Trades

8,811

lifetime

Volume

$37.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-02 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775820300	1	$219	400	0	+400	open	—	04-10 11:24
btc updown 15m 1773994500	14	$190	135	134	+1	open	—	03-20 08:29
btc updown 5m 1775820600	1	$185	330	0	+330	open	—	04-10 11:29
btc updown 15m 1774275300	25	$184	121	121	+0	open	—	03-23 14:28
btc updown 15m 1773676800	13	$180	145	102	+43	open	—	03-16 16:15
btc updown 15m 1774063800	9	$164	150	150	+0	open	—	03-21 03:44
btc updown 5m 1775819700	4	$140	265	0	+265	open	—	04-10 11:13
btc updown 5m 1775820000	11	$140	250	0	+250	open	—	04-10 11:20
btc updown 15m 1774098900	19	$119	120	120	+0	open	—	03-21 13:28
btc updown 15m 1776313800	6	$114	95	92	+3	open	—	04-16 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$112	60	60	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 01:09
btc updown 15m 1774019700	6	$112	80	79	+1	open	—	03-20 15:28
btc updown 15m 1774015200	9	$111	88	88	+0	open	—	03-20 14:14
btc updown 15m 1774021500	7	$109	80	80	+0	open	—	03-20 15:58
btc updown 15m 1773999900	12	$108	105	104	+1	open	—	03-20 09:54
btc updown 15m 1775876400	6	$104	101	98	+4	open	—	04-11 03:00
btc updown 15m 1774089000	2	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 10:44
btc updown 15m 1774088100	7	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 10:22
btc updown 15m 1774056600	8	$100	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 01:36
btc updown 15m 1773679500	11	$95	79	69	+10	open	—	03-16 16:58
btc updown 15m 1774669500	18	$94	90	89	+1	open	—	03-28 04:02
btc updown 15m 1774257300	9	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	13	$89	72	35	+37	open	—	04-28 02:04
btc updown 15m 1773677700	8	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 16:29
btc updown 15m 1774488600	17	$87	91	91	+0	open	—	03-26 01:42
btc updown 15m 1774102500	6	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 14:27
btc updown 15m 1773720000	5	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$79	48	48	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$78	42	42	+0	open	—	05-14 07:09
btc updown 15m 1774701000	3	$77	60	59	+1	open	—	03-28 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x92950c…
06-02 11:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x88b5f6…
06-02 10:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06fc84…
06-02 10:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4a4b91…
06-02 06:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xac21e3…
06-02 05:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x522342…
06-02 05:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x459efd…
06-02 05:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd9455c…
06-02 05:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x17af5c…
06-02 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x857c2e…
06-02 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x83a0af…
06-02 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc1493e…
06-02 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c479f…
06-02 04:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xebc79c…
06-02 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x9d74e7…
06-02 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5abd60…
06-02 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0d193a…
06-02 04:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xad1488…
06-02 04:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x643127…
06-02 04:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x77d7b5…
06-02 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4c27a8…
06-02 04:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf12534…
06-01 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xfb5b75…
06-01 17:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa5e0b0…
06-01 17:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xdcd79f…
06-01 17:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x4fb583…
06-01 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x978678…
06-01 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc76fb5…
06-01 16:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa56785…
06-01 16:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x570154…
06-01 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xe92ba3…
06-01 16:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x32bc32…
06-01 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc7fc3…
06-01 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x460879…
06-01 05:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd6a91a…
06-01 05:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5f6cd8…
06-01 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd2b08e…
06-01 05:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x0df461…
06-01 05:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xffde44…
06-01 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x815d21…
06-01 04:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0136a5…
06-01 04:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6bd5e5…
06-01 04:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a52af…
06-01 04:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5b2f47…
06-01 04:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xdfc7cf…
06-01 04:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x5b0dfc…
06-01 04:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4e0ac…
06-01 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0eb521…
06-01 04:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x335419…
06-01 04:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe2972e…
06-01 03:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6ea423…
06-01 03:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc0d240…
06-01 03:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5fbcd…
06-01 03:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x203c2b…
06-01 03:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb8cb5b…
06-01 03:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64dd8c…
06-01 02:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc01fa3…
06-01 02:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xe914bc…
06-01 02:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1e1844…
06-01 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xb584bd…
06-01 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xa60b5e…
06-01 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x40ec1b…
06-01 02:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8f2541…
06-01 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x18d79a…
06-01 02:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc8f4f…
06-01 02:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x469c76…
06-01 02:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0087dd…
06-01 02:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb36d00…
06-01 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd47ce1…
06-01 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64cfe6…
06-01 00:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x506f70…
06-01 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf950b4…
06-01 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x019504…
05-31 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xefa7f4…
05-31 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc43513…
05-31 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x8961bd…
05-31 23:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xafaa23…
05-31 23:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x6fcae5…
05-31 23:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4a398e…
05-31 12:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x346f61…
05-31 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x46072f…
05-31 12:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0c16bf…
05-31 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7b36cd…
05-31 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x46405f…
05-31 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xaf918b…
05-31 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7423ae…
05-31 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xfd527c…
05-31 10:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xec3e28…
05-31 10:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ac32d…
05-31 09:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9cd5af…
05-31 09:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x64c036…
05-31 09:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x834c8f…
05-31 09:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7ecae3…
05-31 09:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0d0e49…
05-31 09:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf0ad5b…
05-31 08:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfada96…
05-31 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x236171…
05-31 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xca1817…
05-31 07:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x285e5e…
05-31 07:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a8a32…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	962	$529.7K	42,087	06-01 17:04
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	902	$56.2K	10,854	05-18 10:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	853	$243.4K	41,233	06-01 17:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	852	$288.6K	89,231	06-01 17:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	851	$268.3K	84,640	06-01 17:04
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	849	$285.9K	53,520	06-01 17:04
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	835	$15.6K	1,927	06-01 04:51
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	829	$933	2,694	06-01 17:04