Healthy-Tussle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

857

Trades

1,477

lifetime

Volume

$202.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 48% -$8,840

Politics

11% 0% -$2,136

Other

6% 47% +$918

Sports

1% 20% -$599

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$21.6K	18,859	18,859	+0	Yes	-$2,136	09-11 06:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	12	$7.7K	6,839	6,309	+529	Yes	-$152	10-14 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$3.9K	5,863	2,101	+3,762	Down	-$101	09-11 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$3.8K	4,059	0	+4,059	Up	-$7	09-11 08:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	2	$3.8K	5,976	5,976	+0	Yes	-$176	09-12 08:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	2	$3.7K	5,150	5,150	+0	Yes	-$283	09-12 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$3.5K	3,834	0	+3,834	Down	+$186	09-11 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$3.5K	3,669	0	+3,669	Down	+$79	09-13 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$3.5K	3,676	0	+3,676	Up	+$23	09-13 01:42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	1	$3.3K	3,837	0	+3,837	Yes	+$537	09-12 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$3.2K	3,533	0	+3,533	Down	-$144	09-11 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$3.2K	3,360	0	+3,360	Up	-$18	09-11 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$3.0K	3,130	0	+3,130	Down	+$25	09-11 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$3.0K	3,074	0	+3,074	Up	-$2,983	09-13 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$3.0K	3,088	0	+3,088	Up	+$52	09-13 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:05 UTC	3	$2.7K	1,726	1,726	+0	Down	+$672	08-10 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$2.6K	2,689	0	+2,689	Down	+$29	09-13 01:53
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	5	$2.5K	4,892	4,892	+0	open	—	10-07 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$2.5K	2,657	0	+2,657	Up	+$121	09-13 04:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:10 UTC	4	$2.5K	4,762	0	+4,762	Up	-$2,500	07-25 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:20 UTC	7	$2.2K	2,444	1,743	+701	Up	+$161	07-12 08:24
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	2	$2.2K	4,396	4,396	+0	Yes	+$156	08-26 21:14
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$2.1K	1,668	740	+928	Argentina	-$19	07-12 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$2.1K	3,752	0	+3,752	Up	+$1,650	09-11 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$2.1K	2,619	0	+2,619	Up	+$84	09-11 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$2.1K	2,394	0	+2,394	Down	+$9	09-11 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$2.1K	1,136	1,091	+45	Up	+$34	09-11 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$2.0K	3,930	0	+3,930	Down	+$1,930	07-17 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	3	$2.0K	3,945	0	+3,945	Up	+$1,945	08-26 20:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,301	753	+548	Down	+$21	01-21 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:30:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd52ed2…
10-14 04:25:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,377	71¢	$977	0x26c94e…
10-13 05:51:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	847	69¢	$585	0xb7e5e4…
10-12 18:49:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xb31114…
10-11 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x2134a0…
10-11 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb66c1d…
10-11 17:05:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,370	38¢	$521	0x791e2c…
10-11 17:05:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	909	68¢	$618	0x082cc3…
10-10 08:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x605015…
10-08 04:57:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x56afcb…
10-08 04:38:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,346	34¢	$458	0x1563f4…
10-08 04:09:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xcb133b…
10-07 03:47:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,000	37¢	$740	0x626847…
10-07 03:47:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,453	32¢	$472	0xd61d11…
10-04 16:34:08	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	1,453	33¢	$479	0x6230d6…
10-04 16:31:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xa5078f…
10-04 05:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	79	75¢	$60	0xab838a…
10-04 05:06:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x814656…
10-04 04:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x2528a0…
10-04 04:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5c6543…
10-04 04:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	139	17¢	$24	0x73d6f8…
10-04 04:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x74efd6…
10-04 04:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x3703fc…
10-04 04:37:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,495	66¢	$987	0x6e15df…
10-04 02:52:23	Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x4e40fa…
10-04 02:52:14	Will Mexico win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	199	18¢	$35	0xd90756…
10-03 06:57:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,495	65¢	$972	0xef2c71…
10-02 18:21:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	2,892	28¢	$810	0x1b2c9a…
10-02 18:21:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,475	21¢	$309	0x63b99f…
10-02 08:18:14	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,475	32¢	$472	0xfad04f…
10-02 07:58:24	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	47	16¢	$8	0x53a38e…
10-02 07:57:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	2,844	17¢	$483	0x4a4e21…
10-02 07:47:20	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	758	70¢	$530	0x580f39…
10-01 18:59:17	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x27aeec…
09-30 17:50:08	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	543	58¢	$315	0x6c15ce…
09-30 10:05:14	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	543	46¢	$250	0x09e50e…
09-30 08:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	891	50¢	$442	0xe11a7f…
09-30 08:15:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xb524db…
09-30 08:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	491	68¢	$335	0x1855e2…
09-30 08:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	491	41¢	$200	0x51454a…
09-30 08:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	636	16¢	$100	0x9af01a…
09-30 08:02:03	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1,562	26¢	$406	0xeab9bc…
09-30 08:01:59	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1,250	36¢	$456	0x3c1070…
09-30 07:33:56	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0xbb2d7b…
09-30 07:18:00	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0x266b8d…
09-29 06:34:36	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	572	56¢	$320	0x235497…
09-28 18:33:09	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xc4c646…
09-28 17:23:12	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x6c0856…
09-28 04:40:41	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	772	89¢	$687	0x340e4f…
09-24 07:44:57	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	772	61¢	$471	0x04d6fd…
09-24 07:36:54	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	500	39¢	$195	0xd4af9e…
09-24 07:22:45	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x0e78d9…
09-13 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	526	42¢	$222	0xd90e37…
09-13 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	884	31¢	$273	0x51c3a2…
09-13 19:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x4144ca…
09-13 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	946	16¢	$148	0xbdfccb…
09-13 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,615	9¢	$141	0x318a56…
09-13 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,241	23¢	$289	0x1d42f1…
09-13 19:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3,047	98¢	$3,000	0xdd9fcc…
09-13 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x73517e…
09-13 19:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7db1ad…
09-13 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd4b147…
09-13 19:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe1362c…
09-13 19:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6fccfe…
09-13 19:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0xddac84…
09-13 19:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x698ec9…
09-13 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x456c35…
09-13 19:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1ef23e…
09-13 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0xb02d10…
09-13 19:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1cc79d…
09-13 19:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3c3e72…
09-13 19:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x132ebd…
09-13 19:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x31db68…
09-13 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x265aa0…
09-13 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc65a3b…
09-13 18:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0xac1fb2…
09-13 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3ae9f3…
09-13 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x50d575…
09-13 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc27078…
09-13 18:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x57cc45…
09-13 17:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xa89555…
09-13 17:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe07041…
09-13 17:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	532	98¢	$520	0x2a8a03…
09-13 17:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x5e2090…
09-13 17:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd8f5b6…
09-13 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe6b19c…
09-13 17:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	527	99¢	$521	0xcb4811…
09-13 17:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x8eeeae…
09-13 17:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc8b7ae…
09-13 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf127d3…
09-13 17:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	583	98¢	$572	0xd0fa1f…
09-13 17:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	583	86¢	$500	0xc1611e…
09-13 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0b7248…
09-13 17:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x32776a…
09-13 17:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xea5d05…
09-13 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x29d97b…
09-13 17:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb550e3…
09-13 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x622fba…
09-13 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xd95ed3…
09-13 17:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa333fc…