Enlightened-Indication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

218

Trades

1,145

lifetime

Volume

$163.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$1.36K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-22 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 72% -$2,688

Politics

13% 46% +$1,363

Tech

4% 37% +$48

Other

3% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No		-874	-$603	84¢	$-734	-$131	06-01 14:07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No		+649	$538	96¢	$623	+$84	06-01 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$13.1K	7,568	7,568	+0	Yes	+$1,451	02-28 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	51	$10.2K	10,796	0	+10,796	Up	-$10,200	06-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	24	$4.8K	381,158	0	+381,158	Down	-$4,800	06-01 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	23	$4.4K	5,935	0	+5,935	Down	+$324	06-01 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	19	$3.6K	6,450	0	+6,450	Up	+$24	06-01 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	36	$3.6K	3,678	0	+3,678	Up	+$78	05-31 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	20	$3.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$57	06-01 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	17	$3.4K	3,434	0	+3,434	Down	+$34	06-01 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	33	$3.3K	3,745	0	+3,745	Down	+$445	05-31 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	28	$2.8K	2,919	0	+2,919	Up	+$119	05-31 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	28	$2.8K	2,903	0	+2,903	Up	+$103	05-31 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	15	$2.7K	3,169	0	+3,169	Up	-$1,058	06-01 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	24	$2.4K	2,579	0	+2,579	Down	-$25	05-31 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	11	$2.2K	2,329	0	+2,329	Up	+$129	06-01 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	11	$2.2K	2,590	0	+2,590	Down	+$390	06-01 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	10	$2.0K	2,669	0	+2,669	Up	+$97	06-01 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	10	$2.0K	2,464	0	+2,464	Down	-$615	06-01 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	10	$2.0K	2,130	0	+2,130	Up	+$130	06-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	10	$2.0K	2,662	0	+2,662	Down	-$5	06-01 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	10	$2.0K	2,183	0	+2,183	Up	+$183	06-01 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	11	$1.9K	5,944	0	+5,944	Up	+$4,040	06-01 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	19	$1.9K	1,943	0	+1,943	Down	+$43	05-31 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	9	$1.8K	2,080	0	+2,080	Down	+$280	06-01 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	18	$1.8K	2,373	0	+2,373	Up	+$37	05-30 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$1.7K	1,941	0	+1,941	Down	+$241	06-01 13:24
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,298	649	+649	open	—	06-01 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	16	$1.6K	62,001	0	+62,001	Up	-$1,600	05-31 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$1.6K	1,703	0	+1,703	Down	+$103	06-01 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	8	$1.6K	1,680	0	+1,680	Down	+$80	06-01 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	8	$1.6K	1,645	0	+1,645	Down	+$45	06-01 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 00:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb5059b…
07-24 15:17:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x1b3f3b…
07-24 15:13:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1372d4…
07-09 02:41:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,052	0¢	$1	0x448a3e…
07-09 02:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x944254…
07-06 22:07:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x07f879…
06-27 18:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x838cf7…
06-27 18:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0085a2…
06-27 17:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xcd7636…
06-27 15:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8d1ae4…
06-27 15:26:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,052	10¢	$110	0x48a415…
06-26 00:44:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf45ab8…
06-26 00:36:58	Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb0daa3…
06-26 00:36:53	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a108a…
06-26 00:36:22	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaa07ea…
06-26 00:36:16	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x06d659…
06-24 02:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d47c3…
06-24 01:39:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x73137c…
06-24 01:02:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x86af05…
06-24 00:57:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7f16eb…
06-24 00:56:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xccd304…
06-23 23:50:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x821d5e…
06-23 23:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaaadd2…
06-23 23:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x47f3d5…
06-23 23:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x963e53…
06-23 23:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5a4b0e…
06-23 23:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x40645f…
06-23 23:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x23733a…
06-23 23:22:55	Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	802	1¢	$10	0x722a8f…
06-20 18:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf35087…
06-20 18:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb354c5…
06-20 12:21:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdbef08…
06-20 12:17:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x498898…
06-20 12:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b3cdf…
06-20 12:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x939e7e…
06-20 12:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbced66…
06-20 12:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x996b78…
06-20 12:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4e0e0e…
06-20 12:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb6b697…
06-20 12:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x691304…
06-20 11:59:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa58b6c…
06-20 11:59:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3357ef…
06-20 11:59:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfc0ad…
06-20 11:59:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6e7073…
06-19 18:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b7755…
06-19 15:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x79492a…
06-19 15:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xab11f2…
06-19 15:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x952b79…
06-19 12:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x941a58…
06-19 02:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x053626…
06-19 02:46:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	706	61¢	$430	0xfb5e7e…
06-07 09:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14fbb4…
06-04 02:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf33608…
06-04 02:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x787332…
06-04 02:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x92ee34…
06-04 02:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x18903e…
06-02 03:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x449b50…
06-02 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	75¢	$93	0x4f1363…
06-02 03:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xd109d3…
06-02 03:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3735e9…
06-02 02:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5db3c0…
06-02 02:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9269b0…
06-02 02:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x86c9f2…
06-02 02:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb1f891…
06-02 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcf8b01…
06-02 00:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6d995…
06-02 00:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0xf97185…
06-02 00:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc3cda1…
06-02 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd631f3…
06-02 00:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xad30ab…
06-02 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf90ca4…
06-02 00:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x156fae…
06-02 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2b5604…
06-02 00:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe0ed3c…
06-02 00:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xa2f0f8…
06-02 00:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x45db0f…
06-02 00:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6e78e9…
06-02 00:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x615404…
06-02 00:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x80900f…
06-02 00:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x862285…
06-02 00:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xec1db5…
06-02 00:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xa374c5…
06-02 00:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0xf17046…
06-02 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x4654c3…
06-02 00:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x486b1a…
06-02 00:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0x9f92a7…
06-01 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xccdae3…
06-01 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	316	63¢	$200	0x55a79d…
06-01 23:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x6cea66…
06-01 17:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3db3b5…
06-01 17:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0cabfb…
06-01 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x613ba1…
06-01 17:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x56b8ee…
06-01 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xe8a843…
06-01 17:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x71b8b0…
06-01 17:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x814255…
06-01 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x997f2a…
06-01 14:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0xa5b91d…
06-01 14:07:02	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	298	67¢	$200	0x6d7a98…
06-01 14:06:34	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	649	87¢	$562	0x0cc93f…