Good-Natured-Thought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

530

Trades

1,599

lifetime

Volume

$6.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-11 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-271

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$32	65	+65	open	—	05-03 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$24	72	+72	open	—	05-03 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$20	39	+39	open	—	05-02 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$19	39	+39	open	—	05-02 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	7	$19	36	+36	open	—	05-03 08:35
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$18	32	+32	open	—	05-02 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$17	53	+53	open	—	05-03 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$17	34	+34	open	—	05-03 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$17	26	+26	open	—	05-03 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$17	45	+45	open	—	05-04 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$16	28	+28	open	—	05-03 09:00
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$16	31	+31	open	—	05-01 05:00
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$15	26	+26	open	—	05-04 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$15	34	+34	open	—	05-04 06:16
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$15	28	+28	open	—	05-01 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$15	27	+27	open	—	05-01 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$15	40	+40	open	—	05-04 04:55
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$14	24	+24	open	—	05-02 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$14	29	+29	open	—	05-02 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$14	29	+29	open	—	05-01 16:15
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$14	27	+27	open	—	05-03 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$14	23	+23	open	—	05-04 05:50
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$13	25	+25	open	—	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$13	26	+26	open	—	05-03 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$13	24	+24	open	—	05-03 10:50
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$13	25	+25	open	—	05-03 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$13	25	+25	open	—	05-02 10:15
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-03 00:00
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-03 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$13	25	+25	open	—	05-02 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdfe112…
05-11 00:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6bc18b…
05-11 00:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x4c2cd1…
05-11 00:30:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x30063f…
05-11 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbd4cc1…
05-11 00:30:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5783fc…
05-11 00:15:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xef1049…
05-11 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe42fba…
05-11 00:00:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa88101…
05-10 23:00:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xea8f92…
05-10 23:00:44	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf5e42e…
05-10 23:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x87a320…
05-10 22:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9a4cd3…
05-10 22:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc21696…
05-10 22:45:18	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa7ed9e…
05-10 22:45:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xfaec74…
05-10 22:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x16b130…
05-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe3e5e2…
05-10 22:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd012a2…
05-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x862421…
05-10 22:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x93fe30…
05-10 22:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x224494…
05-10 22:15:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb83363…
05-10 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x327517…
05-10 21:45:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x28ad17…
05-10 21:15:21	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2129e8…
05-10 20:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x39e4b7…
05-10 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeb4772…
05-10 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x400621…
05-10 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x21a500…
05-10 20:45:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x07235d…
05-10 20:30:33	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xf93b42…
05-10 20:30:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7a0741…
05-10 20:30:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x536923…
05-10 20:15:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x975c3b…
05-10 20:15:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x08b77f…
05-10 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe17c76…
05-10 19:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe0cc4a…
05-10 19:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xb5ede7…
05-10 19:15:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0af35a…
05-10 19:00:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xab630c…
05-10 18:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x9d666f…
05-10 18:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5b6ef4…
05-10 18:15:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x7077c1…
05-10 18:03:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe950b9…
05-10 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xce65c1…
05-10 18:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x9d7658…
05-10 18:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x779044…
05-10 17:30:44	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x03df28…
05-10 17:30:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x4c4482…
05-10 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x91250d…
05-10 17:19:03	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xc687a3…
05-10 17:15:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x9e497d…
05-10 17:15:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9f605a…
05-10 16:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc2ae23…
05-10 16:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x543c67…
05-10 15:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb01aa2…
05-10 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xc7f93c…
05-10 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x88df92…
05-10 15:46:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x06be16…
05-10 15:45:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xe29ae6…
05-10 15:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdc7bf5…
05-10 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xb2160c…
05-10 15:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xc400cf…
05-10 15:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x840c1d…
05-10 15:18:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb58c98…
05-10 15:15:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x55b0ba…
05-10 15:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xca0bd5…
05-10 15:00:44	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x8a4a1e…
05-10 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0ba34a…
05-10 14:46:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb76be1…
05-10 14:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9ed514…
05-10 14:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x4ab187…
05-10 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xacf05e…
05-10 14:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x60f23a…
05-10 14:16:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb6531b…
05-10 14:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd2b664…
05-10 14:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x6e9713…
05-10 14:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x042b8b…
05-10 13:46:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xce1e35…
05-10 13:46:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xc4af94…
05-10 13:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc53dfd…
05-10 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x7206f2…
05-10 13:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x3e0450…
05-10 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x793fad…
05-10 13:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfce022…
05-10 13:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x698b12…
05-10 13:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x490839…
05-10 13:00:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x2928d7…
05-10 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe6deeb…
05-10 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x80bbc0…
05-10 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x38479b…
05-10 12:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08af1f…
05-10 12:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x35b0ce…
05-10 12:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1c7e0d…
05-10 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe3f8e5…
05-10 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x16ed73…
05-10 12:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xb94626…
05-10 11:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcc8ec7…
05-10 11:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa5452f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	950	$345.0K	28,155	05-11 05:27
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	822	$522	2,052	05-11 05:29
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	721	$58.4K	7,719	05-11 05:27
Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09	680	$2.96K	1,744	05-11 05:28
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	665	$2.75K	1,617	05-11 05:28
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	664	$134.6K	25,200	05-11 05:29
Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91	663	$18.3K	4,981	05-11 05:27
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	661	$340.1K	14,745	05-11 05:30