Grown-Emergency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,086

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-08 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

64% 60% +$99

Politics

26% 0% $-17

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	10	$1.7K	964	964	+0	open	—	03-08 19:58
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$1.3K	706	706	+0	open	—	03-28 10:17
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	11	$981	500	500	+0	open	—	02-06 15:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	17	$958	935	910	+25	Yes	+$86	05-04 14:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?	11	$871	1,108	1,108	+0	Yes	+$125	05-04 12:02
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	28	$826	850	850	+0	open	—	02-06 16:21
another us government shutdown by february 14	34	$799	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	02-14 14:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	8	$625	762	762	+0	Yes	$-58	05-07 16:00
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	17	$624	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	02-03 07:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	64	$600	1,657	1,757	-100	open	—	02-06 15:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	3	$502	320	320	+0	No	+$14	05-06 08:04
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	3	$492	260	260	+0	open	—	02-06 10:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	8	$420	559	559	+0	open	—	03-30 03:08
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	21	$405	1,891	1,821	+70	open	—	02-09 16:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 1?	2	$387	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 12:41
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	19	$361	1,286	1,286	+0	open	—	03-23 11:04
crint nam pak 2026 02 18	8	$355	300	300	+0	open	—	02-18 10:23
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$327	285	278	+6	open	—	03-30 18:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	2	$317	258	258	+0	No	$-5	05-06 08:01
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$299	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 01:24
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	14	$284	334	332	+2	open	—	03-30 02:04
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	4	$278	125	255	-130	open	—	03-04 05:55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$276	300	300	+0	open	—	02-11 15:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$260	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 03:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 6?	4	$254	302	302	+0	No	$-102	05-06 12:16
bitcoin up or down on february 7	8	$252	300	400	-100	open	—	02-07 15:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	16	$243	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 16:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	3	$242	508	0	+508	open	—	05-15 03:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	4	$239	874	874	+0	Yes	+$58	05-07 16:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 1?	2	$234	214	214	+0	open	—	05-01 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:15:31	wti closes above 93 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x33c35b…
06-08 01:12:28	wti closes above 93 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x82f8c6…
05-31 13:36:20	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x44e628…
05-26 17:42:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xe0dea4…
05-26 17:26:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4dfa98…
05-26 17:06:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x06b337…
05-26 16:32:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbe44e6…
05-26 16:10:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xf92e9f…
05-26 15:14:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfcb4f5…
05-26 13:30:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xea5c40…
05-26 12:39:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbca0ba…
05-26 09:52:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x992cb3…
05-26 09:52:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4b0607…
05-26 06:34:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xe23583…
05-25 05:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xf2ebf0…
05-25 05:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x36c9e1…
05-25 05:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7ad39e…
05-25 05:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcbcbb7…
05-25 05:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf932d2…
05-25 05:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0xcc3f9b…
05-25 05:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x728915…
05-25 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x879a16…
05-23 12:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xc47ddd…
05-23 12:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7cc4bf…
05-23 12:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc8db4f…
05-23 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x93be2c…
05-23 07:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xec8bd4…
05-23 07:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x14a31c…
05-23 07:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x0d8a34…
05-23 07:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf0a81b…
05-23 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb57014…
05-23 07:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xb6791c…
05-23 07:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2e79f2…
05-23 07:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xec531b…
05-23 06:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x543c5d…
05-23 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9c2dbf…
05-23 05:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x52864f…
05-23 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x472983…
05-23 05:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe93ae6…
05-23 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa6b085…
05-23 05:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8d8f1c…
05-23 05:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3c3417…
05-23 05:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x984c0b…
05-23 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x02cbbb…
05-23 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc3740a…
05-23 05:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x6483a8…
05-23 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbeaf4b…
05-23 05:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd5a60e…
05-23 05:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc3beb8…
05-23 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdb8165…
05-23 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xa1a718…
05-23 05:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x6dc426…
05-23 04:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5e0ef0…
05-23 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0d1b1…
05-23 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfd1f76…
05-23 04:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf34813…
05-23 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc62851…
05-23 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x17137e…
05-22 07:09:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf2d401…
05-22 06:26:35	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$19	0x970659…
05-21 23:47:30	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x97a2c9…
05-21 23:39:35	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xf4a91c…
05-21 21:38:28	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	106	39¢	$41	0xdd4986…
05-21 14:55:52	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xf77080…
05-21 14:05:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x8a7444…
05-21 14:03:12	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xceee01…
05-21 10:46:53	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	No	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x59cae3…
05-21 01:29:00	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0x83a924…
05-21 01:26:16	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xed1e2e…
05-21 01:19:12	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x84b9b2…
05-18 11:35:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe831e4…
05-18 10:05:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	No	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x966764…
05-18 08:38:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8acb76…
05-18 08:37:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe22645…
05-18 08:36:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	No	BUY	106	56¢	$59	0xa01fd6…
05-17 12:44:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x0ce722…
05-17 12:39:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x38c54a…
05-17 12:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1189aa…
05-17 12:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	99	44¢	$44	0x30f1ed…
05-17 12:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xf72bbd…
05-17 12:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x82bd25…
05-17 12:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8ac377…
05-15 12:53:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	110	89¢	$98	0x4c61b8…
05-15 03:38:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xf18f34…
05-15 03:35:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	208	50¢	$104	0x81ea8f…
05-15 03:34:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x7f59b7…
05-15 03:22:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x5fa7ed…
05-15 03:21:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x8ed207…
05-07 16:54:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 7?	No	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xd8a165…
05-07 16:17:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xa1db6a…
05-07 16:17:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xd5f1bc…
05-07 16:16:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	374	17¢	$64	0x7114af…
05-07 16:16:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x8dc8e9…
05-07 16:16:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x69dcd0…
05-07 16:15:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	834	10¢	$84	0xb27b3f…
05-07 16:02:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb7f264…
05-07 16:02:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xcd6243…
05-07 16:00:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	105	55¢	$58	0xf05b96…
05-07 16:00:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x818e88…
05-07 16:00:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0x3ded26…