Grown-Emergency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,116

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-05 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

65% 60% +$99

Politics

26% 0% $-17

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	10	$1.7K	964	964	+0	open	—	03-08 19:58
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$1.3K	706	706	+0	open	—	03-28 10:17
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	11	$981	500	500	+0	open	—	02-06 15:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	17	$958	935	910	+25	Yes	+$86	05-04 14:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?	11	$871	1,108	1,108	+0	Yes	+$125	05-04 12:02
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	28	$826	850	850	+0	open	—	02-06 16:21
another us government shutdown by february 14	34	$799	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	02-14 14:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	8	$625	762	762	+0	Yes	$-58	05-07 16:00
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	17	$624	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	02-03 07:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	64	$600	1,657	1,757	-100	open	—	02-06 15:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	3	$502	320	320	+0	No	+$14	05-06 08:04
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	3	$492	260	260	+0	open	—	02-06 10:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	8	$420	559	559	+0	open	—	03-30 03:08
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	21	$405	1,891	1,821	+70	open	—	02-09 16:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 1?	2	$387	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 12:41
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	19	$361	1,286	1,286	+0	open	—	03-23 11:04
crint nam pak 2026 02 18	8	$355	300	300	+0	open	—	02-18 10:23
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$327	285	278	+6	open	—	03-30 18:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	2	$317	258	258	+0	No	$-5	05-06 08:01
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$299	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 01:24
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	14	$284	334	332	+2	open	—	03-30 02:04
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	4	$278	125	255	-130	open	—	03-04 05:55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$276	300	300	+0	open	—	02-11 15:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$260	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 03:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 6?	4	$254	302	302	+0	No	$-102	05-06 12:16
bitcoin up or down on february 7	8	$252	300	400	-100	open	—	02-07 15:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	16	$243	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 16:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	3	$242	508	0	+508	open	—	05-15 03:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	4	$239	874	874	+0	Yes	+$58	05-07 16:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 1?	2	$234	214	214	+0	open	—	05-01 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 04:40:47	btc updown 5m 1783226400	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xb563ea…
07-05 04:40:13	btc updown 5m 1783226400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4de5b0…
07-03 03:55:37	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x341aa5…
07-03 03:54:19	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x99089c…
07-03 03:53:55	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	No	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x5f1fd9…
07-03 03:53:16	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x6aaa47…
07-03 03:51:22	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	No	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x9625e0…
07-03 03:50:56	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x98e3a3…
07-03 03:50:40	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xb0d920…
07-03 03:50:17	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	No	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x932f70…
07-03 03:49:50	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x5cfc64…
07-03 03:48:37	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	No	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xa3f7e2…
07-03 03:47:49	will captain america sam wilson die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259192	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0xf50090…
07-03 03:37:37	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0xd0b8eb…
07-03 03:37:26	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	89	19¢	$17	0x170f12…
07-03 03:36:55	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	No	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x7eeff2…
07-03 03:36:41	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x86af14…
07-03 03:35:52	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xf65997…
07-03 03:35:46	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x36e943…
07-03 03:34:59	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	No	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x51a129…
07-03 03:34:35	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	No	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x3ba462…
07-03 03:33:16	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0x5c6d05…
07-03 03:27:19	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x042ecc…
07-03 03:18:04	btc updown 5m 1783048500	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x01a2d4…
06-22 18:46:14	wti closes above 72 on june 22 2026	No	SELL	197	2¢	$4	0x884e5e…
06-22 14:09:59	wti closes above 72 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x78eea4…
06-22 14:09:49	wti closes above 72 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	620	9¢	$56	0x59bad7…
06-17 12:04:52	btc updown 5m 1781697600	Up	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x9e265b…
06-17 12:03:19	btc updown 5m 1781697600	Down	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x45788b…
06-17 12:01:37	btc updown 5m 1781697600	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x50d9e1…
06-08 01:15:31	wti closes above 93 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x33c35b…
06-08 01:12:28	wti closes above 93 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x82f8c6…
05-31 13:36:20	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x44e628…
05-26 17:42:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xe0dea4…
05-26 17:26:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4dfa98…
05-26 17:06:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x06b337…
05-26 16:32:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbe44e6…
05-26 16:10:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xf92e9f…
05-26 15:14:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfcb4f5…
05-26 13:30:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xea5c40…
05-26 12:39:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbca0ba…
05-26 09:52:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x992cb3…
05-26 09:52:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4b0607…
05-26 06:34:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xe23583…
05-25 05:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xf2ebf0…
05-25 05:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x36c9e1…
05-25 05:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7ad39e…
05-25 05:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcbcbb7…
05-25 05:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf932d2…
05-25 05:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0xcc3f9b…
05-25 05:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x728915…
05-25 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x879a16…
05-23 12:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xc47ddd…
05-23 12:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7cc4bf…
05-23 12:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc8db4f…
05-23 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x93be2c…
05-23 07:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xec8bd4…
05-23 07:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x14a31c…
05-23 07:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x0d8a34…
05-23 07:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf0a81b…
05-23 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb57014…
05-23 07:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xb6791c…
05-23 07:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2e79f2…
05-23 07:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xec531b…
05-23 06:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x543c5d…
05-23 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9c2dbf…
05-23 05:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x52864f…
05-23 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x472983…
05-23 05:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe93ae6…
05-23 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa6b085…
05-23 05:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8d8f1c…
05-23 05:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3c3417…
05-23 05:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x984c0b…
05-23 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x02cbbb…
05-23 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc3740a…
05-23 05:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x6483a8…
05-23 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbeaf4b…
05-23 05:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd5a60e…
05-23 05:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc3beb8…
05-23 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdb8165…
05-23 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xa1a718…
05-23 05:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x6dc426…
05-23 04:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5e0ef0…
05-23 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0d1b1…
05-23 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfd1f76…
05-23 04:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf34813…
05-23 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc62851…
05-23 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x17137e…
05-22 07:09:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf2d401…
05-22 06:26:35	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$19	0x970659…
05-21 23:47:30	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x97a2c9…
05-21 23:39:35	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xf4a91c…
05-21 21:38:28	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	106	39¢	$41	0xdd4986…
05-21 14:55:52	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xf77080…
05-21 14:05:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x8a7444…
05-21 14:03:12	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xceee01…
05-21 10:46:53	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	No	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x59cae3…
05-21 01:29:00	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0x83a924…
05-21 01:26:16	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xed1e2e…
05-21 01:19:12	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x84b9b2…