Excitable-Hat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved (90d)

415

Trades (90d)

901

2,030 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$17.6K

$77.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-07 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 64% -$4,098

Other

7% 88% +$12

Politics

1% 38% -$790

Sports

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$2.8K	1,558	1,536	+22	Yes	+$298	04-28 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 1?	2	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$466	05-01 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	3	$2.5K	3,085	2,085	+1,000	Yes	+$482	04-29 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	37	$1.8K	3,400	0	+3,400	Down	-$1,804	10-07 14:14
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,022	1,022	+0	No	+$1	05-10 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$1.6K	904	904	+0	Up	+$194	04-29 18:51
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 8am et	10	$1.1K	2,128	0	+2,128	Down	+$1,000	10-04 12:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$1000	2,326	0	+2,326	Yes	-$1,000	04-29 16:18
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	56	$999	1,885	0	+1,885	Up	+$886	07-28 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$674	469	469	+0	Up	+$254	04-29 18:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	4	$653	973	0	+973	No	-$653	04-28 21:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	5	$626	338	338	+0	No	+$26	06-01 05:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	1	$610	652	0	+652	Yes	+$42	04-30 05:08
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	1	$600	1,145	0	+1,145	Yes	-$600	05-01 00:25
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 7am et	13	$536	1,011	0	+1,011	Up	-$536	10-04 11:16
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 9pm et	16	$517	975	0	+975	Down	+$458	10-05 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$498	504	0	+504	No	+$6	05-15 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	1	$497	975	0	+975	Down	-$497	10-07 13:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	4	$482	360	360	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$82	05-12 19:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	4	$468	836	5	+831	Yes	-$462	05-01 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9AM ET	18	$467	881	0	+881	Up	+$414	09-10 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	10	$467	881	0	+881	Down	-$467	09-15 01:00
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2am et	16	$467	881	0	+881	Up	-$467	07-28 06:20
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 6pm et	24	$467	881	0	+881	Down	+$414	08-02 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6PM ET	11	$465	881	0	+881	Up	+$416	09-19 22:00
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 12?	3	$453	229	229	+0	No	+$5	05-12 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	3	$444	244	244	+0	Up	+$44	05-10 18:06
bitcoin up or down september 18 2026 2am et	1	$441	881	0	+881	Up	-$441	09-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$439	747	0	+747	Down	-$439	04-29 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$420	844	0	+844	Up	-$420	04-29 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 14:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	312	55¢	$172	0xf9b68e…
10-07 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x4f55c7…
10-07 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x74c125…
10-07 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x665e02…
10-07 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x51be97…
10-07 14:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xbd0279…
10-07 14:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8cdc8f…
10-07 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe86447…
10-07 14:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x468ecd…
10-07 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0xe3e80f…
10-07 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x935e57…
10-07 14:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x790241…
10-07 14:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x23914c…
10-07 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xfc363a…
10-07 14:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xde5fbe…
10-07 14:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	175	55¢	$97	0x6c6790…
10-07 14:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xa86ccd…
10-07 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe954e3…
10-07 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x7f162a…
10-07 14:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xaf49f4…
10-07 14:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xe3f467…
10-07 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x0196ed…
10-07 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5ed7c7…
10-07 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x97c290…
10-07 14:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x415faf…
10-07 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xe79ae5…
10-07 14:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x8d3d26…
10-07 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	165	52¢	$86	0xc55772…
10-07 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0xbb49e3…
10-07 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0xa75285…
10-07 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x9d1fff…
10-07 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x2eaf5f…
10-07 14:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	346	52¢	$179	0xf185cb…
10-07 14:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd8f425…
10-07 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	166	52¢	$86	0xefed88…
10-07 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0xec4f68…
10-07 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	714	51¢	$366	0xd049b5…
10-07 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	975	51¢	$497	0xa1a96a…
10-07 12:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	504	43¢	$216	0x59de5b…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xfae977…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf4cd73…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xed9354…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xec645f…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe2abfd…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xccbbfc…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xa5cf1f…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x82406d…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x7f5a74…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x7f07e2…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x6ee961…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x5bbc96…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x568e24…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x5575d9…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x3ee054…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x17f81c…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x040a63…
10-07 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x039f5c…
10-07 11:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdae71f…
10-07 11:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3841f4…
10-07 10:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	177	51¢	$90	0x26e095…
10-07 09:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	109	53¢	$58	0xdb5d6a…
10-07 09:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x9a84f8…
10-07 09:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x553307…
10-07 02:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xde298c…
10-06 23:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xdb17b0…
10-06 23:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xd701bd…
10-06 23:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xcf28fd…
10-06 23:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7263fd…
10-06 23:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x707ae3…
10-06 22:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xcf1a7a…
10-06 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5aaf74…
10-06 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x2a3bad…
10-06 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x123b34…
10-05 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	504	49¢	$247	0xa738b5…
10-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xf0e995…
10-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9620ea…
10-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x93b00c…
10-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x10de04…
10-05 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe7084f…
10-05 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf65b35…
10-05 21:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xbf4598…
10-05 20:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x80e783…
10-05 20:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x3698a0…
10-05 20:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7a4a97…
10-05 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x423663…
10-05 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8b9b72…
10-05 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x15388d…
10-05 19:11:25	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x82ff74…
10-05 19:11:19	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xcf6f9b…
10-05 19:11:19	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xbe5a7c…
10-05 19:11:19	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5e6847…
10-05 18:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x33a7ca…
10-05 16:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xca1e84…
10-05 12:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5b1b4f…
10-05 10:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	128	52¢	$67	0x19def4…
10-05 09:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa82218…
10-05 07:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9beaaa…
10-05 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x05dd0c…
10-05 05:01:35	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xaafab8…
10-05 05:01:32	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe91007…