Surprised-Dynamics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

306

Trades

579

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-15 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

96% 48% +$129

Sports

2% 60% -$26

Crypto

1% 60% -$22

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-18?	2	$1.3K	706	706	+0	Yes	+$105	08-18 17:51
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	No	+$50	08-14 13:31
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-11?	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	+$9	08-11 18:54
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?	3	$1.0K	732	732	+0	No	-$183	08-20 19:46
col lug mta 2026 08 20 total 4pt5	2	$862	468	468	+0	Under	+$68	08-20 20:23
Will Lions FC win on 2026-08-11?	2	$805	415	415	+0	Yes	+$25	08-11 11:26
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?	2	$794	405	405	+0	Yes	+$14	08-13 04:06
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?	2	$595	455	455	+0	No	-$5	08-20 18:26
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?	2	$587	338	338	+0	No	+$88	08-20 17:51
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?	4	$586	501	500	+1	No	-$60	08-18 03:28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20?	2	$535	297	297	+0	Yes	+$18	08-20 19:46
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?	2	$487	377	377	+0	Yes	+$87	08-16 22:22
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?	2	$476	307	307	+0	Yes	-$64	09-13 17:27
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-08-19?	2	$471	274	274	+0	Yes	+$71	08-20 01:17
Will FC Inter Turku vs. FC København end in a draw?	2	$470	271	271	+0	Yes	+$70	08-20 17:51
col get par 2026 08 20 total 3pt5	1	$460	523	0	+523	Over	-$460	08-20 20:28
ucl crv hbs 2026 08 11 spread away 1pt5	2	$453	256	256	+0	MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva	+$53	08-11 19:57
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	2	$442	266	266	+0	AFC Ajax	+$48	09-15 19:20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	2	$439	241	241	+0	Yes	+$43	08-21 21:11
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	2	$435	247	247	+0	Yes	+$44	08-21 16:47
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12?	2	$413	291	291	+0	Yes	+$163	09-12 09:29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	2	$398	218	218	+0	Yes	+$36	09-13 16:01
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?	2	$359	241	241	+0	Yes	-$41	08-22 17:20
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?	2	$358	208	208	+0	Yes	+$58	08-13 20:47
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?	3	$348	254	254	+0	No	+$48	08-13 00:27
Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5	2	$340	192	192	+0	Under	+$40	09-15 02:56
Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-15?	3	$328	208	208	+0	Yes	+$28	08-15 20:14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	3	$315	295	295	+0	Yes	-$169	09-15 21:21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	3	$289	226	226	+0	Yes	-$18	08-22 21:22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	2	$278	147	147	+0	Yes	+$14	08-30 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 21:24:48	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	189	36¢	$68	0xb6d1ab…
09-15 21:21:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	148	24¢	$35	0xc1dc8c…
09-15 21:20:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	148	26¢	$38	0xd551f3…
09-15 21:15:13	Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	58¢	$72	0x97457c…
09-15 20:47:03	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3e1330…
09-15 19:33:30	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd3f804…
09-15 19:32:43	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xdec57c…
09-15 19:26:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	295	82¢	$242	0x5edfda…
09-15 19:20:24	Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	SELL	266	92¢	$245	0xcf1145…
09-15 18:02:45	Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	266	74¢	$197	0x83b113…
09-15 13:25:52	Will Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xc7610f…
09-15 13:12:36	Will Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb8a62d…
09-15 02:57:25	Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-12?	No	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xa8be93…
09-15 02:56:40	Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0xab0c1d…
09-15 02:56:24	Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xae7409…
09-15 02:33:01	Exact Score: Club León FC 2 - 1 Atlético San Luis?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe5c5d3…
09-15 02:32:30	Exact Score: Club León FC 3 - 0 Atlético San Luis?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x624054…
09-15 02:30:49	Will Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x19faaf…
09-15 02:07:34	Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	45	81¢	$37	0x62e26d…
09-15 02:06:06	Will Avaí FC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xbeb258…
09-15 02:04:49	Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xfd55ff…
09-15 02:00:00	Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x916eb6…
09-15 01:53:48	Exact Score: Club León FC 0 - 0 Atlético San Luis?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x48a587…
09-14 20:55:57	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x5b41ee…
09-14 20:40:22	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x854db2…
09-14 20:38:51	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x22339b…
09-14 18:24:48	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xbe7b2b…
09-13 17:27:24	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	307	67¢	$206	0xce3e0a…
09-13 17:04:54	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xefee74…
09-13 17:04:31	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	307	88¢	$270	0x1adb0b…
09-13 16:42:21	Will POFC Botev Vratsa vs. PFC Levski Sofia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x7ae29d…
09-13 16:07:27	Will POFC Botev Vratsa vs. PFC Levski Sofia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5e5b86…
09-13 16:01:43	Exact Score: KRC Genk 1 - 1 KAA Gent?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x412428…
09-13 16:01:10	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0xbeb4cd…
09-13 14:18:33	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	218	83¢	$181	0xdbbcf0…
09-13 10:39:48	Exact Score: KRC Genk 1 - 1 KAA Gent?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa2f39a…
09-13 10:39:36	Exact Score: KRC Genk 0 - 1 KAA Gent?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1e668b…
09-12 21:05:31	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x5c02a1…
09-12 21:05:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x5f01f9…
09-12 19:38:09	Will NEC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0xad8dbc…
09-12 19:05:57	Will NEC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	74	60¢	$45	0xcbdfed…
09-12 19:05:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x22844e…
09-12 19:05:31	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x0861b1…
09-12 15:55:42	Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x04bf4b…
09-12 15:48:49	Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0xe24519…
09-12 15:33:58	Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb0cae4…
09-12 09:29:52	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	291	99¢	$288	0xd4a7a2…
09-12 08:20:28	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xb75429…
09-12 06:20:30	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xc5e7b1…
09-12 06:19:37	Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 1 - 1 FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x28c8f0…
09-12 06:18:37	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC to score first vs. FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x05af27…
09-12 06:18:13	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	291	43¢	$125	0x9348bb…
09-12 06:16:18	Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 2 - 0 FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4a825c…
09-12 06:15:37	Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 2 - 1 FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x32d31d…
09-12 06:14:48	Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 1 - 0 FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x1ec777…
09-12 06:14:10	Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 0 - 0 FC Seoul?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x4346cc…
09-09 01:06:01	Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x135573…
09-08 23:42:09	Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 0 - 0 Athletic Club?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3e6643…
09-08 23:41:36	Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x95da99…
09-08 01:07:43	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x062376…
09-08 00:48:03	EC Vitória vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	76	72¢	$55	0x2beb16…
09-07 23:56:13	Exact Score: EC Vitória 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x09ae0d…
09-07 23:55:54	Exact Score: EC Vitória 0 - 1 Grêmio FBPA?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x486d44…
09-07 23:13:58	EC Vitória vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xf95c9b…
09-07 23:13:33	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x16cf58…
09-04 20:39:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xce8058…
09-03 00:52:39	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xfaaf4c…
08-30 23:31:51	Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x33e9cd…
08-30 23:15:48	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-30?	No	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xc551bb…
08-30 23:15:45	Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xf7c197…
08-30 22:49:18	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	32	64¢	$21	0x1f9fbb…
08-30 22:49:09	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	No	SELL	44	90¢	$39	0x6923ad…
08-30 22:42:22	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe6d376…
08-30 22:38:33	Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa24a1f…
08-30 22:06:24	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x88d6a1…
08-30 22:05:43	Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x747f63…
08-30 22:05:01	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xdad530…
08-30 16:59:04	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd3dc18…
08-30 15:35:00	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x0c0616…
08-30 14:29:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	147	90¢	$132	0x6d79aa…
08-30 14:28:42	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf48423…
08-29 22:12:48	Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x32879f…
08-29 03:37:51	Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x5c2707…
08-29 02:55:54	Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9fe68e…
08-28 19:30:52	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	SELL	147	87¢	$128	0xe964ad…
08-28 13:30:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	147	80¢	$118	0x79370a…
08-28 13:16:49	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x76a1dd…
08-27 21:22:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x0afdea…
08-27 07:49:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	128	80¢	$102	0xfecaa3…
08-26 23:06:19	Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9a9364…
08-26 23:06:06	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x351e3b…
08-26 21:00:18	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xd9e6ef…
08-26 20:32:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xc3af98…
08-26 19:50:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf5f8b4…
08-26 18:52:09	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xe25311…
08-26 12:40:40	Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x17f81d…
08-25 21:36:10	LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advance	LASK Linz	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xa025cf…
08-25 21:22:18	LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advance	LASK Linz	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x455d9d…
08-25 19:55:33	Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd283ed…
08-24 20:35:27	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xb1f737…