Squiggly-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

7,878

Trades

17,111

lifetime

Volume

$259.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-13 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% -$2,902

Other

1% 39% -$283

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$710	1,874	+1,874	Down	+$713	05-20 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$660	1,487	+1,487	Up	-$660	05-23 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$580	1,090	+1,090	Up	-$373	05-20 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$525	1,153	+1,153	Up	+$397	05-20 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$520	1,119	+1,119	Up	-$220	05-20 19:48
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$475	1,089	+1,089	Down	+$348	05-18 20:33
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$460	1,119	+1,119	Down	+$373	05-22 21:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$430	948	+948	Up	+$518	05-19 17:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$400	737	+737	Up	+$337	05-22 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$400	962	+962	Down	-$400	04-28 21:16
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$390	744	+744	Up	-$28	05-22 22:13
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$370	693	+693	Up	+$323	05-22 19:51
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$360	651	+651	Down	-$304	05-23 14:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$358	703	+703	Down	-$358	05-25 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$351	770	+770	Up	+$257	04-28 20:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$350	699	+699	Up	-$350	05-18 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$340	917	+917	Up	+$310	05-19 20:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$340	686	+686	Down	-$340	05-19 17:53
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$340	766	+766	Up	+$112	05-22 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$330	733	+733	Down	-$138	05-20 19:02
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$330	650	+650	Up	-$330	05-23 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$330	672	+672	Down	+$342	05-18 16:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$330	823	+823	Down	-$48	05-22 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$324	786	+786	Up	+$337	05-20 16:32
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$320	606	+606	Down	+$286	04-27 15:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$320	867	+867	Up	-$320	04-28 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$310	732	+732	Up	-$310	05-23 14:38
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$310	654	+654	Up	+$344	05-22 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$304	817	+817	Up	+$226	05-21 00:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$300	637	+637	Down	-$300	04-28 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 15:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd7b2a5…
10-13 15:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x24fe67…
10-13 15:29:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6decda…
10-13 15:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe18b63…
10-13 15:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x06a3f8…
10-13 15:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xaacaf8…
10-13 15:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x29c4d1…
10-13 15:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa2e7dc…
10-13 15:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3a1a72…
10-13 15:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3bf9b7…
10-13 15:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdc0357…
10-13 15:16:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x993a2f…
10-13 15:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb048d2…
10-13 15:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xbfd01c…
10-13 15:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe397ef…
10-13 15:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6da57e…
10-13 15:00:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe80772…
10-13 15:00:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe68d3a…
10-13 14:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb40cdc…
10-13 14:55:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x241447…
10-13 14:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xb6481d…
10-13 14:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x4a2556…
10-13 14:40:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x086489…
10-13 14:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa5f67b…
10-13 14:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe03e0d…
10-13 14:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2aa832…
10-13 14:36:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x79bf65…
10-12 16:23:50	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7fa864…
10-12 16:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6ab259…
10-12 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x62ff9a…
10-12 16:15:21	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x9ae302…
10-12 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x82e2a9…
10-12 16:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcf1671…
10-12 16:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2d0452…
10-12 16:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xa7a7c7…
10-12 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xcc6c96…
10-12 15:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe960e0…
10-12 15:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xbf4932…
10-12 15:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x29c6ea…
10-12 15:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xedb219…
10-12 15:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0d23fa…
10-12 15:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x520a5e…
10-12 15:45:09	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3c6cff…
10-12 15:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x469705…
10-12 15:41:33	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xef525f…
10-12 15:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65e45d…
10-12 15:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x8cfb15…
10-12 15:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6c9ca4…
10-12 15:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x019f6a…
10-12 15:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe14be1…
10-12 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x14d684…
10-12 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x26f69e…
10-12 15:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x120cd3…
10-12 15:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3cc413…
10-12 15:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x16008b…
10-12 15:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x676eb9…
10-12 15:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x749d06…
10-12 15:10:14	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8e4394…
10-12 15:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x627d63…
10-12 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x32c75e…
10-12 15:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x719357…
10-12 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcb66b4…
10-12 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfc96d2…
10-12 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x93db86…
10-12 14:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9e155b…
10-12 14:45:44	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbfa585…
10-12 14:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x153441…
10-12 14:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x85e8e7…
10-12 14:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x831082…
10-12 14:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xf1a002…
10-12 14:30:41	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeeb1ac…
10-12 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x791e68…
10-12 14:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd557f6…
10-12 14:26:00	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x88b916…
10-12 14:25:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf8bf58…
10-12 14:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x91b8d8…
10-12 14:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x35bc8b…
10-12 14:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd0a4b6…
10-12 14:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x69612b…
10-09 21:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7117df…
10-09 21:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x266b64…
10-09 21:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6cc6cf…
10-09 21:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xebe4b5…
10-09 21:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xb3c822…
10-09 21:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcc5a67…
10-09 21:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xda71af…
10-09 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa67ca8…
10-09 21:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4783cd…
10-09 21:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x17000b…
10-09 21:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x04c924…
10-09 21:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa0c50a…
10-09 21:11:25	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x41aa3d…
10-09 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x79659d…
10-09 21:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x882eb1…
10-09 21:08:59	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x84cba2…
10-09 21:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x570632…
10-09 21:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8a8781…
10-09 21:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8201b7…
10-09 21:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8054f9…
10-09 21:01:17	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xdb51f0…