Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
64
lifetime
Volume
$1.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$13
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-11 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
88%
Politics
12% 100% +$5
Other
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 06-08 10:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +19 $5 16¢ $3 $-2 06-11 16:20
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-08 08:29
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-08 10:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 18¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 09:47
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-08 08:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 16:26