Immediate-Maintenance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$859

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

3,709

Trades

5,980

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-25 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% -$801

Other

4% 17% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 910 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:25 UTC	69	$208	117	114	+3	Down	+$1	04-15 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	17	$87	53	48	+6	Down	+$3	04-15 13:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	17	$82	51	45	+6	Down	+$3	04-15 13:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:05 UTC	15	$75	45	40	+5	Up	+$1	04-15 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	32	$53	140	0	+140	Up	-$13	06-15 17:38
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	16	$50	77	0	+77	Up	-$8	09-02 21:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:55 UTC	12	$48	37	25	+12	Up	+$3	04-16 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:10 UTC	9	$47	32	26	+6	Down	+$3	04-15 13:13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?	3	$44	92	0	+92	Yes	-$2	06-20 12:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:00 UTC	13	$43	59	50	+9	Down	-$8	04-16 08:03
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	14	$42	72	0	+72	Down	-$22	09-02 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	20	$42	85	0	+85	Down	-$2	06-15 17:21
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	12	$40	72	0	+72	Down	-$4	09-02 21:47
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:10 UTC	7	$37	28	20	+8	Down	+$5	04-15 13:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:35 UTC	12	$34	62	41	+21	Down	-$14	04-16 07:38
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:05 UTC	7	$32	22	16	+6	Up	+$1	04-15 13:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:05 UTC	10	$31	47	21	+26	Up	+$15	04-16 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:35 UTC	15	$31	65	5	+60	Up	-$14	06-15 15:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:30 UTC	17	$29	63	44	+19	Up	+$9	04-16 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	11	$28	51	0	+51	Up	+$17	09-21 07:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:50 UTC	19	$28	83	56	+27	Down	-$10	04-16 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	43	$27	175	65	+110	Up	-$4	09-20 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	14	$27	55	0	+55	Up	+$3	06-15 17:16
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	8	$25	64	0	+64	Up	-$3	09-01 05:57
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$25	39	0	+39	Down	-$1	09-02 21:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:40 UTC	15	$24	57	24	+33	Down	-$15	04-16 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	4	$24	32	0	+32	Up	+$9	09-01 05:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:50 UTC	4	$23	26	0	+26	Up	-$9	09-01 05:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:50 UTC	6	$22	87	0	+87	Up	+$7	09-01 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	13	$22	55	0	+55	Down	+$3	09-17 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x61956b…
10-18 16:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc9158b…
10-18 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5044b8…
10-18 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1c3bc7…
10-18 12:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2114e5…
10-18 12:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcb3035…
10-18 12:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x444ed7…
10-17 19:36:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb00e9d…
10-17 19:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x40649a…
10-17 19:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x4d4813…
10-17 19:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x228762…
10-17 19:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcfbec6…
10-17 19:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x0a976f…
10-17 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x84e36d…
10-17 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe98811…
10-17 19:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x7ea8fd…
10-17 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xfaabaf…
10-17 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x6dda71…
10-17 19:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x97187d…
10-17 19:01:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa52e86…
10-17 19:01:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf53bb7…
10-17 18:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x5868df…
10-17 18:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x267a40…
10-17 18:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x187e5f…
10-17 18:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe56ea4…
10-17 18:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe49cd4…
10-17 18:51:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xc02f50…
10-17 18:51:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa4ab55…
10-17 18:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x57aed6…
10-17 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xffd77e…
10-17 18:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9089e3…
10-17 18:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x058aba…
10-17 18:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1254d4…
10-17 18:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x965de6…
10-17 18:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcd6256…
10-17 18:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x80e5df…
10-17 18:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeddd39…
10-15 17:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb15cf8…
10-15 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x75b163…
10-15 17:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa7d8c8…
10-15 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0b9f78…
10-15 17:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa0893a…
10-15 17:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1d9826…
10-15 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x340054…
10-15 17:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xacd529…
10-15 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4a2175…
10-15 17:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x06b612…
10-15 17:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88960b…
10-15 17:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xe66ae5…
10-15 17:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2ffffa…
10-15 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xfecd0e…
10-15 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x020cb0…
10-15 17:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe26112…
10-15 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdd6f31…
10-15 17:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc3faf9…
10-15 17:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x19e941…
10-15 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf39d0c…
10-15 16:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5b26f0…
10-15 16:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35becf…
10-15 16:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4dcf91…
10-15 16:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x28ee92…
10-15 16:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x93a28e…
10-15 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x72658f…
10-15 16:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf26264…
10-15 16:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xa89900…
10-15 16:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x96a055…
10-15 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9b8e49…
10-15 16:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7437f1…
10-15 16:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4de913…
10-15 16:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2222d2…
10-15 16:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6c76cf…
10-15 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0b83a5…
10-15 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x085862…
10-15 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x139c79…
10-15 16:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x620962…
10-15 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8ac932…
10-15 16:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfa226a…
10-15 16:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa0c2af…
10-15 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd49696…
10-15 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x28f97b…
10-15 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3d8d62…
10-15 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0ebbf5…
10-15 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x121bab…
10-15 15:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6b0e99…
10-15 15:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcdb716…
10-15 15:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcb5609…
10-15 15:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x42d5ad…
10-15 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa0076f…
10-15 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x168ddd…
10-15 15:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5a2c89…
10-15 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8a5663…
10-15 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0e9e22…
10-15 15:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9275bb…
10-15 15:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4df146…
10-15 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4a9c96…
10-15 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf4a0b2…
10-15 15:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa87d85…
10-15 15:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb1bb7b…
10-15 15:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc054c5…
10-15 15:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4ff9a…