Negative-Balaclava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-03 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$22	41	+41	open	—	05-17 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$18	49	+49	open	—	05-20 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$18	34	+34	open	—	05-19 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$18	34	+34	open	—	05-20 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$18	33	+33	open	—	05-19 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$15	27	+27	open	—	05-18 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$15	26	+26	open	—	05-17 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$12	24	+24	open	—	05-19 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-27 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-26 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-27 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-27 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-19 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$12	21	+21	open	—	05-21 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-29 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-19 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$12	26	+26	open	—	05-27 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$12	21	+21	open	—	05-20 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$12	21	+21	open	—	05-20 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-18 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-28 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$12	26	+26	open	—	05-26 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-29 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-19 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$12	21	+21	open	—	05-20 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-18 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$12	24	+24	open	—	05-19 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$12	24	+24	open	—	05-26 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$12	23	+23	open	—	05-26 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	21	+21	open	—	05-19 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:55:09	eth updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xc9b5ee…
06-03 19:55:03	eth updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x6436f8…
06-03 19:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xafb7fa…
06-03 16:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x51d638…
06-03 15:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x042779…
06-03 14:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7d9c2d…
06-03 13:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x733d9e…
06-03 11:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x891221…
06-03 06:40:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7fac2b…
06-03 05:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf0ca6d…
06-03 05:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd12f74…
06-03 03:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x6072d1…
06-03 03:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x5fcfce…
06-03 01:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0bda66…
06-02 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xafff47…
06-02 23:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7c64eb…
06-02 22:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xb5226c…
06-02 22:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xbcac4e…
06-02 22:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x53402a…
06-02 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x3f11ee…
06-02 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x08ff5b…
06-02 19:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0f6a12…
06-02 18:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb9a100…
06-02 15:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe66462…
06-02 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8c66f5…
06-02 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x7a670f…
06-02 14:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x928413…
06-02 14:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x848c54…
06-02 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc23467…
06-02 12:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe03561…
06-02 10:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x31c363…
06-02 02:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9f7fe7…
06-01 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9885b7…
06-01 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xda0e04…
06-01 17:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x5c0ed2…
06-01 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x3ad8f1…
06-01 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2df27f…
06-01 13:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd20d05…
06-01 12:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xdebc5f…
06-01 11:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x245d96…
06-01 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4d4cfc…
06-01 07:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2482f8…
06-01 03:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x6c3688…
05-31 23:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbbff05…
05-31 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x433b3c…
05-31 21:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9847b3…
05-31 20:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xabc82b…
05-31 20:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7cec59…
05-31 17:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb39dcc…
05-31 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xfbc861…
05-31 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x1f5904…
05-31 10:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xf88393…
05-31 07:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0a0406…
05-31 06:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6615cb…
05-31 03:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x76283c…
05-31 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8e8280…
05-30 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xd5ca8b…
05-30 18:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x61efca…
05-30 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x3429f3…
05-30 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xde0b34…
05-30 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4f7b69…
05-30 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xd7826a…
05-30 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb8b167…
05-30 10:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4925e1…
05-30 06:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0df66c…
05-30 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x8d03c8…
05-30 02:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6e7253…
05-30 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x844797…
05-29 23:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xfca10f…
05-29 19:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x83298d…
05-29 16:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x686e52…
05-29 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x82f14c…
05-29 15:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb27d3b…
05-29 14:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x7c93d8…
05-29 11:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x566cd6…
05-29 09:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x59ae39…
05-29 09:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x80c98e…
05-29 09:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x14ef1e…
05-29 09:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x3a5425…
05-29 09:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x77ff38…
05-29 07:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8dba2f…
05-29 06:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x325673…
05-29 06:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x922da6…
05-29 05:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x2cea8b…
05-29 05:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xfad0a6…
05-29 04:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5ed24a…
05-29 04:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xdd0aed…
05-29 02:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x3aeda1…
05-29 02:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0f6e75…
05-29 02:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x10d744…
05-29 01:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xea4fc1…
05-29 01:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x374941…
05-29 00:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4fdfeb…
05-29 00:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf3d639…
05-28 21:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xae9eda…
05-28 21:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x823dcb…
05-28 21:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x344333…
05-28 20:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x217183…
05-28 18:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2503e6…
05-28 18:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa25877…