Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-27

last 10-23 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 26% +$7

Other

25% 100% +$6

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	09-27 16:47
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+10	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	09-27 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	2	$133	109	109	+0	Up	+$83	10-04 13:00
lol red kt 2026 10 04	2	$41	21	21	+0	KT Rolster	+$1	10-04 11:57
lol kor tpe 2026 09 29	1	$30	32	0	+32	South Korea	+$2	09-29 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	-$25	10-08 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	10-10 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	10-04 17:55
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-27 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	56	0	+56	Up	-$10	10-08 18:28
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	09-27 16:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-27 16:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	10-01 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	+$17	10-06 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$7	13	13	+0	Up	-$3	10-01 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	10-04 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	-$5	10-04 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	10-06 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	10-01 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	10-04 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-04 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$4	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	10-10 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	-$4	10-10 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$4	203	0	+203	Down	-$4	10-08 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$4	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	10-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Up	-$1	10-08 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	-$2	10-08 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	Up	-$2	10-08 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$2	33	0	+33	Down	-$2	10-10 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$2	20	0	+20	Down	-$2	10-08 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 17:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xba95c7…
10-23 17:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd6c39e…
10-11 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa526ac…
10-10 18:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa5ffcb…
10-10 18:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x66c3cf…
10-10 18:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x3141e4…
10-10 18:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xde06a6…
10-10 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4c89da…
10-10 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf5a73d…
10-10 17:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x927508…
10-10 17:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x01b38f…
10-08 18:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4e2145…
10-08 18:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfea927…
10-08 18:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfbd810…
10-08 18:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2f1718…
10-08 18:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xded23a…
10-08 18:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb0db74…
10-08 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc7d8d5…
10-08 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xaeacf8…
10-08 17:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xb1b597…
10-08 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x259e56…
10-08 17:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcb9616…
10-08 17:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x0d6a3d…
10-08 17:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x75dbda…
10-08 15:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x28feea…
10-08 15:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1320ca…
10-08 14:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f1d2f…
10-08 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xa6e019…
10-08 14:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb7293c…
10-08 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x342a1d…
10-06 18:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x9fc510…
10-06 18:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbe7120…
10-06 18:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6571ef…
10-06 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc29e1c…
10-06 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbe9365…
10-06 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0329ae…
10-06 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbaf9af…
10-06 17:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2c619e…
10-06 04:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x557d98…
10-06 02:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9fca80…
10-04 17:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5ef117…
10-04 17:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x038dc4…
10-04 13:00:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xce1093…
10-04 12:55:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x8b8692…
10-04 12:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfbecc4…
10-04 12:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x48baac…
10-04 11:57:22	lol red kt 2026 10 04	KT Rolster	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x334ab9…
10-04 03:59:34	lol red kt 2026 10 04	KT Rolster	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5fbdf4…
10-04 03:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0a4683…
10-01 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x82c730…
10-01 18:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8f7abd…
10-01 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x86d242…
10-01 17:33:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x45ffa4…
09-29 16:22:56	lol kor tpe 2026 09 29	South Korea	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x972250…
09-27 16:52:35	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x34ef2c…
09-27 16:47:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3c39dc…
09-27 16:45:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9bd9f8…