Milky-Year — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$37

Crypto

40% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes		-68	$-14	20¢	$-14	+$0	05-08 09:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$68	44	44	+0	Up	+$18	05-06 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	05-08 09:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$14	0	68	-68	open	—	05-08 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-08 08:55
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	1	$10	29	0	+29	Lucknow Super Giants	+$19	05-07 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 09:24:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0x9ca382…
05-08 09:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x4b3fbb…
05-08 09:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x3f17c0…
05-08 08:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xfe5e09…
05-07 13:56:41	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x22cf64…
05-06 20:00:47	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x057a69…
05-06 17:06:43	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x25ed20…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	3	$1.57K	34	05-08 09:15
Male-Rumor 0x6c09…3f91	3	$755	6	05-08 09:10