Known-Dame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$581

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

1,151

Trades

1,938

lifetime

Volume

$302.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$485

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$7,519

Other

0% 10% -$303

Politics

0% 20% -$217

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,634	$947	18¢	$461	-$486	08-28 16:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+333	$20	4¢	$13	-$7	08-15 14:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+263	$79	3¢	$9	-$71	08-15 14:43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+200	$20	1¢	$3	-$17	08-18 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 4pm et	7	$26.7K	16,713	16,275	+437	Down	+$5,823	04-11 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:55 UTC	4	$20.5K	12,936	12,581	+356	Down	+$4,812	04-13 20:00
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 4pm et	5	$8.3K	5,460	5,283	+177	Down	+$2,454	04-15 21:00
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 3pm et	4	$6.8K	10,342	10,058	+284	Up	-$6,019	04-11 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET	5	$4.5K	5,009	4,864	+145	Up	-$1,358	04-24 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:50 UTC	2	$4.0K	6,382	0	+6,382	Up	-$4,000	04-13 19:49
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 6pm et	2	$3.9K	2,410	2,410	+0	Down	+$940	08-02 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9PM ET	12	$3.5K	2,232	2,232	+0	Up	+$980	05-22 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$3.1K	2,658	2,658	+0	No	-$185	05-11 11:59
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 2pm et	3	$3.0K	5,196	5,038	+158	Up	-$2,996	04-11 18:55
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 4pm et	1	$3.0K	5,207	0	+5,207	Down	-$3,000	04-04 19:58
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	2	$3.0K	5,414	0	+5,414	Up	-$3,000	04-07 22:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 21:45 UTC	8	$2.8K	2,441	2,412	+29	Down	-$463	01-28 21:57
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2pm et	4	$2.8K	2,582	2,549	+33	Up	+$791	03-26 19:00
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1pm et	2	$2.7K	1,712	1,712	+0	Down	+$710	08-16 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:55 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,738	1,685	+53	Up	+$721	04-13 21:00
bitcoin up or down january 28 12pm et	6	$2.5K	1,507	1,378	+129	Up	-$75	01-28 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:45 UTC	2	$2.2K	3,976	0	+3,976	Up	-$2,200	04-13 19:44
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 11am et	4	$1.9K	1,464	1,442	+22	Up	+$341	03-21 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 22:15 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,198	1,179	+19	Down	+$622	01-28 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,291	1,291	+0	Down	+$301	05-14 18:00
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	2	$1.7K	1,090	1,055	+35	Down	+$489	04-13 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,027	1,027	+0	Up	+$421	05-17 18:03
bitcoin up or down january 28 11am et	9	$1.5K	1,190	1,190	+0	Up	-$43	01-28 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$1.5K	2,404	0	+2,404	Down	-$1,500	04-24 20:05
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 2pm et	2	$1.4K	916	902	+14	Up	+$416	03-24 19:00
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$1.4K	914	900	+14	Down	+$413	03-26 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	2	$1.4K	896	896	+0	Up	+$395	05-25 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET	2	$1.4K	891	891	+0	Up	+$382	05-23 02:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 18:45 UTC	9	$1.4K	1,119	950	+169	Down	-$42	02-07 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x2dc278…
10-28 19:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xaa63b4…
10-28 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0xfaaba1…
10-28 16:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	179	54¢	$97	0x43252f…
10-28 16:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	179	53¢	$95	0xd83f35…
10-28 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xb67645…
10-27 12:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x0052a5…
09-10 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	278	39¢	$109	0xebe00c…
09-10 11:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xdd38f6…
09-09 19:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x559223…
09-09 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	377	100¢	$377	0xeceb59…
09-09 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	377	79¢	$300	0xd4e0a0…
09-09 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xec737e…
09-09 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x3e1ce4…
09-08 15:07:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x69b90e…
08-28 16:54:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,634	36¢	$947	0x89df41…
08-18 15:46:28	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x979e2a…
08-18 14:44:03	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x0525ee…
08-18 14:01:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x39aa27…
08-18 13:46:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x646e08…
08-18 13:29:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x58dbd7…
08-17 11:38:36	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x298aa7…
08-16 18:00:57	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	1,712	100¢	$1,710	0x52905a…
08-16 16:50:27	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	1,712	58¢	$1,000	0xabf11f…
08-16 15:50:00	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	542	55¢	$300	0xb8a5aa…
08-16 15:30:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	977	2¢	$20	0x42c804…
08-15 14:43:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xdcd4e4…
08-15 14:42:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x0497ab…
08-14 13:13:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x899825…
08-14 00:10:19	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	817	100¢	$816	0x6d6618…
08-13 22:55:00	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	817	55¢	$445	0xe473d6…
08-13 21:57:37	bitcoin up or down august 13 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	349	57¢	$200	0x3d7f6d…
08-13 21:01:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,587	1¢	$50	0xffe43f…
08-04 14:49:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	24¢	$71	0xe8be91…
08-04 12:49:00	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x442f16…
08-03 14:52:27	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x6b057e…
08-02 23:02:23	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	2,410	100¢	$2,408	0x4a2359…
08-02 21:59:06	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2,410	61¢	$1,468	0x27554d…
08-02 21:03:54	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xb24bfa…
08-02 20:55:42	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	653	57¢	$372	0xbed775…
08-02 19:58:33	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x6d7937…
08-02 19:58:26	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x02da5f…
08-02 18:49:53	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa3cda8…
07-31 17:47:29	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xe47b81…
07-31 17:04:20	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xaed61b…
07-31 16:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0x945661…
07-30 20:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xb1fcc3…
07-30 20:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc80451…
07-30 19:45:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xd7fe48…
07-30 19:03:48	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x803750…
07-30 17:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9998d3…
07-30 16:13:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x784a6f…
07-30 16:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x124ead…
07-30 01:01:18	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x5ed004…
07-29 23:59:17	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x25cff3…
07-28 23:06:49	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	552	100¢	$552	0xca91c8…
07-28 21:51:41	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	552	54¢	$300	0x9506e3…
07-28 20:59:58	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x124e9b…
07-28 16:54:52	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xa6df23…
07-27 23:46:06	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	548	55¢	$300	0xf4334b…
07-27 22:32:30	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc73b6a…
07-27 20:49:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xcc513d…
07-27 18:59:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x076983…
07-26 09:52:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xf1e1d5…
07-25 20:11:46	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	193	56¢	$107	0xa2d42a…
07-25 20:05:03	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xeaef34…
07-25 19:56:37	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	193	54¢	$105	0x98ab8c…
07-25 19:04:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x92e02e…
07-25 18:43:51	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x34a830…
07-25 14:56:46	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xeff200…
07-15 11:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	255	51¢	$130	0x5503cf…
07-15 10:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x13b918…
07-15 10:31:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	102	58¢	$59	0x2af17b…
07-15 08:29:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0x2efbd0…
07-14 23:27:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x8c64c0…
07-14 21:00:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xf5626e…
07-14 14:48:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xc455b3…
07-14 11:07:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xc8b626…
07-14 00:10:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x4a94bd…
07-07 19:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xcbc12a…
07-07 18:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6b1279…
07-07 18:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xbc2a09…
07-07 18:19:58	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	201	73¢	$148	0x792f4b…
07-07 17:34:11	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	201	54¢	$109	0x579bbe…
07-07 16:53:55	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0x6a1d77…
07-07 15:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xb9dfaf…
07-07 14:42:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7205c4…
07-07 14:15:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x7faac3…
07-06 23:04:40	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xd46a39…
07-06 21:22:31	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	131	54¢	$71	0xc4cf06…
07-06 20:53:46	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x22d4d1…
07-06 14:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x23decf…
07-06 14:01:38	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x38c6d7…
07-06 12:49:13	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x7762ca…
07-06 12:09:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xc40e10…
07-06 11:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfe77ed…
07-04 00:01:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x42b095…
07-03 23:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	116	52¢	$61	0x9dc509…
07-03 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x7d45d4…
07-03 22:02:38	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x4defde…