Jaded-Heroine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$331

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$8.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$26

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-01 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

53% 43% +$3

Other

41% 44% +$213

Crypto

6% 80% +$114

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$25	12¢	$12	-$13	10-02 05:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+40	$10	16¢	$6	-$4	10-30 10:53
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+78	$25	5¢	$4	-$21	09-22 21:32
mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	Yes	+26	$5	13¢	$3	-$2	08-02 13:53
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	+38	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	09-22 17:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$3.0K	11,414	11,055	+359	No	+$216	02-28 19:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$813	893	893	+0	Yes	+$9	02-28 09:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$780	2,050	2,050	+0	Yes	+$149	03-01 10:53
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$770	473	473	+0	Yes	+$34	02-28 08:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$699	370	370	+0	Yes	+$26	02-28 07:13
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	8	$511	512	128	+384	Yes	+$78	03-01 15:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$478	312	312	+0	Yes	+$22	02-22 13:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$387	359	359	+0	No	-$7	09-03 12:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$214	115	115	+0	open	—	10-30 19:33
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$205	373	373	+0	open	—	10-20 02:37
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	39	$158	2,901	0	+2,901	No	-$158	03-05 12:09
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$100	91	91	+0	open	—	10-28 17:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	03-02 02:18
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	09-18 16:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$50	94	0	+94	Yes	+$44	09-16 21:51
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$50	136	0	+136	No	-$50	03-02 03:26
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in September?	3	$50	132	0	+132	Yes	+$82	09-19 03:10
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$40	150	0	+150	Argentina	-$40	07-07 16:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$30	91	0	+91	Yes	-$30	03-02 03:27
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	11-01 17:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	+$10	07-28 11:50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	1	$25	56	0	+56	Yes	+$31	09-16 21:53
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	2	$25	100	0	+100	open	—	10-02 05:52
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	2	$25	78	0	+78	open	—	09-22 21:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$18	38	38	+0	open	—	10-27 18:01
ethereum above 1800 on february 28	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 14:34
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	1	$14	25	0	+25	Yes	+$11	06-17 04:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	2	$12	43	43	+0	No	-$6	10-29 14:36
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$10	41	0	+41	Spain	-$10	07-14 20:19
will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	4	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	-$10	03-09 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:22:12	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x05e927…
10-30 19:33:06	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	115	94¢	$108	0x8175f4…
10-30 10:53:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xcf4118…
10-30 08:18:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x40b5b8…
10-30 08:11:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x705784…
10-29 14:36:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x40d44c…
10-28 18:53:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0xda6c32…
10-28 17:53:47	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xf00731…
10-27 18:01:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	22¢	$8	0x011aca…
10-27 11:45:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	115	92¢	$106	0xb526c1…
10-26 16:40:12	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	81	55¢	$44	0xd70099…
10-26 14:51:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa475a1…
10-20 02:56:57	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xb57309…
10-20 02:37:24	Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	373	33¢	$123	0x13d4a6…
10-10 22:37:45	Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	373	22¢	$82	0x3098a7…
10-02 05:52:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0xe3e6b0…
10-01 15:22:51	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xfc01b1…
09-22 21:32:12	Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xa8f3dd…
09-22 18:10:46	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x85f446…
09-22 17:49:27	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x041413…
09-22 17:41:36	Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xb13db3…
09-19 03:10:57	Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in September?	Yes	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x097d5b…
09-19 02:42:45	Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xd4b6ea…
09-18 16:24:09	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd49416…
09-16 21:55:01	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x398610…
09-16 21:53:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x2d40ac…
09-16 21:51:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x454be1…
09-15 10:30:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xe3778d…
09-03 12:31:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	359	53¢	$190	0xffb721…
08-29 16:56:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	359	55¢	$197	0x7aacae…
08-02 13:53:06	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xadb709…
08-02 03:10:08	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x3340fc…
08-02 02:15:32	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xace106…
08-02 02:15:09	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x253eef…
08-02 00:04:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xd816d4…
07-28 11:50:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0xdc0ac1…
07-28 11:50:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0xcd5752…
07-18 01:24:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe86225…
07-17 20:36:39	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x06e71c…
07-17 20:27:12	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x05f760…
07-17 20:27:01	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x52c701…
07-17 20:26:04	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xca357f…
07-17 20:25:45	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb08105…
07-17 19:09:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x690a5d…
07-14 20:19:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xeb901f…
07-07 16:17:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd2f521…
07-07 16:16:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xdfc8ba…
06-21 12:32:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2e4d52…
06-17 04:44:05	Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xeddeab…
05-30 15:54:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xff997d…
05-30 15:27:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e4266…
05-10 12:01:34	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5ceebe…
03-09 17:08:19	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3ecc62…
03-09 17:07:13	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xbfc753…
03-09 17:06:29	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x200844…
03-05 12:09:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	960	3¢	$33	0xc16752…
03-05 12:07:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa890b7…
03-05 11:55:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x1948ed…
03-05 11:53:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x6eea3a…
03-05 11:53:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf47d30…
03-03 22:03:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x438358…
03-03 20:54:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x6732ad…
03-03 20:45:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x44a243…
03-03 17:33:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0x479af3…
03-03 16:59:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x389301…
03-02 20:27:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5e6c19…
03-02 19:49:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x50a309…
03-02 19:44:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0x953fc4…
03-02 19:28:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0xe70be4…
03-02 14:54:23	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xd0193b…
03-02 03:27:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0x306d26…
03-02 03:26:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa09b0b…
03-02 03:26:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x098235…
03-02 03:26:31	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x96028a…
03-02 03:22:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5fcac3…
03-02 03:21:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2449ca…
03-02 03:19:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf0cf58…
03-02 03:18:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x826ddd…
03-02 03:14:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x68738b…
03-02 02:20:37	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x77ddcc…
03-02 02:18:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x233c63…
03-02 02:18:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x0e705e…
03-01 15:28:55	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	128	80¢	$102	0x55163e…
03-01 12:54:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0xc543a6…
03-01 12:51:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc491c1…
03-01 12:51:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x0ef557…
03-01 12:51:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xfbf8c9…
03-01 12:51:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1a6a1e…
03-01 12:51:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb7dca4…
03-01 12:51:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xaa2894…
03-01 12:51:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xd48e0d…
03-01 12:51:11	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xff94aa…
03-01 12:51:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3499be…
03-01 12:50:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x092d0a…
03-01 12:50:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4e1e07…
03-01 12:50:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x9c5c76…
03-01 12:50:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xd72a83…
03-01 12:49:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0x0669f3…
03-01 12:48:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9c5c95…
03-01 12:48:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5cf162…