Jaded-Heroine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$7.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-02 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

59% 43% +$3

Other

41% 62% +$197

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$3.0K	11,414	11,055	+359	No	+$216	02-28 19:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$813	893	893	+0	Yes	+$9	02-28 09:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$780	2,050	2,050	+0	Yes	+$149	03-01 10:53
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$770	473	473	+0	Yes	+$34	02-28 08:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$699	370	370	+0	Yes	+$26	02-28 07:13
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	8	$511	512	128	+384	Yes	+$78	03-01 15:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$478	312	312	+0	Yes	+$22	02-22 13:02
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	39	$158	2,901	0	+2,901	No	$-158	03-05 12:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	$-50	03-02 02:18
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$50	136	0	+136	No	$-50	03-02 03:26
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$40	150	0	+150	Argentina	$-40	07-07 16:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$30	91	0	+91	Yes	$-30	03-02 03:27
ethereum above 1800 on february 28	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 14:34
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$10	41	0	+41	Spain	$-10	07-14 20:19
will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	4	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	$-10	03-09 17:08
will germany strike iran by march 31	1	$10	116	0	+116	No	$-10	03-02 02:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$10	256	0	+256	open	—	08-02 00:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$10	29	0	+29	England	+$19	07-17 19:09
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	05-30 15:27
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	06-21 12:32
mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	08-02 13:53
will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	3	$5	13	0	+13	No	$-5	08-02 03:10
total internet blackout in iran by february 28 2026	2	$3	60	0	+60	Yes	$-3	02-28 09:38
will kairat advance to the round of 16	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	$-1	01-14 08:54
will ajax advance to the round of 16	1	$0	0	2	-2	No	+$0	01-28 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 13:53:06	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by december 31 2026 20260710000011405	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xadb709…
08-02 03:10:08	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x3340fc…
08-02 02:15:32	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xace106…
08-02 02:15:09	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x253eef…
08-02 00:04:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xd816d4…
07-17 19:09:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x690a5d…
07-14 20:19:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xeb901f…
07-07 16:17:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd2f521…
07-07 16:16:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xdfc8ba…
06-21 12:32:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2e4d52…
05-30 15:27:44	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e4266…
03-09 17:08:19	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3ecc62…
03-09 17:07:13	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xbfc753…
03-09 17:06:29	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x200844…
03-05 12:09:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	960	3¢	$33	0xc16752…
03-05 12:07:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa890b7…
03-05 11:55:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x1948ed…
03-05 11:53:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x6eea3a…
03-05 11:53:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf47d30…
03-03 22:03:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x438358…
03-03 20:54:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x6732ad…
03-03 20:45:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x44a243…
03-03 17:33:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0x479af3…
03-03 16:59:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x389301…
03-02 20:27:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5e6c19…
03-02 19:49:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x50a309…
03-02 19:44:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0x953fc4…
03-02 19:28:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0xe70be4…
03-02 14:54:23	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xd0193b…
03-02 03:27:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0x306d26…
03-02 03:26:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa09b0b…
03-02 03:26:33	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x098235…
03-02 03:26:31	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x96028a…
03-02 03:22:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5fcac3…
03-02 03:21:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2449ca…
03-02 03:19:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf0cf58…
03-02 03:18:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x826ddd…
03-02 03:14:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x68738b…
03-02 02:20:37	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x77ddcc…
03-02 02:18:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x233c63…
03-02 02:18:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x0e705e…
03-01 15:28:55	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	SELL	128	80¢	$102	0x55163e…
03-01 12:54:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0xc543a6…
03-01 12:51:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc491c1…
03-01 12:51:23	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x0ef557…
03-01 12:51:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xfbf8c9…
03-01 12:51:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1a6a1e…
03-01 12:51:19	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb7dca4…
03-01 12:51:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xaa2894…
03-01 12:51:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xd48e0d…
03-01 12:51:11	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xff94aa…
03-01 12:51:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3499be…
03-01 12:50:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x092d0a…
03-01 12:50:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4e1e07…
03-01 12:50:55	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x9c5c76…
03-01 12:50:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xd72a83…
03-01 12:49:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0x0669f3…
03-01 12:48:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9c5c95…
03-01 12:48:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5cf162…
03-01 12:48:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xcd9105…
03-01 12:48:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x4353c5…
03-01 12:48:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x8978b8…
03-01 12:48:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x2ed7e9…
03-01 12:48:29	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x23ed01…
03-01 12:43:25	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x63c4f2…
03-01 12:40:25	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x342af0…
03-01 12:31:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	88	12¢	$10	0xec1180…
03-01 10:53:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xab9f95…
02-28 19:38:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x11b3e2…
02-28 19:37:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	63	40¢	$25	0xd47b96…
02-28 19:37:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x460177…
02-28 19:37:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x2ebfef…
02-28 10:04:05	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	77	80¢	$62	0x2c5cda…
02-28 10:03:35	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0x85f7a1…
02-28 09:53:15	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	151	80¢	$120	0xdc4817…
02-28 09:50:33	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	101	80¢	$80	0xa3148a…
02-28 09:38:41	total internet blackout in iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe066d8…
02-28 09:32:19	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xa9e0ad…
02-28 09:28:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	113	80¢	$90	0xbc014c…
02-28 09:28:31	total internet blackout in iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0x23ba06…
02-28 09:11:47	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc93a0c…
02-28 09:07:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	893	46¢	$411	0xd300f4…
02-28 08:15:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	893	45¢	$402	0x5c3f7c…
02-28 08:07:13	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	473	85¢	$402	0x772be0…
02-28 07:21:29	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	443	78¢	$345	0x8cce66…
02-28 07:14:21	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x1e6368…
02-28 07:13:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	370	98¢	$363	0xd99c1a…
02-28 06:53:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	370	91¢	$337	0x0059ec…
02-28 06:49:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	126	7¢	$9	0xd8b1ec…
02-28 06:49:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x61d10a…
02-28 06:37:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	600	20¢	$119	0x7f9e28…
02-28 06:29:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,500	15¢	$224	0xe6c663…
02-27 14:34:01	ethereum above 1800 on february 28	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x374162…
02-25 05:23:02	ethereum above 1800 on february 28	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xec9e83…
02-23 13:05:14	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,559	10¢	$246	0x0b02ab…
02-22 13:02:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	312	80¢	$250	0x79beab…
02-19 15:37:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	312	73¢	$228	0xdaf2c1…
02-19 14:58:20	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,780	13¢	$228	0x0f8681…
02-18 14:40:58	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,780	16¢	$281	0xff4a98…
02-09 15:45:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	436	10¢	$43	0xa8c821…