Coordinated-Optimization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

182

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-09 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

61% 39% -$118

Crypto

37% 48% -$39

Tech

2% 33% +$1

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Another Codex outage in 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	93¢	$2	+$0	10-07 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	4	$59	69	0	+69	No	-$59	10-07 16:18
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:35 UTC	12	$47	30	50	-20	Down	-$3	03-30 13:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:35 UTC	3	$38	5	45	-40	Down	-$7	03-30 13:38
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 15c	6	$25	33	41	-8	No	-$2	03-31 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:50 UTC	6	$25	27	12	+15	Up	$0	03-30 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 21:30 UTC	8	$23	25	25	+0	Up	+$2	03-30 21:40
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 17c	2	$21	18	17	+1	Yes	+$14	03-31 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	7	$20	30	22	+8	No	+$8	04-28 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$18	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 12:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	5	$18	21	16	+5	No	+$2	05-04 15:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 12c	7	$17	30	29	+1	No	+$1	04-05 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	10-07 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	7	$15	29	28	+1	Yes	-$4	04-27 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?	12	$15	15	14	+1	Yes	-$1	04-30 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	8	$15	115	11	+104	Down	-$1	10-07 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	6	$14	15	8	+8	Down	+$1	03-30 20:20
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 16c	4	$14	18	2	+16	No	-$11	03-31 10:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:15 UTC	22	$13	78	0	+78	Down	-$13	03-30 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	5	$13	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	05-01 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 30?	5	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	-$2	04-30 09:12
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	2	$13	38	38	+0	No	+$3	07-24 02:00
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 30c	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$3	04-22 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:15 UTC	18	$12	105	0	+105	Down	-$12	03-30 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:40 UTC	3	$11	12	6	+6	Up	+$1	03-30 20:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 21:00 UTC	5	$11	30	10	+20	Up	+$0	03-30 21:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	10-07 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:35 UTC	3	$10	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	03-30 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:25 UTC	3	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	03-30 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?	5	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	3	$9	6	8	-2	No	+$4	04-27 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 07:46:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xef18be…
10-09 07:45:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xe89732…
10-09 07:45:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x00c899…
10-07 16:18:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x525061…
10-07 13:18:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe067e9…
10-07 13:16:02	Another Codex outage in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x147fc2…
10-07 13:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xa8bdb5…
10-07 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x23a485…
10-07 12:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xcc6d2a…
10-07 12:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x30eccd…
10-07 12:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xb20b6a…
10-07 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x815360…
10-07 12:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x5fcff0…
10-07 12:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb0d498…
10-07 12:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x92a57d…
10-07 12:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x41c3fc…
10-07 12:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x22422c…
10-07 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x884b47…
10-07 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbbafe4…
10-07 12:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf66af…
10-07 12:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3b6e20…
10-07 12:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x52a22f…
10-07 12:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xe1fc68…
10-07 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x267a54…
10-07 12:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x35c349…
10-07 12:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x457278…
10-07 12:36:55	Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State	Jacksonville State	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x74931f…
10-07 12:30:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x143dce…
10-07 12:29:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xba4c3f…
10-07 12:28:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb44b76…
10-07 12:28:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe3fd26…
10-07 12:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa0aa02…
10-07 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9c7fd…
10-07 12:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xc815e0…
10-07 12:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7218b9…
10-07 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2899fe…
10-07 12:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe4fa62…
10-07 12:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0491f6…
10-07 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2625a0…
10-07 12:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x4bb718…
10-07 12:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c1e16…
07-24 02:00:48	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xbef1cf…
07-23 18:12:28	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x75ee9a…
07-23 18:11:54	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa7d7eb…
07-23 18:08:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x10354f…
07-23 18:03:30	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1c9253…
05-04 21:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0ed586…
05-04 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x120ebc…
05-04 21:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a6a53…
05-04 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x637d6a…
05-04 15:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8e99f9…
05-04 15:24:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xfb26f2…
05-04 15:24:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xec4048…
05-04 15:21:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xba530b…
05-04 15:21:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x2b0fa2…
05-04 13:58:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x59860c…
05-04 13:57:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xedaa18…
05-04 13:56:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfaefa3…
05-04 12:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x8e8025…
05-04 12:43:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x20a129…
05-04 11:34:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x2ecd4a…
05-04 11:33:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x00a92b…
05-04 11:32:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x4734c1…
05-04 11:08:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x828e81…
05-04 11:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x49278f…
05-04 11:00:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x2d7a69…
05-04 10:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x786703…
05-04 10:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 4?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3b6353…
05-04 10:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc6787…
05-04 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf27dc3…
05-04 10:34:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xff3ca6…
05-04 10:34:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfe554…
05-04 10:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6324d0…
05-04 09:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x9a9a19…
05-04 04:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x490916…
05-04 03:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xa53b4e…
05-04 03:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xf909dc…
05-04 02:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xb2e240…
05-03 20:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xe5ea4c…
05-03 19:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5f1513…
05-03 16:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x35a1db…
05-03 10:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f179e…
05-03 09:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf67ddd…
05-03 06:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xf58a2e…
05-03 01:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2a76e4…
05-02 20:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 3?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x467f5f…
05-02 17:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on May 2?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9c75c3…
05-02 17:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x26abd5…
05-02 14:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 3?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb66f7a…
05-02 13:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7418c5…
05-02 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xeaf818…
05-01 21:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xff622b…
05-01 18:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xa0c5a6…
05-01 18:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xc2d92e…
05-01 17:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf7c1bb…
05-01 16:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	No	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x13061b…
05-01 16:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xdc1524…
05-01 15:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcb921e…
05-01 09:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x29ca2e…
04-30 13:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa83950…