Realized P&L
+$41
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
42
Trades
1,645
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$78
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-22 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
38%
Other
34% 42% +$12
Sports
23% 53% +$29
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +54 $28 86¢ $47 +$19 05-29 15:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -41 $-7 30¢ $-12 $-6 05-31 00:49
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -27 $-9 33¢ $-9 +$0 07-22 02:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -35 $-8 15¢ $-5 +$3 05-31 00:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? Yes +15 $7 22¢ $3 $-4 05-28 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1 $-3 99¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 00:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -0 $-0 80¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 23:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -0 $-0 48¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 23:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 23:47