Unlucky-Verdict — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

133

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-02 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 53% -$13

Other

7% 50% -$15

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+22	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	05-08 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$48	28	28	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 05:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$37	57	57	+0	No	-$23	04-21 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	14	$36	58	23	+35	Up	-$13	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	10	$29	41	11	+30	Up	-$4	05-13 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	9	$28	33	8	+25	Down	-$17	05-13 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$27	33	12	+21	Up	+$11	05-13 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$27	31	14	+17	Down	+$2	05-13 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$23	34	0	+34	Up	+$11	05-13 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$20	31	8	+23	Up	+$8	05-13 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$19	22	11	+11	Up	+$8	05-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$19	37	28	+9	Down	+$7	05-13 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$19	25	4	+21	Down	-$2	05-13 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$18	18	14	+4	Down	+$2	05-13 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$18	27	8	+19	Up	-$6	05-13 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$17	21	12	+9	Down	+$2	05-13 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$17	26	15	+11	Down	+$2	05-13 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$16	28	0	+28	Up	+$12	05-13 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$16	19	6	+13	Down	-$5	05-13 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$16	13	8	+5	Up	+$5	05-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$16	32	0	+32	Up	-$16	05-13 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$15	19	7	+12	Up	-$4	05-13 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$15	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	05-13 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$14	17	5	+12	Down	-$3	05-13 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$14	23	3	+20	Up	-$9	05-13 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x083ec7…
06-02 14:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3538ae…
05-14 21:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xb95c9f…
05-14 21:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xe2c9b6…
05-14 21:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf4317c…
05-14 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x6ae95e…
05-14 21:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x652e28…
05-14 21:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x13c421…
05-14 21:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd0e31a…
05-14 21:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x4db126…
05-14 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x558e14…
05-14 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0e9429…
05-14 21:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb2a1d2…
05-14 21:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xef57cf…
05-14 20:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x67f3a0…
05-14 20:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x1a73fe…
05-14 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd64679…
05-14 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xec994a…
05-14 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6fe9ce…
05-14 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x474660…
05-14 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xba23f9…
05-14 17:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9a44a4…
05-14 17:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xd6d05a…
05-14 17:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc7ec42…
05-13 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0xf6d456…
05-13 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbffa71…
05-13 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xe5aa97…
05-13 18:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3fa5dc…
05-13 18:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xcd2eab…
05-13 18:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdcf606…
05-13 17:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xf9549f…
05-13 17:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x8105b0…
05-13 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xf38337…
05-13 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf14306…
05-13 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xb0ae4c…
05-13 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd57ed4…
05-13 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x94e199…
05-13 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x9c1b9b…
05-13 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf7149a…
05-13 17:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xa66c3a…
05-13 17:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1ddaf8…
05-13 17:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3a76e9…
05-13 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xff7427…
05-13 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x10d2cb…
05-13 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xfd4bd7…
05-13 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x52be07…
05-13 17:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa6c4c7…
05-13 17:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7b757d…
05-13 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xd66e39…
05-13 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8b7d6e…
05-13 17:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x815f9f…
05-13 17:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x80322c…
05-13 17:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb13c81…
05-13 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf95a53…
05-13 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xddf61e…
05-13 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xba28b1…
05-13 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x2dd43e…
05-13 17:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xede525…
05-13 17:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa5db0d…
05-13 17:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb92906…
05-13 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5db326…
05-13 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4c22b1…
05-13 17:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe189c8…
05-13 17:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x7cf259…
05-13 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xac9480…
05-13 17:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x44ac2c…
05-13 17:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xed9ebb…
05-13 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x742840…
05-13 17:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x8cd943…
05-13 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7378ea…
05-13 16:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbf0bcb…
05-13 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xe5b13a…
05-13 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x070e48…
05-13 16:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xa0e06d…
05-13 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc96204…
05-13 16:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x1e5efd…
05-13 16:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x87812b…
05-13 16:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x50281e…
05-13 16:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x3af52a…
05-13 16:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x3e057c…
05-13 16:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7914ee…
05-13 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x756df1…
05-13 16:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0x359010…
05-13 16:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xca9221…
05-13 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x9e0755…
05-13 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x7e4abc…
05-13 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xa4078f…
05-13 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x777704…
05-13 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x3ab171…
05-13 16:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x984b58…
05-13 16:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7eb82e…
05-13 16:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xe513b6…
05-13 16:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x3154b7…
05-13 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe7f469…
05-13 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0fa310…
05-13 16:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x9524a5…
05-13 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x56f695…
05-13 16:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd1af52…
05-13 16:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4c7cfe…
05-13 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x7a622e…