Affectionate-Conviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,128

lifetime

Volume

$357.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

93% 50% +$17

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5	Under		+40	$22	100¢	$40	+$18	05-31 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	2	$3.1K	6,000	+6,000	open	—	03-21 07:56
fl1 olm lil 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	2	$2.9K	6,000	+6,000	open	—	03-22 16:02
bun koe moe 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	2	$2.9K	6,000	+6,000	open	—	03-21 14:12
lal osa gir 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	6	$2.9K	5,764	+5,764	open	—	03-21 16:11
bra int cha 2026 03 22 cha	2	$2.7K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-22 20:37
mls aus laf 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	3	$2.3K	4,500	+4,500	open	—	03-22 00:28
elc bbr mid 2026 03 21 mid	3	$2.2K	4,500	+4,500	open	—	03-21 11:21
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 draw	2	$2.2K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 12:54
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 mad	1	$2.2K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-22 19:23
lal lev ovi 2026 03 21 ovi	1	$2.1K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 16:25
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 draw	1	$2.1K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 08:12
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 bri	1	$2.0K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 12:58
epl new sun 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$1.9K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-22 10:51
fl1 lyo asm 2026 03 22 asm	1	$1.8K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-19 19:36
lal esp get 2026 03 21 esp	1	$1.8K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-20 19:02
uef wal bih 2026 03 26 draw	1	$1.8K	2,400	+2,400	open	—	03-26 19:44
bun aug stu 2026 03 22 total 3pt5	1	$1.8K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-22 18:24
bun hei b04 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$1.8K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 13:21
epl eve che 2026 03 21 che	1	$1.7K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 16:02
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	1	$1.7K	2,400	+2,400	open	—	03-26 09:08
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 liv	1	$1.7K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 05:18
fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 total 3pt5	1	$1.7K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 19:16
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 elc	1	$1.6K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-20 18:16
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	1	$1.6K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-20 03:23
lal osa gir 2026 03 21 osa	1	$1.6K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 17:11
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	1	$1.6K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-21 11:53
bun aug stu 2026 03 22 stu	1	$1.6K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-22 18:09
bun lei hof 2026 03 20 lei	1	$1.5K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-20 18:21
fif mar ecu 2026 03 27 mar	32	$1.5K	2,400	+2,400	open	—	03-27 20:00
uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 total 2pt5	2	$1.5K	3,000	+3,000	open	—	03-19 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:35:06	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc74578…
06-09 20:23:15	Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x030647…
06-09 20:15:01	Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8c46b3…
06-09 17:06:15	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x9f0e32…
06-09 15:36:01	DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x2f5850…
06-09 10:59:52	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xf666dd…
06-09 04:13:03	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x34ede1…
06-08 22:32:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x21e851…
06-07 18:20:01	Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x9b01c3…
06-07 18:19:36	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xa12e52…
06-07 18:11:12	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xb715da…
06-07 18:10:01	Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3d3ef0…
06-07 18:05:25	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x241dba…
06-07 17:59:28	Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf50cdf…
06-07 13:14:15	Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4e30e5…
06-07 12:49:06	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Liechtenstein	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x32f315…
06-06 21:39:48	Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x59acde…
06-06 21:04:25	Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2485eb…
06-06 19:58:55	Spread: England (-2.5)	England	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2dc1d2…
06-06 19:23:30	Spread: England (-2.5)	New Zealand	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfd0b3c…
06-06 17:11:28	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	United States	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xd7e508…
06-06 16:38:04	fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x86b560…
06-05 22:18:28	Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd8c4fa…
06-05 07:43:45	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb7511a…
06-05 01:58:07	Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	Serbia	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4cae58…
06-04 18:03:15	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x310edd…
06-04 17:08:13	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6293e0…
06-04 17:08:00	Spread: France (-2.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x23c71f…
06-04 17:07:37	Spread: France (-1.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0db8bc…
06-04 17:06:34	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xac034d…
06-04 16:59:04	Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	Greece	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x4d659c…
06-04 15:56:34	Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)	Cyprus	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x40825d…
06-04 09:35:22	fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 spread home 2pt5	Hong Kong SAR	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xbf48b1…
06-04 09:28:01	Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x75dc74…
06-03 17:39:42	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x11da73…
05-31 23:06:31	Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x64f53f…
05-31 18:37:52	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xe0a0c0…
05-31 04:15:10	Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9454f0…
05-30 19:43:06	EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xeadaaf…
05-30 18:22:23	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x2a61f9…
05-30 18:22:16	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Coritiba FBC	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xa3f918…
05-30 09:55:49	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x58f3bc…
05-30 08:52:21	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6d2234…
05-30 07:09:33	V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x6596f0…
05-30 07:05:52	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x51e308…
05-30 06:50:12	V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x32759f…
05-30 06:41:48	Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x48b1d6…
05-30 06:23:10	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaa8692…
05-30 05:59:22	Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x042940…
05-30 05:34:43	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc5bb39…
05-30 05:34:43	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x8d8b93…
05-30 05:34:42	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xfa3976…
05-30 05:34:42	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe11f2d…
05-30 05:34:42	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x7ef0f8…
05-30 05:23:30	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6b79be…
05-30 05:05:47	Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)	Gamba Ōsaka	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x178697…
05-30 05:03:41	V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6c5cc6…
05-30 04:38:56	Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x392e0d…
05-30 04:22:23	Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6a0dec…
05-30 04:08:43	Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xbe8473…
05-30 04:08:25	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xae4c8a…
05-29 10:35:49	Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2a1514…
05-28 20:51:20	SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x057963…
05-27 21:51:23	Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x3088f8…
05-27 21:22:39	Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)	Club Independiente Petrolero	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xfc4677…
05-27 15:51:00	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x26a89b…
05-27 12:56:19	CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xccf22b…
05-27 12:56:19	CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x648b80…
05-26 23:39:43	Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)	CD Cuenca	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x87fbf7…
05-26 23:24:19	CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x3ecda6…
05-26 23:20:23	Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)	Cusco FC	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x5c630a…
05-26 20:56:00	Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)	Club Always Ready	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xacc7f8…
05-26 07:40:02	Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)	CA Boston River	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6a5269…
05-25 22:09:51	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x73df9f…
05-25 13:33:27	CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	32	45¢	$14	0x2b10c3…
05-24 17:52:07	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x461a21…
05-24 17:50:05	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0xa7d700…
05-24 14:34:01	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0xb6648d…
05-24 14:33:58	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x54dc9d…
05-24 13:47:11	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x0b15dd…
05-24 12:06:12	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xba91e8…
05-24 11:57:25	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb30868…
05-24 11:57:25	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6fd138…
05-24 11:29:59	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3d46b6…
05-24 06:11:48	Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0xdba6fa…
05-24 05:45:42	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x63bb63…
05-24 05:37:37	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x3f91ba…
05-24 03:46:10	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x8943ac…
05-23 17:38:57	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0x2c3415…
05-23 15:02:09	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x8c5972…
05-23 11:35:56	Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x386e75…
05-23 07:31:42	Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xc4084e…
05-23 05:18:03	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xfa8a5a…
05-21 20:19:48	Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd4ef07…
05-21 01:19:00	Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2d3f54…
05-20 14:35:19	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	Club Cerro Porteño	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x443fe3…
05-20 14:24:46	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	Club Cerro Porteño	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc5d85…
05-20 14:24:46	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	Club Cerro Porteño	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8bdb6d…
05-20 14:24:46	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	Club Cerro Porteño	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x27a571…
05-19 18:40:46	Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)	Club Libertad	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3cb314…