Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$414

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-31 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

69% 26% +$30

Politics

27% 20% -$3

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-10	-$8	96¢	$-10	-$1	08-31 12:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-9	-$8	97¢	$-8	-$1	08-31 12:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	-100	$0	1¢	$-1	$0	07-10 07:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	01-28 16:25
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$99	0	100	-100	No	-$1	06-24 08:58
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$42	45	0	+45	No	+$3	03-23 08:05
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	3	$34	222	222	+0	Yes	+$14	07-04 18:46
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?	1	$20	200	0	+200	No	-$20	07-04 19:08
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	2	$11	91	7	+84	Yes	+$75	07-02 20:22
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	08-31 12:26
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	18	$8	3,920	0	+3,920	No	-$8	02-02 17:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$8	0	9	-9	open	—	08-31 12:26
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?	2	$7	117	0	+117	No	-$7	07-04 16:51
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	14	14	+0	No	+$4	04-08 05:58
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 rma1	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	01-28 17:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$5	24	0	+24	No	-$5	03-04 21:12
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	04-29 17:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	-$5	03-21 09:45
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$4	0	24	-24	Yes	+$4	05-20 19:00
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	2	$4	8	8	+0	No	-$2	07-07 17:34
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	2	$3	43	43	+0	No	-$3	07-09 21:57
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	1	$3	38	0	+38	No	-$3	07-04 07:51
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?	1	$3	97	0	+97	No	-$3	07-12 11:20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	07-04 07:45
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	06-24 08:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3	22	22	+0	No	-$1	04-08 05:58
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$2	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-07 08:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	34	34	+0	No	-$2	05-15 10:25
ucl ars kai1 2026 01 28 draw	1	$2	50	0	+50	No	-$2	01-28 17:16
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	1	$2	14	0	+14	No	-$2	07-04 19:09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	06-24 08:58
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	1	$2	22	0	+22	No	-$2	07-01 14:06
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	78	0	+78	No	-$1	03-10 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 12:26:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xc8cf04…
08-31 12:26:12	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x24e4a1…
07-12 11:20:04	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xe5584a…
07-10 07:57:11	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9bb0ab…
07-09 21:57:14	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xaa6ee0…
07-09 21:42:31	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x543a6b…
07-09 16:18:20	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x22844e…
07-07 17:34:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5ecd94…
07-07 17:14:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72642b…
07-07 17:14:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7bdb03…
07-04 19:09:25	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x994d98…
07-04 19:08:16	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf80f9d…
07-04 18:46:20	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	222	11¢	$24	0x6db8da…
07-04 16:54:13	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0xfed57f…
07-04 16:51:19	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xda6aeb…
07-04 16:49:13	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x20dff8…
07-04 16:47:28	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x0ae680…
07-04 09:51:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfb77dc…
07-04 07:51:46	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x584f24…
07-04 07:45:47	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xce1398…
07-02 20:22:40	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x42b72b…
07-02 11:13:28	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0b05c8…
07-01 14:06:11	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x5d7ea9…
06-24 08:59:46	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa0d21b…
06-24 08:59:02	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xabb52a…
06-24 08:58:50	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x20dddb…
06-24 08:58:37	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4f2e59…
06-24 08:58:14	Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa16efa…
05-20 19:00:41	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xcbc566…
05-15 10:25:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xb8c127…
05-13 14:25:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xdb4dc0…
04-29 17:28:16	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbc3679…
04-08 05:58:47	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xfca70f…
04-08 05:58:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x0b9452…
03-27 07:26:11	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x501a66…
03-23 08:05:47	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x215669…
03-21 09:45:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x35a089…
03-21 09:45:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc7e81e…
03-10 08:46:57	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb6b8c7…
03-10 08:46:29	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xa9cb05…
03-04 21:12:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x69d990…
02-26 19:53:56	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x965cc7…
02-25 18:34:12	ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 bvb	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5d861f…
02-23 07:50:10	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5921f6…
02-17 08:44:41	hood up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27bab3…
02-07 08:30:49	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1d6cd1…
02-07 08:25:45	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2bafb…
02-02 17:19:28	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x7e7e1f…
02-02 17:18:54	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0x03d82f…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xfe9f7a…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xf6ec3f…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe7b348…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xdc3c51…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	402	0¢	$1	0xc21cb6…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x90deaa…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x3fde51…
02-02 17:18:52	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0x3d6476…
02-02 17:15:58	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xe3fa39…
02-02 17:15:46	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x09c9f9…
02-02 16:20:40	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	414	0¢	$1	0x936e23…
02-02 15:05:42	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$2	0x0c9120…
02-02 14:48:50	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x191995…
02-02 08:43:12	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	520	0¢	$1	0x113203…
02-01 13:46:48	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x34f88a…
01-31 23:33:42	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$1	0xb3893c…
01-31 23:18:28	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xbb6342…
01-28 17:16:22	ucl ars kai1 2026 01 28 draw	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x67cae5…
01-28 17:15:44	ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 rma1	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xeaa25e…
01-28 16:25:34	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4aeade…
01-28 16:04:26	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe2cb98…