Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$292

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-08 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$5

Other

31% 33% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes		-15	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	06-08 19:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	3	$48	51	0	+51	open	—	05-01 15:05
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	2	$40	41	41	+0	open	—	04-08 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-28 13:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$5	05-08 10:56
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	06-08 19:27
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 13:39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$15	71	0	+71	open	—	04-14 13:16
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 15:59
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	03-31 15:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	05-12 12:08
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	2	$9	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 16:36
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 16:59
chatgpt outage by april 17 838	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-06 16:44
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	1	$5	101	0	+101	open	—	04-20 12:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	06-08 19:26
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	06-08 19:26
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	3	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	04-13 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-13 10:41
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	$-2	04-28 13:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-08 19:26
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-06 17:34
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 11:20
Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	7	$1	50	0	+50	No	$-1	04-17 22:12
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$0	0	15	-15	open	—	06-08 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:27:07	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa48b03…
06-08 19:26:58	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xaaf0d2…
06-08 19:26:46	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x155602…
06-08 19:26:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x501334…
06-08 19:18:30	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x69580a…
05-12 12:08:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfbfb6d…
05-08 10:56:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xae813e…
05-04 16:59:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xac2cf9…
05-04 16:36:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x4c4252…
05-04 16:36:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xdcd8f2…
05-04 16:25:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x278e95…
05-01 15:05:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x9a08f0…
04-30 18:15:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb8cc81…
04-30 15:59:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x750559…
04-30 15:57:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x50adcf…
04-28 13:39:04	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9cb061…
04-28 13:38:34	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6ef31a…
04-28 13:37:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x27237d…
04-20 12:49:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x965b53…
04-20 12:43:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xb3d29b…
04-17 22:12:52	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x816c01…
04-17 17:11:36	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc0733b…
04-17 14:41:30	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xfc972b…
04-17 06:43:56	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xc1130f…
04-15 21:54:04	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd96c52…
04-14 13:16:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x6b58ec…
04-13 22:45:15	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2ec100…
04-13 11:34:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xea338c…
04-13 11:20:59	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x32bea8…
04-13 10:48:17	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd3b96c…
04-13 10:41:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x914f6d…
04-13 09:37:37	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa912da…
04-13 09:37:11	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x672444…
04-08 15:08:39	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	No	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0x82872c…
04-06 17:34:37	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x85ac14…
04-06 17:24:35	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x84ea66…
04-06 17:00:15	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xece992…
04-06 16:44:29	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8511e0…
03-31 15:22:13	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x06e90a…
03-31 15:21:37	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x90fdf6…
03-31 15:20:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xf0d74c…
03-31 15:19:57	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	No	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0x122093…