Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

276

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$60.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-20

last 10-27 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

74% 98% -$3,525

Politics

20% 98% +$40

Tech

4% 100% +$13

Crypto

3% 100% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	22	$3.4K	3,420	2,480	+940	Yes	-$2,883	10-27 21:15
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	17	$1.7K	876	876	+0	Yes	+$24	10-26 16:37
Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	11	$1.4K	1,434	50	+1,384	No	+$48	10-27 07:01
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	3	$1.3K	1,336	0	+1,336	Yes	+$1	10-26 06:03
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	5	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	Yes	+$4	10-26 10:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	31	$1.2K	691	691	+0	No	+$36	10-22 16:52
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	11	$1.2K	1,056	1,056	+0	No	-$937	10-27 20:47
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	2	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	Yes	+$2	10-26 08:30
Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	8	$1.1K	1,076	50	+1,026	No	+$32	10-27 06:54
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	Yes	+$2	10-22 14:17
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,025	0	+1,025	Yes	+$10	10-27 20:09
Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$1.0K	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$2	10-27 10:51
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$3	10-26 03:08
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	3	$962	963	0	+963	Yes	+$1	10-22 02:10
Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$893	895	0	+895	No	+$2	10-27 10:21
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	3	$815	412	412	+0	Yes	-$8	10-21 12:31
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	1	$751	752	0	+752	Yes	+$2	10-26 10:05
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	6	$701	351	351	+0	Yes	+$1	10-26 20:01
ChatGPT Outage by October 31, 2026?	1	$674	675	0	+675	Yes	+$1	10-22 05:52
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	3	$636	639	0	+639	No	+$3	10-27 10:31
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	6	$630	638	0	+638	Yes	+$8	10-21 01:45
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	12	$629	630	0	+630	Yes	+$1	10-23 17:33
Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	6	$624	315	315	+0	Yes	+$5	10-26 20:02
Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	3	$624	629	0	+629	No	+$5	10-27 07:20
Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	3	$621	622	0	+622	No	+$1	10-27 09:14
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 20, 2026?	2	$584	585	0	+585	No	+$1	10-21 03:55
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 22?	2	$579	580	0	+580	Yes	+$1	10-22 17:22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 23?	2	$579	580	0	+580	Yes	+$1	10-23 16:43
Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	5	$552	528	24	+504	Yes	+$1	10-26 03:58
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$536	536	0	+536	No	+$1	10-27 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:15:33	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x4889de…
10-27 21:15:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xe88549…
10-27 21:14:39	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3e7ddb…
10-27 21:14:29	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	268	2¢	$4	0x2ee001…
10-27 21:04:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	Yes	BUY	470	100¢	$470	0x2c8607…
10-27 20:55:45	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42d019…
10-27 20:51:20	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x0b21b3…
10-27 20:48:39	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6b26dc…
10-27 20:47:44	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3648cb…
10-27 20:47:32	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x0d0fc4…
10-27 20:46:54	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	1,058	1¢	$11	0xad3f73…
10-27 20:46:08	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa3e3cc…
10-27 20:46:02	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xb6ce4f…
10-27 20:45:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	692	5¢	$36	0x57fcfb…
10-27 20:43:06	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	202	24¢	$49	0x2e778e…
10-27 20:37:41	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0xf0c974…
10-27 20:37:36	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x05ae66…
10-27 20:29:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 10.5%+?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0xb0228e…
10-27 20:23:00	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0b2eb0…
10-27 20:21:23	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0xe5bf90…
10-27 20:20:47	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x8f2f5e…
10-27 20:20:41	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x53d4d6…
10-27 20:20:33	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1c34dd…
10-27 20:20:30	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5889fc…
10-27 20:19:50	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x6c7290…
10-27 20:19:42	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	350	98¢	$344	0x28b991…
10-27 20:19:33	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0xd85634…
10-27 20:19:05	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x9aef78…
10-27 20:18:21	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 10.5%+?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x261975…
10-27 20:17:15	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2e34d4…
10-27 20:17:14	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	239	99¢	$236	0xc6958c…
10-27 20:17:05	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8dcfef…
10-27 20:16:12	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 10.5%+?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x39effa…
10-27 20:15:54	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0x51f953…
10-27 20:15:45	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x88fc10…
10-27 20:15:41	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e8eb7…
10-27 20:09:33	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	825	99¢	$817	0xd06c8a…
10-27 20:01:23	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb0fbc7…
10-27 19:57:11	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7832b6…
10-27 10:51:38	Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	519	100¢	$517	0x26dfa0…
10-27 10:31:59	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa753a0…
10-27 10:31:54	Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4e1232…
10-27 10:30:21	Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x31291e…
10-27 10:22:15	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x585d3e…
10-27 10:22:12	Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x916e2c…
10-27 10:22:00	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x75ec7e…
10-27 10:21:51	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	376	99¢	$373	0x8072a8…
10-27 10:21:51	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	522	100¢	$520	0x067a9a…
10-27 10:21:32	Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0xb195f0…
10-27 10:21:21	Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	895	100¢	$893	0x4add18…
10-27 10:21:14	Will Princess Charlene of Monaco attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x30c8cc…
10-27 09:26:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xfa5865…
10-27 09:14:51	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$436	0x46a575…
10-27 09:14:41	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x03a5ba…
10-27 09:14:15	Will Jürgen Klopp attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa080a9…
10-27 08:43:00	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d4e82…
10-27 08:42:30	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x63b463…
10-27 07:20:06	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xed7023…
10-27 07:16:23	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x650b3f…
10-27 07:15:44	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd5ee1…
10-27 07:11:35	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	452	99¢	$448	0x5a9832…
10-27 07:11:12	Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x61ee2e…
10-27 07:01:33	Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$137	0x365025…
10-27 07:01:17	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0x907e75…
10-27 06:57:14	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdef93b…
10-27 06:55:50	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x94a88d…
10-27 06:54:38	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	506	100¢	$505	0x888e0e…
10-27 06:53:11	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x19fe0a…
10-27 06:50:24	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x66694d…
10-27 06:40:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 4%-8%?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x6f49f2…
10-27 06:16:41	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 4%-8%?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x798b3e…
10-27 06:16:35	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 0%-4%?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xca9172…
10-27 06:12:33	Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xa08f45…
10-27 06:11:05	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x629cb2…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd05172…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xbbd786…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x567054…
10-26 20:01:06	Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x87db41…
10-26 20:00:35	Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x97b789…
10-26 19:19:29	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0xdc63b0…
10-26 19:18:26	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x66ce19…
10-26 19:16:24	Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbf0d42…
10-26 19:13:35	Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf96a09…
10-26 19:13:29	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb5b723…
10-26 19:12:51	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21f8bc…
10-26 19:12:36	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x42b33b…
10-26 19:12:30	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x88afe1…
10-26 19:11:06	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	515	96¢	$494	0xdc1c47…
10-26 19:09:11	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x65a97c…
10-26 19:05:15	Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x49b455…
10-26 19:05:08	Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa65510…
10-26 18:42:42	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0xd00257…
10-26 18:37:14	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x29fedb…
10-26 18:34:48	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1039c1…
10-26 18:25:15	Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x7cf2d0…
10-26 18:07:23	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x112969…
10-26 18:07:18	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x9f277f…
10-26 17:56:24	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6151fb…
10-26 17:43:48	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x2ba758…
10-26 17:35:47	Will Julián Quiñones finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xaefd04…