Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$388

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$397

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-21

last 10-21 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

63% 33% -$388

Other

37% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+255	$215	95¢	$242	+$27	10-12 14:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+114	$100	94¢	$107	+$7	10-21 13:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+74	$50	66¢	$48	-$2	10-20 15:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$215	255	+255	open	—	10-12 14:56
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	1	$115	129	+129	open	—	10-07 11:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	1	$115	122	+122	No	+$7	10-07 11:22
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	1	$105	109	+109	No	+$4	09-29 13:02
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	197	+197	Yes	-$100	10-12 14:53
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	1	$100	167	+167	Yes	-$100	10-12 14:50
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	1	$100	133	+133	Yes	-$100	10-12 14:44
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	1	$100	114	+114	open	—	09-29 12:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$100	114	+114	open	—	10-21 13:51
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	3	$99	150	+150	Yes	-$99	10-12 15:13
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	1	$50	62	+62	open	—	10-20 15:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$50	74	+74	open	—	10-20 15:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 13:51:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd25f44…
10-20 15:34:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x34b3fe…
10-20 15:31:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xb1ea2a…
10-12 15:13:36	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xbc54ec…
10-12 15:05:50	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xf97de1…
10-12 14:56:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8d60a1…
10-12 14:53:18	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xf8ef8f…
10-12 14:50:12	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x987ef4…
10-12 14:46:47	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x3d19ce…
10-12 14:44:42	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xc3e4bb…
10-07 11:33:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	82¢	$115	0x8b71d6…
10-07 11:31:05	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	129	89¢	$115	0x2c95cb…
10-07 11:22:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x6fb393…
09-29 13:02:18	Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$105	0x78c133…
09-29 12:58:50	Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x413e76…
09-21 03:18:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b4857…
09-21 03:15:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5db1c0…