Giddy-Effective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

262

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$740

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-21 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 64% -$7

Politics

10% 50% -$15

Other

8% 37% -$32

Sports

4% 83% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	2	$32	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 20:56
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$23	90	4	+86	No	-$19	06-21 20:56
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	1	$22	138	0	+138	No	-$22	05-25 04:58
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	3	$16	104	104	+0	No	+$1	04-28 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:35 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	04-14 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:40 UTC	4	$13	9	7	+2	Down	$0	04-14 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:50 UTC	3	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	04-15 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 13:45 UTC	4	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:15 UTC	3	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:40 UTC	3	$10	7	6	+0	Up	+$3	04-15 04:45
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$10	6	6	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-08 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:15 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:20 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	04-14 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:45 UTC	3	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:30 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	04-14 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:30 UTC	2	$8	7	6	+0	Up	+$5	04-14 23:35
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$8	4	4	+0	Hurricanes	+$1	05-08 03:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:45 UTC	3	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:25 UTC	3	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-14 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:55 UTC	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-14 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:15 UTC	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-15 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:05 UTC	3	$7	8	3	+5	Down	-$1	04-14 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:30 UTC	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:50 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:15 UTC	3	$6	19	5	+14	Up	-$1	04-14 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:35 UTC	3	$6	13	4	+9	Down	-$2	04-14 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 17:05 UTC	3	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-14 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:10 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-14 06:15
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$6	3	3	+0	New York Mets	+$1	05-07 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:15 UTC	3	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 20:56:32	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x2ed62c…
06-21 20:56:10	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$16	0xc7f915…
06-21 20:55:41	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xf0beec…
05-25 04:58:47	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	138	16¢	$22	0x61292f…
05-18 21:27:04	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x31794a…
05-08 03:59:06	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x62b26c…
05-08 03:15:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd596be…
05-08 03:12:56	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x84cc87…
05-08 01:54:00	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbbd93f…
05-07 04:13:22	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x11b00d…
05-07 02:14:26	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc6c8ab…
05-06 19:07:19	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe72e64…
05-06 19:05:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xacaa13…
05-06 19:04:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe9c51e…
05-06 19:02:07	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x18695f…
05-06 19:01:18	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x083a5b…
05-06 18:59:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1bc61c…
05-06 18:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca5428…
05-06 17:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c6411…
05-06 16:12:52	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xf5592c…
05-05 05:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1321ed…
04-30 00:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x58972e…
04-30 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8b0b43…
04-30 00:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1454c3…
04-30 00:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4f158c…
04-30 00:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xabf2a7…
04-30 00:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2762bc…
04-30 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba3f6a…
04-30 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e3a81…
04-29 03:31:52	Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	regain	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x321a0b…
04-29 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa57850…
04-29 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x21e5e2…
04-29 02:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4da757…
04-29 02:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3576a2…
04-29 02:04:00	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd4eb5e…
04-29 02:03:10	Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	F5 Esports	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4e3aa2…
04-29 02:03:04	Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	regain	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x006ad2…
04-29 02:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xae2ba8…
04-29 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x402ac9…
04-29 01:21:34	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x95f238…
04-28 22:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x313d4c…
04-28 22:07:12	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x79500f…
04-28 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2b47d0…
04-28 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84514e…
04-28 21:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9828c5…
04-28 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdbb2c9…
04-28 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab2cc8…
04-28 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92f216…
04-28 21:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x31a735…
04-28 20:59:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85aded…
04-28 20:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa55673…
04-28 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4fbe40…
04-28 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7cde7a…
04-28 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x989d8b…
04-28 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9a72d0…
04-28 14:59:26	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe6dd5a…
04-28 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x810be2…
04-28 14:44:22	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcfee37…
04-28 14:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x74fe2a…
04-28 14:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x022708…
04-28 14:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xfe8fdb…
04-28 06:54:06	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa8a236…
04-28 06:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd4cec7…
04-28 06:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd6bb20…
04-28 06:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x38242a…
04-28 06:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdb956a…
04-28 06:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdab56d…
04-28 06:22:54	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdb80a5…
04-28 06:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe44fa7…
04-28 06:14:02	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf50228…
04-28 06:13:16	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e9306…
04-28 06:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbaf64c…
04-28 06:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2154c1…
04-28 06:07:24	Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Oleksii Krutykh	Antoine Ghibaudo	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb1e3a…
04-28 06:05:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69098e…
04-28 06:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x735d3a…
04-28 05:59:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	104	8¢	$9	0xe3a9a3…
04-28 05:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x304e0b…
04-28 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x93dd68…
04-28 05:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf9d740…
04-28 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5ac545…
04-28 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x4454ee…
04-28 04:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9afa3e…
04-28 04:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7790bd…
04-28 04:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x740d49…
04-28 04:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x084c81…
04-28 04:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb53258…
04-28 04:30:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x46e9ac…
04-28 04:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcab902…
04-18 22:19:42	lol sen fly 2026 04 18	Sentinels	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x542179…
04-18 22:17:44	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x0fb42a…
04-18 22:15:38	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1e7e6b…
04-18 22:13:48	highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1d7c5a…
04-18 22:11:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb76fb…
04-18 22:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe93153…
04-18 22:09:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x50d5f8…
04-18 22:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc4b8cb…
04-18 22:05:38	highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x03ca8f…
04-18 22:03:54	highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c67a1…
04-18 00:04:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6e5e21…