Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
116
Trades
815
lifetime
Volume
$34.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
80% 85% -$792
Sports
11% 75% +$102
Politics
9% 75% +$740
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 369 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +313 $312 100¢ $312 +$0 10-26 12:14
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +310 $302 98¢ $305 +$3 10-22 03:11
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +244 $242 99¢ $243 +$0 10-25 18:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +241 $235 97¢ $233 -$2 10-24 00:33
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +233 $227 93¢ $218 -$9 10-22 03:46
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +157 $156 99¢ $155 -$1 10-26 17:42
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +129 $129 99¢ $127 -$1 10-23 15:47
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +123 $34 100¢ $123 +$90 10-27 18:55
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-25 21:08
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 $0 10-21 17:57
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +181 $94 44¢ $79 -$15 10-25 19:47
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $74 98¢ $74 +$1 10-23 02:36
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +58 $57 97¢ $57 $0 10-22 06:04
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 10-21 08:48
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +46 $45 98¢ $45 $0 10-26 08:54
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +46 $43 94¢ $43 +$0 10-22 02:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $37 86¢ $38 +$1 10-26 11:20
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +37 $37 99¢ $37 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 $0 10-26 02:36
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +36 $30 90¢ $32 +$3 10-25 03:46
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $32 94¢ $32 -$1 10-14 04:22
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 10-21 04:31
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +32 $29 89¢ $28 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $28 96¢ $28 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +27 $23 84¢ $23 $0 10-19 14:04
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +25 $20 85¢ $21 +$1 10-08 12:02
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No — +17 $17 99¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 10-20 21:07