Ringed-Supervision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 07-31 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 30% -$5

Other

35% 41% -$5

Politics

15% 53% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	+9	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	07-30 12:14
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	+14	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	07-25 09:13
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+13	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-20 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?	6	$20	23	23	+0	Yes	+$4	06-01 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$12	06-02 23:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	3	$13	16	7	+9	Yes	$0	06-01 17:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	3	$13	12	7	+5	No	-$1	06-01 17:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 13:16
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	6	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 10:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	7	$9	14	10	+4	Up	+$1	06-02 16:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$8	13	13	+0	Yes	+$6	06-18 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:45 UTC	3	$8	28	11	+17	Down	+$4	07-30 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	06-02 23:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-30 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$6	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	06-03 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	3	$5	29	9	+20	Down	+$1	07-29 15:39
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	2	$5	33	33	+0	No	-$5	07-29 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	3	$5	5	2	+2	No	+$1	05-31 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$5	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 01:14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	05-28 10:07
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	07-29 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	06-03 05:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-31 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$4	9	4	+5	Up	$0	06-03 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:40 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	07-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	06-03 05:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-31 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$4	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	06-03 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	3	$4	12	5	+7	Up	$0	07-23 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-31 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$3	12	6	+6	Down	-$1	06-02 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 16:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa2dd25…
07-31 16:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1bac6b…
07-30 21:13:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50438d…
07-30 21:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc46330…
07-30 21:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9155f5…
07-30 20:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7b14ac…
07-30 20:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5cc1e9…
07-30 20:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x85ea0d…
07-30 20:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x61f5f8…
07-30 20:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xef0e4f…
07-30 12:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea6f9b…
07-30 12:14:38	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x207a79…
07-29 18:18:15	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe08e24…
07-29 18:17:44	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcfe7d7…
07-29 16:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x969593…
07-29 16:46:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8af168…
07-29 16:46:45	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x24f699…
07-29 15:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0xeda340…
07-29 15:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84c3c5…
07-29 15:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfbe000…
07-29 15:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfb3eed…
07-29 15:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x2f27a0…
07-29 15:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x09d7fa…
07-29 15:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa6ef0d…
07-29 15:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xbbad1f…
07-29 15:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf8578c…
07-29 15:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4f761b…
07-29 15:26:33	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf3496…
07-29 15:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf7d041…
07-29 15:19:53	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xe97e26…
07-29 15:19:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x056e16…
07-25 16:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x52533a…
07-25 16:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac382a…
07-25 09:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x81ed05…
07-25 09:13:16	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2fa01a…
07-25 09:09:37	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf2ada8…
07-23 21:57:45	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8472ad…
07-23 20:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb8c856…
07-23 20:57:09	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x586a7b…
07-23 20:52:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4f54bb…
07-23 20:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc00e79…
07-23 20:47:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2af5ff…
07-23 20:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x101f7a…
07-23 20:46:21	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x232b45…
07-23 19:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x552c35…
07-23 19:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x494424…
07-23 19:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3cd57b…
07-23 18:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7cd7b5…
07-23 18:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc1cc01…
07-23 18:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfc62dd…
07-23 18:38:33	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc845e0…
07-23 18:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf4b22a…
07-23 18:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x85a074…
06-20 10:35:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xebb117…
06-20 10:32:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xfadca9…
06-20 10:31:46	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x87a2be…
06-18 22:26:53	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x086024…
06-18 18:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5839c4…
06-18 17:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb60ace…
06-18 16:55:23	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3ec721…
06-18 16:55:07	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x419244…
06-18 16:53:04	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd9b8eb…
06-18 16:50:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x8181bf…
06-12 14:22:57	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7f2d23…
06-12 14:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9b8831…
06-12 12:42:24	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7ec4f8…
06-12 12:27:22	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x34ef5f…
06-03 06:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x47c949…
06-03 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x77eb64…
06-03 05:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x6577a0…
06-03 05:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x901f99…
06-03 05:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x084d25…
06-03 05:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x40d8a3…
06-03 05:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5de2e3…
06-03 05:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x453067…
06-03 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xc3f0e5…
06-03 05:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x281907…
06-03 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x85f5cb…
06-03 05:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3f0a06…
06-03 05:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x92f388…
06-03 05:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x800f08…
06-03 05:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb9502a…
06-03 04:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c73ef…
06-03 01:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xab1c27…
06-03 01:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe36efb…
06-03 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x71c277…
06-03 01:40:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xd57443…
06-03 01:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x90ea95…
06-03 01:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x432a82…
06-03 01:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3e13ec…
06-03 01:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe52377…
06-03 01:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfdeb13…
06-03 01:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x975b32…
06-03 01:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4fa3f8…
06-03 01:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0cc200…
06-03 01:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x890f86…
06-03 01:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xe73eef…
06-03 01:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x232855…
06-03 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa3d5ec…
06-03 00:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf781aa…