Courteous-Lord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-23 05:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Other

34% 25% $-45

Tech

13% — —

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	36¢	$0	$-0	07-21 05:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	16	$1.2K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	07-07 03:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	11	$773	605	605	+0	open	—	07-22 11:58
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	8	$710	600	600	+0	open	—	07-19 04:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	4	$632	400	400	+0	open	—	07-19 09:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	11	$424	606	406	+200	open	—	07-21 06:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-22 00:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 03:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 03:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 03:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 03:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$316	400	400	+0	open	—	07-21 05:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	6	$310	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 00:12
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	2	$268	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 07:09
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	6	$258	600	600	+0	open	—	07-22 20:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$246	311	311	+0	open	—	07-03 03:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 07:34
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$216	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 21:59
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	7	$215	124	124	+0	open	—	07-02 04:09
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 07:28
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	6	$207	200	200	+0	open	—	07-22 14:38
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$200	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 06:47
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$193	160	38	+122	open	—	02-22 21:15
will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	2	$191	109	109	+0	open	—	07-02 03:25
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	4	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-40	05-12 01:39
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$158	298	298	+0	open	—	02-16 05:59
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$156	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 08:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$153	450	450	+0	open	—	07-01 00:01
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	2	$150	200	200	+0	open	—	07-06 22:47
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	02-12 17:36
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$140	0	286	-286	open	—	01-26 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 05:12:27	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x87b4ba…
07-23 03:30:54	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70f100…
07-23 03:00:31	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x19009c…
07-23 03:00:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb75317…
07-23 03:00:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0xafb3e9…
07-22 20:34:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x50f808…
07-22 14:38:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	90	51¢	$46	0x0e06fa…
07-22 14:38:21	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x5b0759…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5ecfc8…
07-22 08:03:21	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xfbda06…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 05:36:37	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5e5807…
07-22 05:36:33	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x0793e1…
07-22 05:36:31	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb485ef…
07-22 04:09:30	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4f5c12…
07-22 01:16:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x364787…
07-22 00:05:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x27e1ad…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 05:47:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xa88b33…
07-21 05:45:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x00d16c…
07-21 05:45:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	41¢	$71	0x9eb118…
07-21 05:29:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3ac574…
07-21 04:08:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xca1654…
07-21 04:06:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xb430c4…
07-21 03:06:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x3c0ae9…
07-21 02:52:46	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x12e7e0…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-21 02:15:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x55e186…
07-21 02:15:48	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xdc45fa…
07-20 14:52:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	117	63¢	$74	0xa788bf…
07-20 14:43:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xa87c23…
07-20 11:26:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x337ae2…
07-20 11:18:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	69	63¢	$43	0xaa1cf1…
07-20 09:57:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xbdb9f1…
07-20 07:56:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1b2219…
07-20 07:31:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0ee00a…
07-20 07:30:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x86528d…
07-20 05:37:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xa66fc2…
07-20 05:37:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd1c6da…
07-20 01:14:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd24322…
07-19 14:56:15	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xb55bd1…
07-19 09:48:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x703eb9…
07-19 07:33:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7b82b6…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x95f494…
07-19 04:38:03	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xbcc53e…
07-19 04:37:51	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	58	16¢	$9	0x4cf0cc…
07-19 04:37:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	142	16¢	$23	0xe7e936…
07-19 03:24:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x87278f…
07-19 03:24:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	114	69¢	$78	0x3cb802…
07-19 03:11:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	73	71¢	$52	0xcba328…
07-19 03:11:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x17280d…
07-19 03:11:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf16654…
07-19 03:11:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x2d9b8c…
07-19 03:11:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	86	71¢	$61	0x8ca9bb…
07-19 02:53:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	140	82¢	$115	0x8189e7…
07-19 02:53:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x8ec760…
07-18 07:55:58	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xecaa88…
07-18 06:58:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x694af2…
07-18 06:38:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa12916…
07-18 04:43:57	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xc2032e…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xefbca3…
07-18 04:11:48	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe8203a…
07-17 07:54:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x881c5e…
07-17 05:07:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x3ae3fc…
07-17 03:57:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x8812fe…
07-17 03:35:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x71d638…
07-16 08:08:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x3ab64f…
07-16 07:37:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xf30032…
07-16 06:12:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x345642…
07-16 04:20:53	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x4b06ee…
07-16 03:23:22	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xf2b238…
07-16 03:02:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x922a2c…
07-16 03:02:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3b71af…
07-16 02:43:05	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xb1dafb…
07-15 03:27:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x2a0331…
07-15 03:07:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xfda72c…
07-15 02:56:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x9b0112…
07-15 02:15:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x8bd9e0…
07-14 03:13:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x949754…
07-14 02:26:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x49f273…
07-14 01:31:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x057cf0…
07-14 01:31:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x945dd4…
07-12 03:50:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xfc9991…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x498ff9…
07-09 07:20:22	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe740bc…
07-09 06:36:19	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xacf052…
07-09 06:36:16	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x345ba7…
07-09 06:36:14	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xe1f18d…
07-09 05:46:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xf97649…
07-09 05:21:56	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xb35f0e…
07-09 05:13:08	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xd1fc90…
07-09 05:12:50	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x4f5a69…
07-08 10:31:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x558c8d…
07-08 08:22:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0xdba401…
07-08 08:22:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	95	13¢	$12	0xc76b1f…
07-08 08:22:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd87331…
07-08 08:22:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xddbc69…
07-08 08:22:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe889ae…
07-08 08:22:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x99b5c1…
07-08 08:22:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x788c0d…