Courteous-Lord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-05 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 25% $-45

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Tech

9% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$200	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 06:47
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$193	160	38	+122	open	—	02-22 21:15
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	4	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-40	05-12 01:39
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$158	298	298	+0	open	—	02-16 05:59
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	02-12 17:36
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$140	0	286	-286	open	—	01-26 01:14
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$125	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 08:15
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	4	$115	150	150	+0	Michael	$-2	04-28 22:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	7	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 06:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 11:48
will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	2	$69	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 12:01
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	6	$64	220	220	+0	open	—	05-14 01:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	06-05 13:53
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$52	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 01:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 00:35
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 02:06
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 01:02
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 01:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	1	$38	44	0	+44	open	—	02-04 02:54
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	06-05 13:12
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	01-26 01:19
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 14:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	2	$34	50	50	+0	Yes	$-3	05-08 07:22
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	1	$28	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 08:07
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$25	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 01:21
Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	1	$23	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 01:30
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:52:21	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x0c1642…
06-05 17:49:52	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x9b3e32…
06-05 15:11:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x8d23bc…
06-05 15:05:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x274a7f…
06-05 13:53:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xa1744f…
06-05 13:48:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x0d36fc…
06-05 13:12:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xab06be…
06-05 13:09:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa6d2fb…
06-05 12:01:10	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0x307158…
06-05 11:59:09	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x9c5f9c…
05-16 08:15:34	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$59	0x2032bf…
05-16 07:54:29	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xb56e07…
05-14 02:06:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x282c06…
05-14 02:06:26	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x2e89cb…
05-14 01:37:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc4dafc…
05-14 01:31:31	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xcc28f3…
05-14 01:30:30	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2a720a…
05-14 01:26:16	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x53ec9b…
05-14 01:21:38	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6b4e20…
05-14 01:21:31	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4a9d49…
05-14 01:20:33	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xc0d8d9…
05-14 01:20:26	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x943067…
05-14 01:20:24	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2fe0d7…
05-14 01:20:17	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x70cc4c…
05-14 01:15:49	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x270a88…
05-14 01:13:00	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x33459e…
05-14 01:00:18	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xec3a1c…
05-14 01:00:11	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xae73cb…
05-14 00:47:37	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x8f7117…
05-14 00:46:25	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x30953f…
05-14 00:46:20	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x83dd62…
05-14 00:45:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2353c3…
05-14 00:45:10	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x8f125a…
05-14 00:44:56	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x431dba…
05-14 00:35:48	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x080ac3…
05-14 00:35:36	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0x95c1b5…
05-14 00:35:36	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7d9fe3…
05-13 23:44:09	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x936805…
05-13 23:43:08	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x7df06f…
05-13 23:42:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x337688…
05-13 23:33:57	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x87da6a…
05-13 23:33:48	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x89dff3…
05-13 23:28:21	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfb65a4…
05-13 23:28:15	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x248c38…
05-13 23:20:35	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1fc2d6…
05-13 23:20:28	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xff5954…
05-13 23:17:49	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xa90cec…
05-13 23:11:33	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x443217…
05-13 23:11:22	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xfdf705…
05-13 23:11:05	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xceca6b…
05-13 23:10:56	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x92789e…
05-13 23:05:15	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x051745…
05-13 23:05:08	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa47b7d…
05-13 22:54:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x020df1…
05-12 01:39:07	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0x2765fc…
05-12 01:28:36	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	BUY	949	11¢	$104	0xa62efd…
05-12 01:28:32	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x639777…
05-12 01:28:30	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0xd5c53b…
05-12 01:12:05	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xe9e33c…
05-12 01:12:00	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0576d2…
05-08 07:22:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x825987…
05-08 07:15:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x1e226f…
05-07 01:02:36	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x395779…
05-07 01:02:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x457e0e…
05-05 12:28:42	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xdd6579…
05-05 11:41:12	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x697358…
05-05 11:41:10	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x17164d…
04-30 01:11:40	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xce03c4…
04-30 00:40:28	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc07dad…
04-29 01:30:44	Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x370720…
04-28 22:19:56	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x28dd5b…
04-28 22:19:36	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xe7307c…
04-28 15:20:14	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6ebc36…
04-28 08:51:54	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc7068c…
04-28 08:07:18	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xb57eb5…
04-28 07:52:42	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1f58f5…
04-28 01:03:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x4741cc…
04-28 01:03:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$11	0x2e7157…
04-27 14:48:08	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x47bb48…
04-27 14:47:52	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xeeccc0…
04-27 14:10:40	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x37dc42…
04-27 14:05:40	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xa31a69…
04-27 14:05:10	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x795785…
04-27 11:48:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xf56398…
04-27 11:47:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x2195f0…
04-27 11:01:52	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9c628b…
04-27 10:41:42	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x9b9ff9…
04-27 06:48:58	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9c334a…
04-27 06:48:50	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x815dfe…
04-27 06:48:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x716249…
04-27 06:48:26	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xc92495…
04-27 06:47:58	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0xf8eeaa…
04-27 05:00:34	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xf6d27e…
04-27 05:00:26	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9bf84a…
04-27 04:52:14	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x59521e…
04-27 04:35:20	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x51c71a…
04-27 04:26:26	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x3e62e2…
04-27 03:40:16	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x40bd15…
04-27 03:36:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xbb1862…
04-27 01:06:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x84eb23…