Courteous-Lord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-01 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 25% $-45

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

10% — —

Sports

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$390	250	250	+0	open	—	07-01 04:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	07-01 02:18
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$200	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 06:47
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$193	160	38	+122	open	—	02-22 21:15
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	4	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-40	05-12 01:39
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$158	298	298	+0	open	—	02-16 05:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$153	450	450	+0	open	—	07-01 00:01
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	02-12 17:36
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$140	0	286	-286	open	—	01-26 01:14
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$125	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 08:15
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	4	$115	150	150	+0	Michael	$-2	04-28 22:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	7	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 06:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 11:48
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	4	$90	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 07:16
will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	2	$69	100	0	+100	open	—	06-05 12:01
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	6	$64	220	220	+0	open	—	05-14 01:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	06-05 13:53
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$52	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 01:31
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	6	$46	57	57	+0	open	—	06-27 03:10
will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-19 06:17
will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	06-24 21:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 00:35
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 02:06
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 01:02
will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	06-19 05:30
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	05-14 01:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	1	$38	44	0	+44	open	—	02-04 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:30:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	168	10¢	$17	0xdd1f2e…
07-01 07:16:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x9dcfb8…
07-01 07:16:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x7e0d04…
07-01 07:15:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	BUY	168	11¢	$18	0x0538ce…
07-01 04:51:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	250	77¢	$192	0x61a3ac…
07-01 03:02:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0x77ffce…
07-01 02:43:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xcce40a…
07-01 02:42:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x605691…
07-01 02:18:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x5edcad…
07-01 02:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x1965ff…
07-01 00:01:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	132	14¢	$19	0xf15e0d…
06-30 23:38:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6cdc02…
06-30 23:38:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x550b09…
06-30 23:34:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe283ec…
06-30 23:31:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x129920…
06-30 23:28:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	86	17¢	$15	0x1eb9bb…
06-30 23:15:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x48cd2f…
06-29 11:31:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	192	18¢	$35	0x99a68a…
06-29 11:31:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xec8f16…
06-29 08:14:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x9c852f…
06-27 03:10:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xa99c41…
06-27 03:10:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x4c5e80…
06-25 23:51:14	will maddox dagenais be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347252	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6da929…
06-25 23:45:52	will tynan lawrence be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346482	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfc57b9…
06-25 23:44:58	will ethan belchetz be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346484	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x0e04b0…
06-25 23:44:01	will tynan lawrence be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346482	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfb9187…
06-25 23:43:43	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260625172638494	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe01691…
06-25 23:40:35	will ethan belchetz be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346484	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa90b32…
06-25 23:39:31	will markus ruck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346502	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8a4615…
06-25 23:39:05	will nikita klepov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346489	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdfa794…
06-25 23:36:32	will xavier villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346492	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x588d2c…
06-25 23:36:29	will xavier villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346492	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6464a4…
06-24 21:46:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6ff469…
06-24 21:46:13	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1200 20260623232159230	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xf896d4…
06-24 21:44:40	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x81be9b…
06-24 16:43:50	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1200 20260623232159230	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6fe3d4…
06-24 16:07:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3c19ad…
06-24 15:53:22	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x8a0870…
06-24 15:11:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1bfea9…
06-24 14:55:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd11bbd…
06-24 10:37:34	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x3e39ab…
06-24 10:22:40	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0964c5…
06-24 09:30:26	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x56d9b8…
06-24 09:08:43	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc42aaf…
06-24 08:19:52	will the announcers say champion during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859857	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9080d3…
06-24 08:00:32	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x1d342d…
06-24 07:33:35	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xaec067…
06-24 07:25:43	will the announcers say champion during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859857	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x516e69…
06-20 00:34:41	will the announcers say messi during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505077	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x562564…
06-20 00:34:37	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x0b7d65…
06-19 12:08:44	will the announcers say messi during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505077	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd7c3cb…
06-19 08:47:26	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x016446…
06-19 07:02:25	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505076	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2b7050…
06-19 07:00:35	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x026470…
06-19 07:00:22	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x977436…
06-19 06:56:59	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x64a25e…
06-19 06:56:58	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa73480…
06-19 06:56:58	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3761db…
06-19 06:39:22	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8becdb…
06-19 06:25:16	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505076	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3938f0…
06-19 06:17:29	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xaea713…
06-19 06:16:52	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x37401a…
06-19 05:58:19	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x71e930…
06-19 05:58:16	will the announcers say qatar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650875	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x826970…
06-19 05:54:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd51839…
06-19 05:53:58	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8c1550…
06-19 05:30:08	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xfc5a62…
06-19 05:24:49	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x49287c…
06-19 04:56:55	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xec64bc…
06-19 04:55:49	will the announcers say history during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650879	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xba4e46…
06-19 04:39:22	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x661527…
06-19 04:39:20	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x09c592…
06-19 04:37:43	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xd7ab1f…
06-19 04:37:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3f8c29…
06-19 04:37:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0x237bba…
06-19 03:00:01	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x727d1d…
06-14 21:16:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0x458549…
06-05 17:52:21	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x0c1642…
06-05 17:49:52	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x9b3e32…
06-05 15:11:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x8d23bc…
06-05 15:05:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x274a7f…
06-05 13:53:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xa1744f…
06-05 13:48:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x0d36fc…
06-05 13:12:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xab06be…
06-05 13:09:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa6d2fb…
06-05 12:01:10	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0x307158…
06-05 11:59:09	will spy dip to 750 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x9c5f9c…
05-16 08:15:34	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$59	0x2032bf…
05-16 07:54:29	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xb56e07…
05-14 02:06:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x282c06…
05-14 02:06:26	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x2e89cb…
05-14 01:37:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc4dafc…
05-14 01:31:31	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xcc28f3…
05-14 01:30:30	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2a720a…
05-14 01:26:16	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x53ec9b…
05-14 01:21:38	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6b4e20…
05-14 01:21:31	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4a9d49…
05-14 01:20:33	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xc0d8d9…
05-14 01:20:26	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x943067…
05-14 01:20:24	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2fe0d7…