Courteous-Lord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

Trades

419

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-31 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

29% 25% $-45

Tech

11% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	16	$1.2K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	07-07 03:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	12	$853	605	796	-191	open	—	07-30 00:18
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	8	$710	600	600	+0	open	—	07-19 04:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	8	$706	800	800	+0	open	—	07-31 04:36
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	4	$632	400	400	+0	open	—	07-19 09:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$616	400	400	+0	open	—	07-30 01:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	4	$552	400	400	+0	open	—	07-27 05:13
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	11	$424	606	406	+200	open	—	07-21 06:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-22 00:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 03:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	11	$378	400	400	+0	open	—	07-31 05:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	6	$360	500	500	+0	open	—	07-28 04:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 03:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 03:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$316	400	400	+0	open	—	07-21 05:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	6	$310	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 00:12
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	2	$268	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 07:09
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	6	$258	600	600	+0	open	—	07-22 20:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$246	311	311	+0	open	—	07-03 03:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 07:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$226	200	200	+0	open	—	07-27 08:27
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$216	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 21:59
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	7	$215	124	124	+0	open	—	07-02 04:09
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 07:28
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	6	$207	200	200	+0	open	—	07-22 14:38
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$200	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 06:47
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$193	160	38	+122	open	—	02-22 21:15
will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	2	$191	109	109	+0	open	—	07-02 03:25
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	4	$180	1,000	1,000	+0	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-40	05-12 01:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$172	200	200	+0	open	—	07-27 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 07:38:26	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x09dbfd…
07-31 06:42:56	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf08c3c…
07-31 05:36:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xa9621f…
07-31 04:36:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x2eae76…
07-31 04:36:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x713216…
07-31 04:36:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x30e44f…
07-30 02:24:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x0c263a…
07-30 01:46:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x3d2185…
07-30 01:38:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xb2a1ca…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xeeae64…
07-30 00:18:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	191	42¢	$80	0x1c07de…
07-28 06:40:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x69dfae…
07-28 06:33:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8755da…
07-28 05:48:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0f4ddb…
07-28 05:45:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xedc7b9…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xca4456…
07-28 05:20:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xcba394…
07-28 05:20:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x60bb6f…
07-28 05:20:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1a0749…
07-28 04:48:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x640e80…
07-28 04:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x7de7cd…
07-28 00:51:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfab34b…
07-27 10:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xef5a75…
07-27 08:27:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xe59da1…
07-27 08:08:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xa4a864…
07-27 07:03:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x452223…
07-27 06:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x8ba3f8…
07-27 05:47:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xd8e51d…
07-27 05:47:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x264815…
07-27 05:32:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x2223c8…
07-27 05:13:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x708bd0…
07-27 04:38:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x39e366…
07-25 08:21:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	174	58¢	$101	0xc73867…
07-25 08:14:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8ec295…
07-25 08:14:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8230fd…
07-25 08:14:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x2bb50f…
07-25 08:14:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4c178b…
07-25 07:42:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xe91fd7…
07-25 07:42:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xd0db4d…
07-25 07:39:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x30706f…
07-25 07:38:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x9a2999…
07-25 07:37:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x15d8c6…
07-25 07:37:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x812739…
07-25 07:19:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3cc38a…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:07:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xde271c…
07-25 05:07:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1b6546…
07-25 05:00:31	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x695606…
07-25 05:00:22	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xfc2fdf…
07-25 04:50:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xf1154e…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…
07-24 09:58:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x90ceb3…
07-24 07:59:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xdb3fc1…
07-24 07:40:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x6b0c71…
07-24 06:23:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xf67dd8…
07-23 05:12:27	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x87b4ba…
07-23 03:30:54	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70f100…
07-23 03:00:31	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x19009c…
07-23 03:00:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb75317…
07-23 03:00:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0xafb3e9…
07-22 20:34:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x50f808…
07-22 14:38:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	90	51¢	$46	0x0e06fa…
07-22 14:38:21	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x5b0759…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5ecfc8…
07-22 08:03:21	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xfbda06…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 05:36:37	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5e5807…
07-22 05:36:33	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x0793e1…
07-22 05:36:31	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb485ef…
07-22 04:09:30	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4f5c12…
07-22 01:16:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x364787…
07-22 00:05:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x27e1ad…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 05:47:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xa88b33…
07-21 05:45:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x00d16c…
07-21 05:45:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	41¢	$71	0x9eb118…
07-21 05:29:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3ac574…
07-21 04:08:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xca1654…
07-21 04:06:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xb430c4…
07-21 03:06:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x3c0ae9…
07-21 02:52:46	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x12e7e0…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-21 02:15:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x55e186…
07-21 02:15:48	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xdc45fa…
07-20 14:52:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	117	63¢	$74	0xa788bf…
07-20 14:43:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xa87c23…
07-20 11:26:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x337ae2…
07-20 11:18:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	69	63¢	$43	0xaa1cf1…
07-20 09:57:48	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xbdb9f1…
07-20 07:56:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1b2219…
07-20 07:31:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0ee00a…
07-20 07:30:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x86528d…
07-20 05:37:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xa66fc2…
07-20 05:37:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd1c6da…
07-20 01:14:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd24322…
07-19 14:56:15	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xb55bd1…
07-19 09:48:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x703eb9…
07-19 07:33:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7b82b6…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x95f494…