Amused-Notation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$480

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

2,650

Trades

7,038

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-12 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% -$569

Sports

1% 100% +$90

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:10 UTC	5	$460	298	276	+22	Up	-$5	02-16 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:55 UTC	4	$360	193	192	+1	Up	+$21	02-16 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:00 UTC	3	$347	179	179	+0	Down	+$8	02-16 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:25 UTC	4	$262	144	143	+1	Up	+$23	02-16 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:20 UTC	4	$257	139	139	+1	Up	+$18	02-16 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:05 UTC	3	$244	125	125	+0	Up	+$4	02-16 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 18:45 UTC	2	$220	227	0	+227	Down	+$7	02-16 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:25 UTC	2	$206	107	107	+0	Up	+$6	02-17 14:30
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$200	290	0	+290	Seahawks	+$90	01-29 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:15 UTC	7	$195	221	199	+22	Down	-$164	02-16 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 13:30 UTC	3	$175	130	106	+24	Down	+$36	02-16 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:35 UTC	3	$149	80	80	+0	Up	+$9	02-16 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:20 UTC	3	$148	85	84	+1	Up	+$18	02-16 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:55 UTC	42	$148	200	145	+55	Up	+$2	03-08 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:30 UTC	3	$148	79	78	+0	Up	+$8	02-16 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:05 UTC	4	$145	199	76	+123	Up	+$6	02-16 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:25 UTC	3	$145	76	76	+0	Up	+$5	02-17 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 13:50 UTC	3	$145	76	75	+0	Down	+$5	02-16 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 13:35 UTC	3	$141	93	72	+21	Down	+$22	02-16 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:25 UTC	2	$120	175	0	+175	Down	+$55	02-16 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:00 UTC	2	$112	63	62	+0	Up	+$12	02-17 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:35 UTC	2	$109	60	60	+0	Up	+$10	02-17 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:05 UTC	2	$107	58	58	+0	Down	+$7	02-16 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC	19	$106	110	57	+53	Up	-$10	03-08 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 12:40 UTC	2	$105	55	55	+0	Down	+$5	02-17 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 13:25 UTC	2	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	02-16 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:55 UTC	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 22:01
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	1	$100	281	0	+281	Yes	-$100	02-09 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:40 UTC	3	$92	277	22	+255	Up	-$48	02-16 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 10:55 UTC	1	$90	92	0	+92	Up	+$2	02-17 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xaed820…
05-12 14:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x51bf55…
05-12 14:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x7e1069…
05-12 14:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0c0f1f…
05-12 14:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xdf7aa8…
05-12 14:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x62b745…
05-12 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x5d2ff1…
05-12 11:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xd0835a…
05-12 11:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6585b0…
05-12 08:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x1bebad…
05-12 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x6f1221…
05-12 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2ed088…
05-12 05:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xf5c929…
05-12 05:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x663065…
05-12 04:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x43e3e1…
05-12 04:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x82e183…
05-12 02:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xb36ce4…
05-12 02:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xb7e564…
05-12 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x239b71…
05-12 02:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x0cfb21…
05-12 02:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x212118…
05-12 01:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb9db86…
05-12 01:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x20db5c…
05-12 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x6a6a22…
05-12 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xf2d323…
05-12 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x052a6f…
05-12 00:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xa83006…
05-11 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xf596b6…
05-11 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x37e181…
05-11 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xc13590…
05-11 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x30badf…
05-11 18:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xb26123…
05-11 18:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x805188…
05-11 17:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x0e58e6…
05-11 17:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x2fb882…
05-11 15:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x6a47c8…
05-11 15:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb64ed0…
05-11 14:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2b7ace…
05-11 14:58:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x59eac7…
05-11 14:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xda7e2e…
05-11 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xd6db5d…
05-11 14:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb256e5…
05-11 14:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbee66f…
05-11 14:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe184ca…
05-11 14:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd069bc…
05-11 14:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xdcaf38…
05-11 14:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x60360a…
05-11 09:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x6a7683…
05-11 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x97e316…
05-11 07:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xab4c27…
05-11 07:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa0dae2…
05-11 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdb815e…
05-11 06:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xea88ea…
05-11 06:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf76599…
05-11 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf5f6a9…
05-11 06:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xed9de1…
05-11 05:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xe10a7e…
05-11 05:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa78e14…
05-11 05:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x34f9b6…
05-11 05:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xeb0f08…
05-11 03:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x68b64f…
05-11 03:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0f6c19…
05-11 03:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xe28bb0…
05-11 03:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2627d9…
05-11 03:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xe4b0c6…
05-11 03:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe41d6b…
05-11 02:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xd36082…
05-11 02:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xa0ef08…
05-11 02:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xae7fb5…
05-11 02:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb404e1…
05-11 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xc2be5e…
05-11 01:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x40173c…
05-11 01:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x138c4b…
05-11 00:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe3e01e…
05-11 00:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x74b8ba…
05-10 23:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xeb52ed…
05-10 23:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x71c07b…
05-10 23:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x083132…
05-10 22:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x97f4e7…
05-10 22:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xac7627…
05-10 22:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x161f4b…
05-10 22:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x7b5f23…
05-10 22:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x28d20d…
05-10 21:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x830d70…
05-10 21:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1e8c00…
05-10 20:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8a2854…
05-10 20:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe8c852…
05-10 20:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x65387d…
05-10 20:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8c11fe…
05-10 18:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x5b6040…
05-10 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x46d4b4…
05-10 15:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x61857d…
05-10 15:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x07f632…
05-10 12:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x4aeb20…
05-10 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xfa055f…
05-10 12:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xa0a45c…
05-10 12:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x9b7c42…
05-10 11:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x46982f…
05-10 11:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb52ca4…
05-10 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x079500…