Mean-Nose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$245

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-09 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 33% +$1

Other

33% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	10	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	03-31 16:41
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	03-27 18:29
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-04 16:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 3	2	$11	7	6	+0	open	—	04-03 18:54
btc updown 5m 1775093100	3	$10	14	13	+1	open	—	04-02 01:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$9	12	11	+1	open	—	04-08 01:18
btc updown 15m 1772593200	4	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	03-04 03:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-02 02:20
btc updown 5m 1775092200	2	$7	10	9	+1	open	—	04-02 01:12
bitcoin above 68k on march 27	4	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 16:34
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 btts	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:21
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 11 2026 22c	4	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	03-11 15:45
ethereum up or down march 3 8pm et	3	$5	62	15	+48	open	—	03-04 01:55
btc updown 15m 1772594100	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 03:20
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 03:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 15:41
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 01:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 15:58
nba mem phi 2026 03 10	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 00:48
nba tor nop 2026 03 11 total 234pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-12 02:32
btc updown 15m 1772577900	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	03-03 22:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-15 01:50
btc updown 5m 1775091900	2	$3	14	13	+1	open	—	04-02 01:07
btc updown 5m 1775091300	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 00:57
btc updown 15m 1774982700	2	$3	4	3	+0	open	—	03-31 18:52
btc updown 15m 1775067300	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 18:28
btc updown 5m 1775094900	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 01:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	03-29 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 23:33:44	LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa438e1…
05-07 03:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x862167…
05-07 03:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x04b606…
05-07 03:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x07b013…
05-07 03:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x26974b…
05-07 02:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x10903d…
05-07 02:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58155c…
04-27 15:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x18b22c…
04-27 01:32:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xee4f66…
04-25 17:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd891e7…
04-25 04:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x46df84…
04-25 01:00:12	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf1f6df…
04-25 00:01:12	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdd2d2e…
04-24 02:33:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa80ce2…
04-23 00:17:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec2171…
04-17 15:58:46	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfad6e0…
04-16 19:05:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77d931…
04-16 19:03:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdf05df…
04-15 01:50:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x23a27b…
04-08 18:32:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c0b6d…
04-08 01:18:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xd7b31c…
04-07 20:33:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc64a4f…
04-07 20:30:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa81840…
04-07 20:07:45	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x74f1c3…
04-07 18:08:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xde4db5…
04-06 01:12:41	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf2fc6a…
04-05 21:21:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x39fe1a…
04-05 03:45:59	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x85fea1…
04-04 16:07:43	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4e9aa4…
04-04 04:32:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x3f1e78…
04-03 18:54:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 3	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c135f…
04-03 00:22:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 3	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x2615fd…
04-02 02:20:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd89066…
04-02 02:00:23	btc updown 5m 1775095200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb2145a…
04-02 01:56:33	btc updown 5m 1775094900	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xec247f…
04-02 01:55:35	btc updown 5m 1775094900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1ba0b9…
04-02 01:47:39	btc updown 5m 1775094300	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8c627e…
04-02 01:40:39	btc updown 5m 1775094000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb09293…
04-02 01:39:23	btc updown 5m 1775093700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ba801…
04-02 01:31:37	btc updown 5m 1775093400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa6db8c…
04-02 01:30:29	btc updown 5m 1775093400	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe5c060…
04-02 01:26:59	btc updown 5m 1775093100	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x09c57e…
04-02 01:26:21	btc updown 5m 1775093100	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xd364e0…
04-02 01:25:39	btc updown 5m 1775093100	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x64da19…
04-02 01:17:13	btc updown 5m 1775092500	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf9ac76…
04-02 01:12:31	btc updown 5m 1775092200	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x774cac…
04-02 01:11:13	btc updown 5m 1775092200	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe2da62…
04-02 01:07:27	btc updown 5m 1775091900	Up	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xde7bae…
04-02 01:06:05	btc updown 5m 1775091900	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x766efd…
04-02 01:01:11	btc updown 5m 1775091600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x07e9d4…
04-02 00:57:15	btc updown 5m 1775091300	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xdf7133…
04-02 00:56:07	btc updown 5m 1775091300	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3f3b4f…
04-01 21:00:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x49b4de…
04-01 19:13:41	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa80df1…
04-01 19:03:25	btc updown 15m 1775070000	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe3dedc…
04-01 19:01:55	btc updown 15m 1775070000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4f8105…
04-01 18:51:19	btc updown 15m 1775069100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e4c48…
04-01 18:36:23	btc updown 15m 1775068200	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf35dfe…
04-01 18:32:27	btc updown 15m 1775068200	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaef903…
04-01 18:28:13	btc updown 15m 1775067300	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0xad5dfa…
04-01 18:27:13	btc updown 15m 1775067300	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x84b171…
04-01 17:49:33	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xda0638…
03-31 23:35:05	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb5645f…
03-31 21:33:07	btc updown 15m 1774992600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6da77…
03-31 21:29:23	will iraq qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x393805…
03-31 21:25:47	btc updown 15m 1774991700	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb00d64…
03-31 21:17:35	btc updown 15m 1774991700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x70a5f8…
03-31 20:04:55	btc updown 15m 1774987200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac941e…
03-31 18:52:21	btc updown 15m 1774982700	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xd568d2…
03-31 18:47:03	btc updown 15m 1774982700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x25c2c9…
03-31 18:33:59	btc updown 15m 1774981800	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x2cc8f2…
03-31 18:32:17	btc updown 15m 1774981800	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc9d5ea…
03-31 18:19:41	btc updown 15m 1774980900	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x724e5c…
03-31 18:16:19	btc updown 15m 1774980900	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e1e53…
03-31 17:07:05	btc updown 15m 1774976400	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9e792c…
03-31 17:01:11	btc updown 15m 1774976400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa93e12…
03-31 16:41:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd94922…
03-31 16:35:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa3a0a2…
03-31 16:33:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x759cdb…
03-30 21:18:59	btc updown 15m 1774905300	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x92f08c…
03-30 21:17:39	btc updown 15m 1774905300	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x76387f…
03-30 20:58:05	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb20748…
03-30 20:26:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xddb424…
03-30 20:16:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdd84b0…
03-30 20:10:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd81462…
03-30 20:07:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x11bbad…
03-30 20:02:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdfb5c6…
03-30 19:11:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x60dd92…
03-30 19:08:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x84ce18…
03-30 18:51:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5425cb…
03-29 20:07:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xbbc837…
03-29 19:08:16	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc21228…
03-28 20:55:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6367d4…
03-28 20:53:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdfdb19…
03-28 20:40:22	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xad597b…
03-27 18:31:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1002f9…
03-27 18:29:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf098f6…
03-27 16:34:03	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4785f4…
03-26 20:54:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe97629…
03-26 20:50:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 27	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x9127f1…