Unselfish-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$250

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

107

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-25 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

67% 44% +$431

Politics

22% 18% -$75

Sports

7% 0% -$115

Tech

4% 67% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+47	$20	34¢	$16	-$4	10-24 17:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+133	$20	3¢	$4	-$16	09-08 21:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+22	$10	16¢	$3	-$7	09-20 23:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	2	$248	420	420	+0	Yes	+$228	09-04 14:13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$138	176	0	+176	Yes	+$14	06-20 20:03
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$115	3,948	0	+3,948	No	-$115	07-04 23:58
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	1	$100	114	0	+114	Yes	-$100	09-04 17:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$34	40	40	+0	No	+$24	10-19 14:20
Will Paloma Valencia place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$26	291	0	+291	Yes	-$26	05-31 03:20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	1	$25	62	0	+62	No	+$37	10-07 16:25
will openais astra model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher	1	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	+$9	09-04 17:57
Will Sergio Fajardo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$24	367	0	+367	No	-$24	05-31 03:20
Will voter turnout be 48-51% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$22	100	0	+100	No	-$22	05-31 03:09
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$20	90	0	+90	Yes	+$70	05-31 04:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	10-24 17:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	+$16	10-23 00:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$20	43	0	+43	No	+$23	10-07 16:26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	10-07 16:26
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	1	$20	32	0	+32	No	+$12	10-23 00:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$20	133	0	+133	open	—	09-08 21:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	+$9	10-07 16:26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	1	$20	45	0	+45	No	-$20	06-16 20:06
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	10-25 02:37
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	-$20	09-04 17:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	-$20	10-25 02:38
Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$16	150	0	+150	No	-$16	05-31 19:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	10-07 16:25
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$15	38	0	+38	Yes	-$15	10-11 19:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	+$10	10-23 00:27
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$15	34	0	+34	Yes	-$15	10-11 19:58
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	1	$15	136	0	+136	open	—	10-24 17:29
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	1	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	-$15	10-11 19:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$15	1,081	0	+1,081	No	-$15	09-20 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:38:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x8848ce…
10-25 02:37:27	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa3eff5…
10-25 02:37:17	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x18a324…
10-25 02:36:21	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x41dd1d…
10-25 02:35:48	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc738bb…
10-25 02:35:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	471	1¢	$5	0x411f41…
10-25 02:34:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfcc9c7…
10-25 01:31:27	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x09f452…
10-25 01:30:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x998190…
10-25 01:27:24	Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc48638…
10-25 01:26:57	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xaea04b…
10-24 17:30:06	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa5c400…
10-24 17:29:56	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x2ea275…
10-24 17:28:51	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf6ffbf…
10-24 17:28:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x8b3fb9…
10-24 17:27:18	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0b7aae…
10-24 17:27:11	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xc86278…
10-23 00:28:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x32c2c8…
10-23 00:27:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc10ecb…
10-23 00:27:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x932cf1…
10-23 00:27:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0c721a…
10-23 00:27:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xae5104…
10-19 14:20:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$29	0x74f502…
10-11 19:58:54	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xcb2a11…
10-11 19:58:39	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x149fbf…
10-11 19:58:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x12abb3…
10-07 16:26:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf15438…
10-07 16:26:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xff6171…
10-07 16:26:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x6e0d60…
10-07 16:26:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x81e2f3…
10-07 16:25:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x67c379…
10-07 16:25:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3f6926…
10-07 16:25:22	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x26e09e…
10-07 16:25:04	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x0175b4…
10-07 16:24:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc120ea…
10-07 16:24:16	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5d60d1…
09-30 19:31:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x713f55…
09-30 16:02:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xe3d0d1…
09-20 23:02:38	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x8200e0…
09-20 23:02:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x00e414…
09-20 23:00:40	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0f6da7…
09-20 22:59:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x10f764…
09-20 22:59:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x6d3c61…
09-20 22:59:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	593	2¢	$10	0x725cbe…
09-08 21:51:31	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x53a3f7…
09-04 17:57:54	will openais astra model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3ef8f4…
09-04 17:48:19	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x03abec…
09-04 17:47:15	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x575e72…
09-04 17:46:45	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x440fb3…
09-04 14:13:15	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	No	SELL	420	57¢	$238	0x09ee6a…
09-03 16:21:10	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0xb109de…
09-03 16:20:39	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	No	BUY	420	2¢	$10	0xa3da53…
09-03 16:16:01	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x337828…
07-05 00:02:32	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbfca54…
07-05 00:02:14	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd6de80…
07-05 00:01:59	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0613cd…
07-04 23:58:11	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,562	3¢	$50	0x185839…
07-04 17:16:29	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3c9b84…
07-04 17:16:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x079c00…
07-04 17:15:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd57224…
07-04 17:15:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0ceae7…
07-04 17:14:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf1ef8f…
07-04 17:14:17	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb3a229…
07-03 19:25:23	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x25bafa…
07-03 19:24:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6290cc…
07-01 14:39:53	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,786	3¢	$50	0x48f9bb…
06-30 14:05:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xba391e…
06-30 14:05:02	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcb36b3…
06-30 14:04:17	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x56e280…
06-30 14:04:04	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x17a3c9…
06-30 14:03:16	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x303a8f…
06-29 21:15:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa50ef0…
06-29 20:40:55	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$15	0xc88ffa…
06-29 20:40:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xeed61e…
06-29 20:39:38	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb09fc0…
06-29 20:39:28	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x49a26d…
06-29 20:38:44	Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfbb474…
06-29 20:38:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x447af4…
06-27 23:36:04	Portugal leading at halftime?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0cd1e2…
06-27 23:34:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb70586…
06-20 20:03:34	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	151	89¢	$135	0x0d2e28…
06-20 20:03:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xe3f4a2…
06-16 20:06:50	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xe0c6d2…
06-16 19:30:41	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x143503…
06-16 19:30:25	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6f8e5e…
06-16 19:30:17	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf9c41a…
06-16 19:29:31	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x753417…
06-16 19:29:04	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x77d470…
06-16 19:28:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf8a6c2…
06-15 19:50:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7d6ff8…
06-15 19:49:46	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xfefb2b…
06-15 19:48:51	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x5c58a0…
06-15 19:48:09	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe118c6…
06-15 19:48:01	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x4b4f5e…
06-15 19:46:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xce62f8…
06-15 19:46:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x27166c…
06-15 19:45:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x347e6a…
06-15 19:45:27	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8d4095…
06-15 19:45:21	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x458b6f…
06-01 21:07:01	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x47b6b6…