Realized P&L
+$177
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
54.3%
Resolved
442
Trades
1,049
lifetime
Volume
$15.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$169
19 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-27 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 44% +$45
Other
9% 44% +$93
Sports
2% 57% +$11
Politics
1% 75% +$27
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 -$1 10-22 14:34
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +50 $41 76¢ $38 -$3 10-26 03:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +25 $17 66¢ $17 $0 10-22 13:34
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +50 $14 27¢ $14 $0 10-22 16:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +25 $14 54¢ $14 -$1 10-25 17:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +24 $13 54¢ $13 +$0 10-25 22:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +26 $13 46¢ $12 -$1 10-22 15:06
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +25 $9 36¢ $9 $0 10-23 17:00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $7 29¢ $7 +$0 10-22 16:47
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down — +48 $14 2¢ $1 -$13 10-27 09:53
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-23 03:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 10-26 20:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +0 -$2 88¢ $0 +$2 10-24 18:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 10-24 19:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +0 -$1 64¢ $0 +$1 10-25 04:50
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +0 -$1 29¢ $0 +$1 10-26 22:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +0 $4 16¢ $0 -$4 10-26 13:30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 -$3 29¢ $0 +$3 10-26 14:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-26 14:36