Gullible-Impression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

6,052

Trades

12,741

lifetime

Volume

$82.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 09-13 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

65% 74% +$133

Crypto

35% 61% -$1,423

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:05 UTC	85	$306	185	180	+5	Up	+$3	06-28 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:30 UTC	110	$299	241	240	+1	Up	-$3	06-27 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 15?	3	$292	153	153	+0	No	+$12	08-15 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:15 UTC	98	$256	202	201	+1	Up	-$1	06-27 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	6	$228	125	125	+0	Yes	+$22	08-14 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?	3	$223	123	123	+0	No	+$23	08-21 04:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:00 UTC	89	$193	240	145	+95	Down	+$7	07-18 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:35 UTC	108	$193	244	189	+54	Up	-$36	07-18 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 19?	3	$179	104	104	+0	No	+$29	08-19 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	3	$167	87	87	+0	No	+$7	08-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 22?	6	$164	120	120	+0	No	-$21	08-23 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 13?	4	$164	89	89	+0	No	+$14	08-13 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 25?	7	$156	179	114	+64	No	-$124	08-25 21:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?	2	$155	86	86	+0	Yes	+$15	08-21 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 15?	3	$153	100	100	+0	Yes	+$45	08-15 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	5	$152	99	99	+0	No	-$8	08-14 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 15?	3	$150	81	81	+0	No	+$10	08-15 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	61	$141	150	119	+31	Up	+$1	06-28 17:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?	3	$140	160	0	+160	No	+$20	08-17 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	4	$140	78	78	+0	No	+$9	08-25 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:55 UTC	60	$139	210	65	+145	Up	+$1	07-18 22:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?	9	$138	113	113	+0	Yes	-$12	07-30 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	7	$138	98	98	+0	Yes	-$12	08-14 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 3?	4	$134	155	14	+140	Yes	+$15	09-03 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?	4	$132	89	89	+0	Yes	-$6	08-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?	3	$130	70	70	+0	No	+$10	08-12 12:11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 22?	3	$128	69	69	+0	No	+$8	08-22 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?	4	$127	104	104	+0	No	-$13	08-15 13:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	3	$127	67	67	+0	No	+$7	08-12 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	3	$126	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	08-12 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 19:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc286c3…
09-13 19:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdec21e…
09-13 19:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfd0732…
09-13 12:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0b1db5…
09-13 12:08:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4d2bf2…
09-13 11:29:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x2e1c10…
09-13 11:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdaf822…
09-13 10:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x426e0e…
09-13 10:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9251d6…
09-13 10:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9603c6…
09-13 10:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xeff1b1…
09-13 08:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbe6032…
09-13 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe60fd…
09-13 08:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5821a8…
09-13 00:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x581582…
09-13 00:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1a9a14…
09-12 22:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbcc9b1…
09-12 22:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 12?	No	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x65d415…
09-12 19:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x5c3c5b…
09-12 18:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x055f33…
09-12 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0x49e3cc…
09-12 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x42c713…
09-12 17:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 12?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xf5c115…
09-12 17:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 12?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x45bed0…
09-12 17:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6a8322…
09-12 16:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ff47e…
09-12 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x30da74…
09-12 09:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 13?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xacfb99…
09-12 09:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa273f7…
09-12 09:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x001291…
09-12 09:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7daafd…
09-12 09:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb0413c…
09-12 09:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7df027…
09-12 09:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3a21f0…
09-12 04:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe58d92…
09-12 04:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7a9774…
09-12 04:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x816a37…
09-12 04:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 12?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x72c59b…
09-12 03:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x6362fd…
09-12 03:04:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x835e4a…
09-12 03:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 12?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9fdede…
09-12 02:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x66321d…
09-12 02:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xfd6352…
09-12 00:10:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xb27ac7…
09-12 00:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x31b10f…
09-12 00:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xd155d1…
09-11 22:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x2d772e…
09-11 20:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 12?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xdc7188…
09-11 20:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 12?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0xa8e111…
09-11 19:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb2ba89…
09-11 18:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 12?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x200a09…
09-11 17:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 11?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x915a29…
09-11 15:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 12?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf6113c…
09-11 14:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 12?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x33fbc6…
09-11 14:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 11?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x76269e…
09-11 13:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0x50f0ad…
09-11 13:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x52bf25…
09-11 10:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 12?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xcf8de0…
09-11 10:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 11?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbce230…
09-11 08:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2e4fcf…
09-11 07:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1affa0…
09-11 05:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11?	No	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x21264d…
09-11 05:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xe90afb…
09-11 05:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbeaca9…
09-11 05:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 12?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x65ff6c…
09-11 05:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x4d135c…
09-11 05:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 11?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x79cd63…
09-11 04:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 12?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf0702e…
09-11 04:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 11?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x10eb4f…
09-11 04:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe376e2…
09-11 04:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdefebb…
09-11 04:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6e247e…
09-11 00:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x3cc392…
09-10 23:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8302e0…
09-10 17:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x73d98b…
09-10 17:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 10?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2d84d7…
09-10 16:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x4236ff…
09-10 16:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x193dcd…
09-10 15:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10?	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x369777…
09-10 12:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x07a832…
09-10 12:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 10?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x82f8d5…
09-10 12:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x6dc99e…
09-10 12:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 10?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xca2c94…
09-10 11:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xb7ae54…
09-10 11:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 11?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x77a15c…
09-10 11:51:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x162af8…
09-10 10:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb66da0…
09-10 10:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 10?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xef4f6b…
09-10 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 11?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xeae66b…
09-10 06:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf4df27…
09-10 04:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4def63…
09-10 04:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x3dc0de…
09-10 04:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 10?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfb1245…
09-10 02:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xc989e2…
09-10 02:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 10?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x73d49c…
09-10 00:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 11?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xdc0341…
09-10 00:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x85194d…
09-09 23:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 9?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe2a4b5…
09-09 21:57:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on September 9?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xff919c…
09-09 21:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 9?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xde6c48…