Noisy-Knickers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 05:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

81% 100% +$7

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Other

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.7K	1,875	1,875	+0	open	—	04-09 02:43
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.9K	1,866	0	+1,866	open	—	04-09 02:43
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	1	$108	112	0	+112	open	—	01-30 06:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$68	71	0	+71	open	—	06-10 05:33
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	1	$59	62	0	+62	open	—	01-30 06:56
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	01-18 02:37
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	1	$52	54	0	+54	open	—	01-30 06:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	01-27 06:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	05-28 01:15
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$47	34	34	+0	open	—	02-25 09:04
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 08:04
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$44	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 12:15
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 01:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	06-03 02:13
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$32	39	0	+39	open	—	03-05 02:38
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$31	0	33	-33	open	—	01-18 02:25
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	0	32	-32	open	—	05-28 01:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	04-30 08:04
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	03-14 02:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-30 08:07
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-04 02:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	05-28 01:15
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	05-28 01:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	01-27 06:35
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	03-20 10:35
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	0	23	-23	open	—	06-10 05:32
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	02-25 09:06
will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	1	$21	28	0	+28	open	—	01-27 06:35
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	1	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 12:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-28 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 05:33:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0xb687b2…
06-10 05:32:49	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x11888d…
06-03 02:15:31	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xe33606…
06-03 02:13:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x9e4a43…
05-28 01:15:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xcd1dad…
05-28 01:15:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x69be8f…
05-28 01:14:49	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x8cf3fe…
05-28 01:13:56	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x288ba3…
05-28 01:13:49	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x11d844…
05-19 13:17:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xaa7662…
05-19 13:17:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xeb4dc2…
05-19 13:01:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x4d525c…
05-19 13:01:25	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x03a789…
05-13 02:58:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x6521aa…
05-13 02:57:04	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xae1e02…
05-13 02:53:52	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x516dba…
05-05 02:52:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xa9d54e…
05-05 02:52:28	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xfbf233…
05-05 02:51:58	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xe2bae0…
04-30 08:14:04	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x0a64f1…
04-30 08:07:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x93adc1…
04-30 08:06:38	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xb41269…
04-30 08:04:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd00fc9…
04-30 08:04:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x1a479d…
04-20 10:55:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xecc45d…
04-20 10:54:08	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xacf4af…
04-20 10:52:44	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x2fd649…
04-16 12:16:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x6299bb…
04-16 12:16:30	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x38738e…
04-16 12:15:22	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0x9a4f66…
04-09 02:44:31	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x3bfb59…
04-09 02:43:55	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,866	100¢	$1,857	0x909d89…
04-09 02:43:15	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,875	99¢	$1,860	0x3e5900…
04-07 13:02:57	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0x7de600…
04-07 13:02:07	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,875	99¢	$1,852	0xb1e6ab…
04-04 12:23:01	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x89ef1d…
03-28 03:15:47	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x98b28e…
03-28 03:15:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe6c668…
03-28 03:15:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xbb799d…
03-20 10:37:43	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$19	0xba32e9…
03-20 10:35:29	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x4190da…
03-14 02:41:35	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x5500dc…
03-14 02:41:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa8cc23…
03-14 02:40:57	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x6266db…
03-05 02:38:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x4b3315…
03-05 02:37:51	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$16	0x9b970c…
02-25 09:06:12	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xc3aaf4…
02-25 09:05:12	us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x84d084…
02-25 09:04:16	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0xdbb80e…
02-17 12:20:41	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x71b3d2…
02-13 06:13:27	will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x273e40…
02-04 02:47:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x3457ed…
02-04 02:46:44	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0d0236…
02-04 02:46:14	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x3acdc7…
01-30 06:56:50	will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	Yes	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x7e2e24…
01-30 06:56:28	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	Yes	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xc8bd08…
01-30 06:53:56	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x0e7669…
01-27 06:35:41	will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x8c2494…
01-27 06:35:29	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x253331…
01-27 06:35:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd6bc13…
01-18 02:37:22	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x1058ab…
01-18 02:37:12	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$20	0x289001…
01-18 02:25:50	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x0daf7b…
01-06 05:28:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x5514f3…
01-01 12:38:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x586869…