Knobby-Liquid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,308

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-05 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 28% $-33

Other

17% 25% $-48

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	35	$1.1K	957	1,157	-200	open	—	05-08 16:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	10	$771	663	863	-200	open	—	05-11 15:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	18	$695	750	792	-42	open	—	05-11 15:59
bitcoin up or down march 3 6pm et	9	$385	272	272	+0	open	—	03-03 23:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	11	$212	400	400	+0	open	—	05-06 11:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?	5	$198	200	200	+0	No	$-14	05-08 18:09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	5	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 15:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	4	$190	200	200	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 05:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	9	$168	222	222	+0	open	—	05-06 23:30
bitcoin up or down march 4 12am et	3	$164	84	84	+0	open	—	03-04 05:53
bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	3	$127	68	68	+0	open	—	03-03 11:57
bitcoin up or down march 3 9am et	4	$127	67	67	+0	open	—	03-03 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 3 1pm et	2	$125	66	66	+0	open	—	03-03 18:53
bitcoin up or down march 3 7am et	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	03-03 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	2	$124	65	65	+0	open	—	03-03 09:52
bitcoin up or down march 3 7pm et	3	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	03-04 00:55
bitcoin up or down march 3 5pm et	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	03-03 23:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	4	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 15:59
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-05 08:02
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	4	$105	106	106	+0	open	—	05-05 17:51
bitcoin up or down march 4 7pm et	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	03-05 00:57
xrp up or down march 4 3pm et	2	$98	56	56	+0	open	—	03-04 20:52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	9	$98	53	84	-31	open	—	04-18 00:44
bitcoin up or down march 3 9pm et	4	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	03-04 02:52
highest temperature in chicago on february 21 2026 36 37f	7	$95	60	60	+0	open	—	02-21 21:39
btc updown 15m 1771389000	7	$95	71	47	+24	open	—	02-18 04:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$90	100	50	+50	Yes	$-10	05-10 20:17
highest temperature in atlanta on february 21 2026 65forbelow	19	$88	385	385	+0	open	—	02-21 04:16
ethereum up or down march 3 8pm et	2	$85	46	46	+0	open	—	03-04 01:56
ethereum up or down march 3 7pm et	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	03-04 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 04:25:19	btc updown 15m 1780632900	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xf29e73…
06-05 04:06:15	btc updown 15m 1780632000	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x2f51a6…
06-05 02:31:12	btc updown 15m 1780626600	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x5d19b7…
06-05 02:15:04	btc updown 15m 1780625700	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x547053…
06-05 00:32:27	btc updown 15m 1780619400	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8d8d34…
06-05 00:30:10	btc updown 15m 1780619400	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xda6052…
06-05 00:30:10	btc updown 15m 1780619400	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x475a59…
06-04 22:35:39	btc updown 15m 1780612200	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x7a0159…
06-04 22:09:06	btc updown 15m 1780610400	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x41e84b…
06-04 21:45:00	btc updown 15m 1780608600	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x4f757c…
06-04 19:30:13	btc updown 15m 1780601400	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x2684bb…
06-04 19:30:12	btc updown 15m 1780601400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x24db03…
06-04 14:00:28	btc updown 15m 1780581600	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x8e4f80…
06-04 13:49:16	btc updown 15m 1780580700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe171a5…
06-04 13:48:42	btc updown 15m 1780580700	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x81c084…
06-04 10:18:01	btc updown 15m 1780568100	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xfe43af…
06-04 09:32:10	btc updown 15m 1780565400	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xec6eb6…
06-04 09:32:09	btc updown 15m 1780565400	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x50568a…
06-04 08:16:16	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xda6546…
06-04 08:00:06	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xf1684f…
06-04 06:26:55	btc updown 15m 1780553700	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xd43dea…
06-04 05:53:13	bnb updown 15m 1780551900	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x8e10d1…
06-04 05:53:10	bnb updown 15m 1780551900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x68f4a6…
06-04 05:53:10	bnb updown 15m 1780551900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x67c61e…
06-04 02:11:25	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xbb4fc5…
06-04 02:11:25	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3d6358…
06-04 00:43:06	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdceff3…
06-04 00:43:06	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4fd952…
06-03 20:27:34	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf54d31…
06-03 20:27:34	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0cf2f2…
06-03 20:27:34	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x00f6b7…
06-03 20:10:52	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa6e5bb…
06-03 20:10:52	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1aeea9…
06-03 17:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x53e6fb…
06-03 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x0bd8f5…
06-03 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xef83c1…
06-03 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f2ebc…
06-03 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x50639b…
06-03 07:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x68035b…
06-03 07:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x23b22b…
06-03 04:41:07	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x2d9de9…
06-03 03:53:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xba8e3b…
06-03 03:53:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7a8674…
06-03 03:52:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xf46ad2…
06-03 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa5fbf9…
06-03 02:50:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x603ff7…
06-03 02:50:17	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x0de532…
06-03 02:37:24	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x44c370…
06-03 02:37:05	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd67607…
06-02 23:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x21d69d…
06-02 23:32:45	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd2c4ee…
06-02 23:32:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x5a2540…
06-02 23:32:45	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x0cdb46…
06-02 23:32:43	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x859cf0…
06-02 23:32:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x736aba…
06-02 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x7e8f9a…
06-02 23:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x965f23…
06-02 23:03:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5395a8…
06-02 23:01:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xf28d04…
06-02 23:00:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9ea85b…
06-02 23:00:41	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x369777…
06-02 23:00:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf4a828…
06-02 23:00:33	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xb0bcc1…
06-02 22:22:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xfe7910…
06-02 22:22:27	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x453048…
06-02 22:22:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xf5e29a…
06-02 22:22:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbabab3…
06-02 22:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x1e1b56…
06-02 20:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xdd4014…
06-02 19:30:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb0d4a6…
06-02 19:30:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf5a274…
06-02 19:12:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x0d53d7…
06-02 19:11:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xf5cef8…
06-02 19:11:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x885c96…
06-02 18:58:40	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x58af97…
06-02 18:58:33	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x306b6f…
06-02 18:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xf8835b…
06-02 18:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x965302…
06-02 18:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x96f106…
06-02 18:32:28	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x4302a9…
06-02 18:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x6f2e13…
06-02 18:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4073e8…
06-02 17:53:46	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xe579e1…
06-02 17:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x3756b3…
06-02 17:11:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x7e5eb8…
06-02 17:11:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6365ec…
06-02 15:18:34	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x2c00fe…
06-02 15:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xe6bc69…
06-02 15:08:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x20b2f9…
06-02 15:07:15	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x7c25bb…
06-02 06:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xe19d1d…
06-02 06:50:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x809c49…
06-02 06:48:27	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xa4dd01…
06-02 06:26:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5b5369…
06-02 06:26:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x123d0a…
06-02 06:05:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xdd554c…
06-02 06:04:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2b6f7c…
05-29 09:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x530bfe…
05-29 09:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1e1b54…
05-29 08:45:15	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x978ff1…