Polished-Radish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 3?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:28
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 26c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 14:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:27
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x053c0a…
10-30 14:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x227854…
10-29 17:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10242a…
10-29 09:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x762ed9…
10-28 07:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad9d7e…
10-27 08:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35dae8…
10-26 09:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e6933…
10-24 11:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x864794…
10-22 10:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8320bb…
10-20 07:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe25c59…
10-19 09:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ffd20…
10-18 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0596d8…
10-17 15:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb70afc…
10-16 09:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b2a7e…
10-15 09:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44aeb4…
10-14 09:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99b076…
10-13 14:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x657e6c…
10-13 09:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa02faf…
10-12 09:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d06c…
10-11 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c811b…
10-08 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f3065…
10-07 15:22:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2dcf8…
10-06 08:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x018bb0…
10-05 01:56:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f7c45…
10-03 08:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7fb71…
10-02 11:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ef42c…
10-01 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x290987…
09-30 12:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x451019…
09-29 14:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17f99a…
09-28 09:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x623efd…
09-27 08:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc91c6…
09-25 12:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2beb0a…
09-24 08:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x851950…
09-23 07:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f7055…
09-22 08:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c59ad…
09-21 09:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa00058…
09-20 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bf9ed…
09-19 08:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc996dd…
09-18 06:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc139ce…
09-17 04:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa86bff…
09-16 08:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x171b1e…
09-15 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9f0ea…
09-14 08:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x843e9b…
09-12 16:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2a7e5…
09-11 07:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7a3ee…
09-10 08:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3a70b…
09-09 09:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ee7bc…
09-08 15:38:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc45b…
09-08 06:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd499c3…
09-07 08:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x473114…
09-06 17:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e9956…
09-06 09:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80b8ca…
09-05 01:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x316c0b…
09-03 15:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb3b2b…
09-02 07:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96ffe5…
08-30 09:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf120c5…
08-29 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x433c91…
08-28 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95e14b…
08-27 08:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a9fb4…
08-26 08:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45c95f…
08-25 09:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22be41…
08-24 10:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54398…
08-23 14:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12f86c…
08-22 08:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1abb26…
08-21 07:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x204106…
08-20 08:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dbfe2…
08-19 11:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x118e78…
08-18 08:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56eea8…
08-17 07:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ad4b…
08-16 11:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f9e3b…
08-15 09:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08846c…
08-14 06:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fea91…
08-13 08:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a8a1…
08-12 07:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0364d…
08-11 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb308e2…
08-10 07:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe24b20…
08-09 01:25:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69c56d…
08-08 07:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf66737…
08-07 01:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1127d…
08-06 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59d8e2…
08-05 07:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6ff7a…
08-04 08:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4581d…
08-03 07:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ce86a…
08-02 01:42:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f648…
08-01 07:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x060d8d…
07-31 13:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdde94…
07-30 06:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49a5e1…
07-29 07:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d44d8…
07-28 06:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c42bd…
07-27 08:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf03153…
07-26 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84a794…
07-25 08:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330984…
07-24 10:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ddc5c…
07-23 08:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0351f4…
07-22 02:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96184…
07-21 09:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8116c…
07-21 00:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b1175…
07-20 07:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4daa9d…
07-18 23:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29b5ea…
07-18 00:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x801372…