Clean-Disaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$6.22K

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$805

Open exposure

$25.5K

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-07 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

100% 33% -$1,269

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+188,617	$6,236	4¢	$6.6K	+$365	05-28 18:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+14,000	$7,235	36¢	$5.0K	-$2,265	09-22 01:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+12,905	$4,646	28¢	$3.5K	-$1,097	06-03 18:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+81,120	$3,180	4¢	$2.9K	-$300	05-28 18:25
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+205,414	$3,994	1¢	$2.8K	-$1,221	05-28 18:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+7,500	$3,689	32¢	$2.4K	-$1,251	09-22 01:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,723	$2,114	32¢	$1.5K	-$579	10-07 20:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	-7,174	-$691	8¢	$-538	+$153	09-17 19:16
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+25,000	$241	1¢	$188	-$53	05-28 23:56
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,938	$19	2¢	$48	+$29	05-28 18:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$7.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$200	06-01 23:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$7.2K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	09-22 01:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$7.0K	10,231	2,731	+7,500	open	—	09-22 01:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$6.2K	188,617	0	+188,617	open	—	05-28 18:23
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	6	$5.2K	8,648	8,648	-0	No	-$1,523	06-03 04:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$4.6K	12,905	0	+12,905	open	—	06-03 18:07
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$4.0K	205,414	0	+205,414	open	—	05-28 18:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$3.7K	18,082	18,082	+0	open	—	06-03 04:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$3.2K	81,120	0	+81,120	open	—	05-28 18:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	16	$2.3K	2,929	2,929	+0	open	—	06-01 23:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	6	$2.1K	4,723	0	+4,723	open	—	10-07 20:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	4	$1.7K	2,826	10,000	-7,174	open	—	09-17 19:16
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$1.4K	44,175	19,175	+25,000	open	—	05-28 23:56
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$1.1K	1,568	0	+1,568	Yes	+$454	05-28 20:27
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$280	757	757	+0	open	—	05-28 23:59
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$19	1,938	0	+1,938	open	—	05-28 18:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 20:42:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	723	34¢	$246	0x58c767…
10-07 20:41:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,785	34¢	$607	0x6e76f0…
09-22 01:16:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	38¢	$570	0xb90f1e…
09-22 01:16:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,413	38¢	$917	0x5c2c84…
09-22 01:14:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	2,500	37¢	$925	0xeb2e30…
09-17 19:16:10	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	7,500	10¢	$750	0x19280e…
06-03 18:07:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,905	36¢	$1,046	0x0feb42…
06-03 04:44:29	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	592	16¢	$95	0x47c578…
06-03 04:43:57	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	6,056	16¢	$987	0x4d6b28…
06-03 04:40:32	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18,082	4¢	$652	0xb4c647…
06-03 00:30:03	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	3,989	40¢	$1,596	0x3f9346…
06-03 00:29:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2,731	60¢	$1,638	0x3d4914…
06-03 00:27:00	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	12¢	$720	0x00cd54…
06-02 23:58:07	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	38¢	$760	0x7436d0…
06-02 23:45:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	2,500	54¢	$1,350	0xfa6883…
06-02 23:45:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10,000	36¢	$3,600	0x8a4fc9…
06-02 23:30:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,082	13¢	$271	0xb456a1…
06-02 23:07:12	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xb185b0…
06-02 23:04:20	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	4,617	38¢	$1,755	0xe39a13…
06-01 23:54:31	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	1,466	34¢	$498	0x15f4ba…
06-01 23:51:45	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5,000	76¢	$3,800	0x7e967b…
05-29 15:04:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0x1a2768…
05-29 11:38:13	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x6a9bda…
05-29 11:03:37	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xd1938e…
05-29 10:55:18	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x23c868…
05-29 10:55:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xe39cf0…
05-29 10:54:01	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd38597…
05-29 10:54:01	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0xcbb9f1…
05-29 10:54:01	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x5e1393…
05-29 10:33:31	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x741e1a…
05-29 10:31:08	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x982c9d…
05-29 08:22:53	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	52	42¢	$22	0xa86f35…
05-29 08:16:07	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	120	42¢	$50	0xd923be…
05-29 06:54:16	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	1,119	42¢	$470	0x66f3b7…
05-28 23:59:35	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	757	20¢	$148	0x690ce8…
05-28 23:58:02	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	2,500	18¢	$451	0xfc9255…
05-28 23:56:01	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19,175	3¢	$575	0x6d6da6…
05-28 23:47:48	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0xa6a508…
05-28 20:39:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x6b83e9…
05-28 20:36:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$134	0xb08764…
05-28 20:33:52	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	61¢	$180	0x7ea474…
05-28 20:27:10	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	383	73¢	$280	0x8aa0b9…
05-28 20:22:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4,961	61¢	$3,026	0xdd4384…
05-28 20:21:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,357	60¢	$814	0xfeb031…
05-28 20:01:23	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	452	72¢	$325	0x851d77…
05-28 19:52:46	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	732	69¢	$509	0xa04e60…
05-28 19:30:03	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	609	21¢	$128	0x90b72e…
05-28 19:29:42	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,500	21¢	$525	0x564172…
05-28 19:16:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	528	42¢	$222	0xde68ba…
05-28 19:12:02	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	2,401	42¢	$1,008	0x98f43d…
05-28 18:54:16	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	17¢	$132	0xa42b1b…
05-28 18:43:35	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6,891	21¢	$1,422	0x47eb1c…
05-28 18:26:05	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,938	1¢	$19	0x006e12…
05-28 18:25:15	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45,030	4¢	$1,801	0xba9971…
05-28 18:23:14	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	169,905	3¢	$5,701	0xefcc33…
05-28 18:22:04	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8,209	2¢	$135	0x9edfc0…
05-28 18:22:04	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	181,228	2¢	$3,619	0x8ea3e1…
05-28 18:19:19	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10,413	3¢	$303	0xe578f1…
05-28 18:19:19	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,222	3¢	$118	0x84d306…
05-28 18:19:19	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,077	3¢	$114	0x596bc0…
05-28 18:12:44	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15,978	2¢	$240	0xaffe41…
05-20 00:33:38	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8,280	4¢	$306	0x60edca…
05-20 00:33:05	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	27,182	2¢	$448	0x02f0f9…
05-20 00:32:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	5,000	56¢	$2,800	0xcde6b9…
05-19 19:58:21	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8,924	4¢	$343	0x6e0252…
05-19 19:58:21	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8,367	4¢	$310	0x4cf641…
05-19 19:58:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10,518	4¢	$420	0x33ea37…
05-19 19:57:50	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16,993	2¢	$368	0x292025…
05-08 19:43:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	55¢	$825	0xa8e15c…
05-08 19:41:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	729	21¢	$153	0x1f6b4d…
05-08 17:35:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	4,000	54¢	$2,160	0x099993…
05-05 20:59:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	2,097	17¢	$357	0x854bd1…