Smart-Harm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$507

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-21 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

47% 50% $-4

Politics

35% 50% $-14

Other

15% 100% +$24

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-500	$-18	4¢	$-18	$-1	07-21 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	3	$118	114	114	+0	Lakers	+$18	05-12 04:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$65	122	0	+122	open	—	05-14 12:54
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	1	$50	106	0	+106	Spurs	$-50	05-12 09:33
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)	1	$40	58	0	+58	Paul	+$18	05-07 19:43
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 22:18
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 13:40
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Small Business Summit?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	05-04 19:55
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$26	68	0	+68	Cavaliers	+$41	05-13 12:54
Will Trump say "Rudy" or "Giuliani" during Small Business Summit?	2	$23	33	0	+33	No	$-23	05-04 17:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$18	0	500	-500	open	—	07-21 20:39
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$16	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 16:04
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$13	100	0	+100	Thunder	$-13	05-12 04:09
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$12	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 00:58
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-05 18:03
Will "Innovation" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	2	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	+$4	05-08 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 20:39:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0x3ca057…
05-15 22:18:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x53902c…
05-15 16:04:03	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xdff051…
05-14 14:00:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb96fa0…
05-14 13:40:04	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6b77aa…
05-14 12:54:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	122	53¢	$65	0xc2fbf2…
05-13 12:54:37	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	68	39¢	$26	0x5e82bb…
05-12 09:33:01	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xe3b928…
05-12 04:27:58	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	SELL	112	60¢	$67	0xc5d983…
05-12 04:27:51	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x45a1a8…
05-12 04:09:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x82a981…
05-11 19:20:01	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x57fb0c…
05-08 16:21:02	Will "Innovation" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc5bc34…
05-07 19:43:02	Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)	Paul	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x5fa931…
05-07 19:34:05	Will "Innovation" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x034582…
05-05 18:03:22	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x845ca3…
05-04 19:55:46	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc8a989…
05-04 18:13:12	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbb02ba…
05-04 17:24:28	Will Trump say "Rudy" or "Giuliani" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x222e96…
05-04 17:19:10	Will Trump say "Rudy" or "Giuliani" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x249725…
05-04 17:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc4cd30…
04-30 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x272bc7…
04-30 00:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3a592d…