Glorious-Recreation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$278

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

732

Trades

13,126

lifetime

Volume

$1.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$2.29K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

93% 60% -$9,463

Politics

3% 51% -$5,679

Sports

3% 63% +$521

Crypto

1% 49% -$258

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,766	$1,581	97¢	$1.7K	+$133	10-21 04:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+425	$319	74¢	$317	-$2	10-21 10:39
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+750	$442	34¢	$259	-$184	10-19 10:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	$225	96¢	$0	-$225	09-19 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	660	$120.7K	127,955	127,955	+0	Yes	+$757	03-28 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	203	$43.4K	39,600	39,525	+75	No	-$702	04-21 19:55
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	34	$27.7K	18,922	18,922	+0	No	+$1,143	07-30 12:10
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	54	$27.5K	18,094	18,094	+0	Up	+$2,986	03-23 14:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	91	$25.3K	16,668	16,668	+0	Down	+$1,824	04-30 20:59
wti up or down on june 8 2026	77	$23.6K	13,506	13,506	+0	Up	-$256	06-08 20:59
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	68	$21.6K	19,006	18,366	+640	Down	-$496	04-07 10:06
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	123	$21.4K	13,340	13,340	+0	No	+$279	06-26 20:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	89	$20.6K	20,486	20,486	+0	Down	-$533	05-13 21:00
lol g2 vit 2026 04 11	52	$20.4K	17,535	17,535	+0	Team Vitality	+$35	04-11 16:10
dota2 mouz tundra 2026 04 20	36	$19.1K	16,192	16,192	+0	MOUZ	+$55	04-20 19:38
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	84	$18.8K	21,050	21,050	+0	No	-$2,186	07-13 22:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	54	$18.5K	13,463	13,392	+71	Yes	-$71	04-16 11:02
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	107	$18.3K	22,566	22,566	+0	No	-$184	03-31 17:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	61	$18.1K	13,375	13,375	+0	Up	-$742	05-18 20:58
wti up or down on june 22 2026	78	$17.6K	13,746	13,746	+0	Down	-$429	06-22 20:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	26	$17.2K	11,567	8,088	+3,479	Down	+$646	05-08 19:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	54	$17.1K	15,840	14,524	+1,316	Up	-$174	05-04 19:08
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	60	$16.8K	17,569	14,444	+3,125	Yes	+$813	07-23 09:14
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	27	$16.2K	10,822	10,822	+0	Yes	+$541	06-24 13:46
wti up or down on june 17 2026	152	$15.4K	11,596	11,596	+0	Down	-$47	06-17 20:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	47	$15.2K	15,513	15,506	+7	No	+$336	04-09 15:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	51	$15.1K	10,166	10,166	+0	Up	+$318	05-19 20:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	113	$14.6K	9,700	9,700	+0	Up	+$1,192	05-15 17:29
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	44	$14.0K	8,828	8,828	+0	Up	+$821	04-01 13:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	275	$13.9K	80,386	79,224	+1,162	Yes	-$636	01-31 16:19
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	19	$13.9K	11,303	11,303	+0	Yes	-$122	07-21 13:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	60	$13.3K	13,757	13,564	+193	Yes	+$484	04-17 05:03
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	29	$13.2K	6,762	9,297	-2,535	No	-$97	01-02 16:50
wti up or down on april 22 2026	43	$12.6K	9,676	6,069	+3,607	Up	+$534	04-22 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:48:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x88df5d…
10-28 00:36:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	93	45¢	$42	0x15dd52…
10-28 00:00:26	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xf57c4e…
10-27 23:45:30	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd09bfb…
10-27 23:06:18	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x4ec5d2…
10-27 21:02:32	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd675e0…
10-27 20:59:09	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9da32c…
10-27 20:05:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	84¢	$68	0xfebe1f…
10-27 20:04:50	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	SELL	222	75¢	$166	0xee412e…
10-27 20:04:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x20925c…
10-27 19:39:29	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0xce4417…
10-27 19:08:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	496	25¢	$124	0xd3e36f…
10-27 19:07:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x2fa696…
10-27 19:07:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa4a938…
10-27 17:13:12	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xfdf032…
10-27 17:09:05	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x83e29b…
10-27 16:59:39	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xcb44de…
10-27 16:56:11	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x70e41f…
10-27 16:56:11	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5985f9…
10-27 16:33:23	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x2f0d79…
10-27 16:28:33	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x2c9996…
10-27 15:54:51	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	262	68¢	$178	0x93544d…
10-27 14:54:29	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb8eed8…
10-27 14:52:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7e64ed…
10-27 14:30:59	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	727	74¢	$538	0x2344de…
10-27 14:29:24	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x063cd6…
10-27 11:44:15	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xd0c3ae…
10-25 21:14:57	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1e7eca…
10-25 21:14:45	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0x0aadae…
10-25 21:13:30	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x203d85…
10-25 21:09:39	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$6	0x84c15b…
10-25 21:02:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x541dae…
10-25 20:59:11	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0xe2b8aa…
10-25 20:58:57	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	206	89¢	$183	0x0f1e90…
10-25 20:18:45	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7a7cbd…
10-25 20:16:44	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x277dd4…
10-25 20:16:42	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x79e9bd…
10-25 20:16:41	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xd709dc…
10-25 20:16:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2ccb1c…
10-25 20:16:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0x1dd6bb…
10-25 20:16:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x1ce1bd…
10-25 20:14:56	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x80f4f1…
10-25 20:14:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3adb9b…
10-25 20:14:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x692ec1…
10-25 20:14:32	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd5631d…
10-25 20:14:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdb18c2…
10-25 19:48:05	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0xba79fd…
10-25 19:47:39	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	102	68¢	$69	0x0d0270…
10-25 19:39:32	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0xa1d44b…
10-25 18:37:51	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x050b66…
10-25 18:33:42	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x11d230…
10-25 18:33:41	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa4b102…
10-25 18:33:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaf757d…
10-25 18:33:38	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c1d4b…
10-25 16:40:53	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xdbc3f5…
10-25 02:10:15	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0xcecf2d…
10-25 02:10:06	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	174	66¢	$115	0x676783…
10-25 02:01:05	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x8af716…
10-25 00:52:53	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x0358d8…
10-25 00:39:44	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x1527db…
10-25 00:39:33	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x6c5674…
10-25 00:39:26	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3fb98e…
10-24 22:22:11	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	750	50¢	$375	0x74c3b6…
10-24 20:31:09	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0xdb1b86…
10-23 20:32:08	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	368	100¢	$368	0x7db7e4…
10-23 18:46:27	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x530498…
10-23 18:38:41	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	750	41¢	$308	0xe4a42c…
10-23 00:31:42	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	220	25¢	$55	0xbbfa3e…
10-22 21:36:00	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x831aa2…
10-22 21:35:17	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc29766…
10-22 21:35:17	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b5e97…
10-22 21:35:15	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x4e502e…
10-22 21:15:57	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x840e9a…
10-22 21:15:50	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	42	49¢	$20	0xe67b4a…
10-22 21:11:09	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x0d31ce…
10-22 21:11:00	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x1e12a6…
10-22 21:04:42	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x628564…
10-22 21:02:14	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0xdcb596…
10-22 18:55:21	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	750	64¢	$480	0xc9c2ed…
10-22 17:04:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,227	58¢	$1,291	0xc92b1b…
10-22 16:59:03	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xd5655b…
10-22 16:51:54	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x207e34…
10-22 16:15:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x779bf5…
10-21 10:39:47	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	75¢	$319	0x83805b…
10-21 04:49:26	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	223	91¢	$203	0x55d0db…
10-21 04:44:17	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xdf2c42…
10-20 23:03:35	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	62¢	$465	0xc3d975…
10-20 17:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,250	65¢	$813	0xec54f5…
10-20 11:35:47	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x563521…
10-20 11:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x23b9a6…
10-20 11:15:42	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	90¢	$66	0x9fc558…
10-20 11:15:24	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	90¢	$1,125	0x0314ca…
10-20 09:01:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	750	50¢	$375	0x36f7dd…
10-19 22:02:10	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x3f6c8d…
10-19 21:52:19	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x0b9bc8…
10-19 21:39:51	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x5682bb…
10-19 21:38:09	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	59	38¢	$22	0xd1b9ff…
10-19 20:44:54	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x44df79…
10-19 20:43:23	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xd10a62…
10-19 19:08:35	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x685e84…