Lean-Pseudoscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

14,758

Trades

57,971

lifetime

Volume

$246.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-16 22:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$3,393

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 949 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 8 11am et	136	$1.2K	1,270	1,260	+10	Up	-$18	01-08 16:42
bitcoin up or down january 8 4pm et	113	$945	1,068	1,079	-11	Up	-$28	01-08 21:26
bitcoin up or down january 8 6am et	66	$870	2,362	1,124	+1,238	Down	-$140	01-08 12:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 15:45 UTC	47	$863	838	914	-76	Up	+$26	01-29 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:00 UTC	23	$820	668	596	+72	Down	+$2	01-21 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:40 UTC	227	$779	772	337	+435	Up	+$120	03-24 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:50 UTC	171	$722	607	239	+368	Up	+$51	03-24 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:20 UTC	162	$679	628	182	+445	Up	+$44	03-24 02:25
bitcoin up or down january 8 9am et	121	$664	850	784	+66	Up	+$28	01-08 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 15:15 UTC	126	$654	455	418	+38	Up	-$1	04-01 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 10:55 UTC	196	$541	561	409	+153	Up	+$55	03-23 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:00 UTC	22	$541	470	445	+26	Up	+$34	04-20 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:15 UTC	31	$539	489	486	+3	Down	+$5	01-21 20:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:45 UTC	20	$532	428	426	+2	Up	+$12	01-21 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	167	$513	569	248	+321	Up	+$121	03-24 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:15 UTC	31	$482	885	45	+840	Down	+$40	01-19 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:35 UTC	14	$460	417	404	+13	Down	+$5	04-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:30 UTC	8	$460	419	277	+142	Up	+$47	01-21 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:35 UTC	143	$459	550	160	+390	Down	-$279	03-24 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:00 UTC	161	$450	448	302	+146	Up	+$55	03-24 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:40 UTC	20	$443	407	386	+21	Down	-$2	04-20 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:25 UTC	12	$439	556	531	+26	Up	+$50	04-20 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 12:00 UTC	13	$435	425	370	+55	Up	-$12	01-17 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:55 UTC	134	$413	427	233	+193	Up	-$12	03-24 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:30 UTC	12	$401	385	371	+13	Down	+$12	04-20 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:40 UTC	40	$398	794	0	+794	Down	+$77	03-16 17:43
bitcoin up or down january 8 7pm et	80	$398	437	437	+0	Up	-$18	01-09 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:50 UTC	126	$392	370	239	+131	Up	-$68	03-24 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:55 UTC	17	$391	358	339	+19	Down	-$2	04-20 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:30 UTC	17	$377	527	51	+476	Up	-$42	01-19 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 22:06:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4ab71f…
10-16 22:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8680fb…
10-16 22:06:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6b3a6f…
10-16 22:05:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa93ca8…
10-16 22:05:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5c5f4b…
10-16 22:05:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x10bdad…
10-16 21:58:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x92840a…
10-16 21:58:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5fdfb4…
10-16 21:58:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd35966…
10-16 21:57:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20625e…
10-16 21:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed8f06…
10-16 21:55:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x33664e…
10-16 21:55:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb0f71d…
10-16 21:54:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x93acf6…
10-16 21:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbe3e58…
10-16 21:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xea92f4…
10-16 21:51:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf9a9b1…
10-16 21:41:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd7dec0…
10-16 21:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb67ab2…
10-16 21:40:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfdc880…
10-16 21:40:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6ac2d4…
10-16 21:40:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf0ce97…
10-16 21:40:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe413a8…
10-16 21:40:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x44f66b…
10-16 21:40:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xda5719…
10-16 21:30:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x98cb04…
10-16 21:30:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4db16e…
10-16 21:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x033396…
10-16 21:28:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x997b44…
10-16 21:27:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd0f36c…
10-16 21:27:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xecdfea…
10-16 21:20:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x32e258…
10-16 21:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf0ac92…
10-16 21:20:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x307a9a…
10-16 21:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4b0e31…
10-16 21:19:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x84dd73…
10-16 21:18:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x12c470…
10-16 21:16:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0a8ec9…
10-16 21:05:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x327f1e…
10-16 21:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x30316d…
10-16 21:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa80b58…
10-16 21:05:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x118426…
10-16 21:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x56b120…
10-16 21:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1e9c5a…
10-16 21:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe24a5a…
10-16 20:57:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa26535…
10-16 20:57:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x69d3fa…
10-16 20:56:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x15a64c…
10-16 20:56:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x68f6e9…
10-16 20:55:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x31ba15…
10-16 20:55:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9f4af0…
10-16 20:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb0aa13…
10-16 20:47:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc27a52…
10-16 20:47:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8a7d69…
10-16 20:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf333aa…
10-16 20:47:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x443e94…
10-16 20:47:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x143d85…
10-16 20:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x79e138…
10-16 20:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2ced3b…
10-16 20:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x342aee…
10-16 20:35:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x10882e…
10-16 20:35:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5feb2b…
10-16 20:35:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x275840…
10-16 20:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22105b…
10-16 20:10:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb13563…
10-16 20:01:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbdcc75…
10-16 20:01:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6653cd…
10-16 20:00:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x11483c…
10-16 20:00:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd230a5…
10-16 20:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x74c646…
10-16 20:00:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5660c5…
10-16 19:58:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x4ec70f…
10-16 19:50:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf42cd0…
10-16 19:50:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa757b9…
10-16 19:50:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3b45ac…
10-16 19:50:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x388685…
10-16 19:50:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8d31cb…
10-16 19:50:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb1ba9…
10-16 19:50:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d80ea…
10-16 19:43:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x735aa6…
10-16 19:42:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x31eda3…
10-16 19:42:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd2ddf4…
10-16 19:41:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3050c3…
10-16 19:41:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3cead9…
10-16 19:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xad58fe…
10-16 19:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x850af4…
10-16 19:35:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x419eb0…
10-16 19:35:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5a2e6f…
10-16 19:31:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9b806e…
10-16 19:30:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc9b36f…
10-16 19:30:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x599671…
10-16 19:16:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9a1862…
10-16 19:16:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9dee95…
10-16 19:16:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x5357ed…
10-16 19:16:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x55df69…
10-16 19:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5e0dad…
10-16 19:16:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x188498…
10-16 19:16:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0ae71a…
10-16 18:22:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xccba2b…
10-16 18:22:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x039e75…