Huge-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$327

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

520

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-06 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 65% +$249

Other

42% 9% +$90

Politics

6% 0% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	25	$1.9K	1,162	1,162	+0	Up	$-19	05-05 17:07
will axiom be accused of insider trading	8	$1.4K	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	02-26 13:47
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	27	$790	513	613	-100	Up	$-32	05-05 07:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$595	6,769	0	+6,769	open	—	02-28 07:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$442	285	285	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 05:22
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$415	300	620	-320	Down	+$205	05-07 07:23
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	5	$401	302	302	+0	open	—	01-11 21:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	2	$394	300	300	+0	No	$-20	05-06 06:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$376	752	752	+0	Down	$-15	05-06 06:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$372	1,200	1,200	+0	No	$-12	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	9	$366	271	271	+0	Down	+$26	05-07 11:29
will company b be accused of insider trading	3	$331	779	220	+559	open	—	02-26 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	6	$330	167	228	-60	Down	+$9	05-07 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$295	180	157	+24	Up	+$15	05-05 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$269	248	248	+0	Down	+$54	05-13 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$246	146	146	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$209	145	145	+0	Up	+$23	05-09 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$205	105	105	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$196	157	157	+0	open	—	05-15 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$196	117	117	+0	Up	+$36	05-06 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$151	82	82	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$148	105	105	+0	Up	+$60	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$147	83	83	+0	Down	+$17	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	7	$144	170	98	+72	Up	$-15	05-09 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$138	82	82	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$128	69	69	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	3	$128	71	71	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$121	71	71	+0	Up	+$21	05-05 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$117	76	57	+19	Down	$-3	05-07 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$115	77	56	+21	Down	$-5	05-07 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 16:20:30	btc updown 5m 1780762800	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x438213…
06-06 15:08:30	solana up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4390e0…
06-06 15:07:34	solana up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3ca364…
06-06 15:06:15	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x617b81…
06-06 15:05:58	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1e3b85…
06-03 07:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1a5f6a…
06-03 07:27:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x8dcabe…
06-02 06:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x97e77f…
06-02 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe69bea…
06-02 06:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	31¢	$13	0x90896c…
06-02 06:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xb8cd9f…
06-02 06:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xea33b1…
06-02 06:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xcaec3f…
06-02 06:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x87c935…
06-02 06:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x385c19…
06-02 06:45:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xf3aea4…
06-02 06:43:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x685128…
06-02 06:43:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfd928d…
06-02 06:42:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0xe44404…
06-02 06:42:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xbc267b…
06-02 06:41:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc285b4…
06-02 06:41:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5ffdf5…
06-02 06:40:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe4eb54…
06-02 06:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb3ac93…
06-02 06:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7e1ddd…
06-02 06:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb68c2a…
06-02 06:04:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,558	1¢	$27	0xf06ae7…
06-02 06:03:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$25	0x1f0f50…
06-02 05:58:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	987	1¢	$6	0x383ed8…
05-25 20:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x152c16…
05-25 20:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xea2c22…
05-25 20:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x9261cc…
05-25 20:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc8aac0…
05-25 20:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6f14ce…
05-24 05:14:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2fecd7…
05-24 05:13:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x027e9d…
05-24 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xaabc4a…
05-21 15:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xae6d27…
05-21 15:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x00b152…
05-21 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa4623a…
05-21 15:38:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,260	1¢	$9	0x75f6fc…
05-21 15:33:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe151e1…
05-21 15:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	519	1¢	$3	0x7fd212…
05-21 15:18:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x628379…
05-21 15:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xcd49ab…
05-21 15:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$1	0x80313e…
05-21 15:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x27974b…
05-21 15:15:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0xcb68e7…
05-21 15:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x3beda1…
05-21 15:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x96af06…
05-21 15:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x463e71…
05-21 15:13:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x949531…
05-21 15:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x569027…
05-21 14:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x74193e…
05-21 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x325f8f…
05-21 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x377e8d…
05-21 14:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe4e75a…
05-21 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x20710c…
05-15 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0xdb1707…
05-15 17:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	63	7¢	$5	0xccdbbb…
05-15 17:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	72¢	$68	0x4e1884…
05-15 17:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdf621f…
05-15 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x86f9dd…
05-15 17:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9dd4f1…
05-15 17:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xea7119…
05-15 17:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x4e770f…
05-15 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0511db…
05-15 17:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb21bcf…
05-15 17:07:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xc23959…
05-14 05:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	967	0¢	$2	0x8076b4…
05-14 05:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	313	1¢	$2	0x068c20…
05-13 20:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$88	0x50acfb…
05-13 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x072c46…
05-13 20:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x480b93…
05-13 20:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2f07e1…
05-13 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa30303…
05-13 20:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x059545…
05-13 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x264701…
05-13 20:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xba473c…
05-13 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	69	4¢	$3	0x9d7891…
05-13 20:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0xab4789…
05-13 20:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x4ee0f1…
05-13 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0xe8cb3b…
05-13 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x19477e…
05-13 20:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe28071…
05-13 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xee1bd3…
05-13 19:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5348dd…
05-13 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x361224…
05-13 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc1dd89…
05-13 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd970c6…
05-13 19:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf5ee7f…
05-13 19:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9bb28f…
05-13 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3eb6d3…
05-13 19:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xa965fd…
05-13 19:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x46ff1c…
05-13 19:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe3ebd1…
05-13 19:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9c4e82…
05-13 17:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xe8b65a…
05-13 17:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	105	42¢	$44	0x5ef149…
05-13 17:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xc833aa…