Understated-Deployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$566

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

Trades

736

lifetime

Volume

$9.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-30 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 23% $-566

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$317	388	288	+100	Up	+$216	05-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$240	816	432	+385	Down	+$20	05-10 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$233	164	164	+0	Up	+$33	05-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$200	641	0	+641	open	—	05-30 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$191	663	321	+342	open	—	04-26 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$145	205	195	+10	open	—	04-26 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$141	114	114	+0	open	—	05-30 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$127	204	117	+88	open	—	04-26 08:54
btc updown 5m 1775626200	2	$116	231	0	+231	open	—	04-08 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	5	$111	195	158	+38	open	—	04-26 04:00
btc updown 5m 1775383800	2	$101	264	0	+264	open	—	04-05 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$100	343	0	+343	Up	$-100	05-09 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$100	435	0	+435	Down	$-100	05-10 08:40
btc updown 5m 1775584500	1	$87	253	0	+253	open	—	04-07 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$81	357	357	+0	Down	$-19	05-10 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$80	307	0	+307	Up	$-80	05-10 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$76	115	74	+41	open	—	05-01 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$76	526	0	+526	Down	$-76	05-05 19:52
btc updown 5m 1775381700	2	$70	427	0	+427	open	—	04-05 09:38
btc updown 5m 1775383500	4	$70	215	0	+215	open	—	04-05 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$64	163	163	+0	Down	$-36	05-10 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$63	408	0	+408	Up	$-63	05-10 08:18
btc updown 5m 1775382300	1	$61	203	0	+203	open	—	04-05 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$60	63	47	+16	open	—	04-26 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775634000	2	$60	138	0	+138	open	—	04-08 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$58	124	0	+124	Up	+$66	05-06 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$56	226	0	+226	Up	$-56	05-05 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$56	228	0	+228	open	—	04-26 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$53	50	50	+0	Up	+$43	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$50	223	0	+223	open	—	05-30 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x5f4297…
05-30 20:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x7a5b1e…
05-30 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4f4ee7…
05-30 19:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	224	22¢	$50	0xc22e8f…
05-30 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	344	15¢	$50	0xee8caa…
05-30 19:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	568	9¢	$50	0xf01bba…
05-30 19:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x89e954…
05-30 19:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	439	23¢	$100	0x4bc7bc…
05-30 19:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	86	26¢	$22	0x0de14e…
05-30 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x13072b…
05-30 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	507	6¢	$30	0x860d9e…
05-30 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	105	47¢	$50	0xc49d54…
05-30 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xd0ddc8…
05-30 18:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x533bca…
05-30 18:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x3b0bfa…
05-30 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	449	2¢	$9	0x8bd5b6…
05-30 17:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xbc4541…
05-30 17:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x0b158c…
05-30 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe6dae8…
05-30 17:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x357e30…
05-30 17:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc539ac…
05-30 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	144	21¢	$30	0x1cc26e…
05-30 17:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x2bdb66…
05-30 16:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	311	16¢	$50	0xfc149f…
05-30 16:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0x0595b1…
05-30 16:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x9def3a…
05-30 16:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x73fd4b…
05-30 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x455a53…
05-30 15:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x9aee64…
05-30 15:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	114	24¢	$27	0x9e33fd…
05-30 14:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x593857…
05-30 14:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x738dd9…
05-30 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xb6e7fb…
05-30 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x18364c…
05-30 14:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	208	14¢	$30	0x9b7f8b…
05-30 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	223	22¢	$50	0x5a5c25…
05-30 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x3283f8…
05-30 14:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbdba2c…
05-30 14:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	182	27¢	$50	0x94a9d5…
05-30 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x54bf98…
05-30 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x1c927e…
05-30 14:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xb871c0…
05-30 13:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xecdd84…
05-30 13:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x64153f…
05-30 13:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x2b4f2a…
05-30 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xce99a7…
05-30 13:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x77073d…
05-30 13:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xbb0b12…
05-30 12:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xabae4b…
05-30 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8a36cd…
05-30 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xaf12e1…
05-30 05:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc4a0ba…
05-30 05:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x424f85…
05-30 05:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd6191c…
05-27 16:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xd03af1…
05-27 16:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2fdd99…
05-19 18:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x0fd54f…
05-19 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa55343…
05-19 17:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x33bcec…
05-19 17:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6cd7d2…
05-19 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xf61d74…
05-19 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1b89d7…
05-19 17:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xa6ba25…
05-19 17:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0xdc944b…
05-19 17:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x693b0e…
05-10 09:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0x727291…
05-10 08:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	133	7¢	$9	0xd7838c…
05-10 08:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x2844d2…
05-10 08:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	550	9¢	$50	0xb93413…
05-10 08:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xd5d898…
05-10 08:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	163	9¢	$14	0xd75b24…
05-10 08:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	163	31¢	$50	0x059cc6…
05-10 08:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x3793bf…
05-10 08:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	432	30¢	$130	0x9e26a9…
05-10 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	432	23¢	$100	0x28e836…
05-10 08:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	109	9¢	$9	0xf3dafd…
05-10 08:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	299	18¢	$54	0xae5d63…
05-10 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	357	9¢	$31	0x0069f4…
05-10 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x701c7c…
05-10 08:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	307	26¢	$80	0xf31d70…
05-10 07:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	148	32¢	$47	0x8a4800…
05-10 07:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x712384…
05-10 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	189	18¢	$34	0x3b74d9…
05-10 07:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x1c72d2…
05-10 07:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x565265…
05-10 07:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfbd630…
05-10 07:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x68ea38…
05-10 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb304c7…
05-09 17:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0xc41d42…
05-09 17:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x987d8c…
05-09 17:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x3dae74…
05-09 17:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x10f159…
05-09 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x52c6e9…
05-09 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	72	93¢	$67	0x393191…
05-09 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	144	89¢	$128	0x63491a…
05-09 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	288	17¢	$49	0x061b67…
05-09 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x029c08…
05-09 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb20fc7…
05-09 17:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	193	6¢	$11	0x877a55…
05-09 17:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xded65f…