Wilted-Brace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$10.8K

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

113

Trades

1,302

lifetime

Volume

$421.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$323

Open exposure

$29.1K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-24 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 60% +$13,550

Other

19% 55% +$2,176

Politics

3% 88% +$942

Sports

1% 25% -$282

Tech

1% 50% +$318

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+17,083	$9,489	96¢	$16.4K	+$6,911	10-21 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+12,241	$8,550	95¢	$11.6K	+$3,079	10-24 09:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+1,200	$48	82¢	$990	+$942	10-21 16:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,200	$180	5¢	$56	-$124	09-15 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	16	$32.3K	32,083	15,000	+17,083	open	—	10-21 10:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	59	$28.5K	28,300	27,300	+1,000	No	-$2,173	09-15 09:45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	74	$20.2K	11,927	10,932	+996	No	+$2,448	05-28 00:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	41	$18.5K	9,795	9,795	+0	No	+$1,009	04-30 16:35
will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	297	$17.3K	13,456	12,613	+843	Yes	+$2,273	07-15 12:48
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	10	$15.6K	18,971	6,730	+12,241	open	—	10-24 09:50
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	5	$12.4K	9,515	8,015	+1,500	Yes	+$1,208	10-15 13:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	27	$12.4K	7,067	7,067	+0	No	+$1,281	05-18 14:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	12	$12.0K	8,150	8,150	+0	No	-$1,280	05-28 06:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	13	$10.8K	6,746	6,746	+0	Yes	+$2,529	06-02 15:25
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	29	$10.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$1,686	06-26 12:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$10.2K	14,053	0	+14,053	No	+$3,893	07-14 01:17
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	2	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$340	07-29 02:06
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	5	$9.6K	4,013	6,500	-2,487	No	+$859	06-25 13:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	5	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$415	07-31 14:50
will bitcoin dip to 62k april 6 12	5	$9.5K	6,409	4,000	+2,409	No	+$709	04-08 06:01
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	5	$8.3K	7,000	2,000	+5,000	No	+$674	03-22 21:20
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	53	$7.6K	4,601	5,026	-426	Yes	+$1,495	04-14 07:09
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	17	$7.4K	9,100	6,100	+3,000	Yes	+$316	09-21 01:22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	45	$7.3K	8,852	3,000	+5,852	No	+$1,004	04-28 14:35
will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	12	$6.9K	10,179	2,499	+7,680	Yes	-$3,220	08-14 16:26
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	24	$5.9K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	+$653	07-30 10:34
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	26	$5.6K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	+$46	04-17 16:42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$5.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$360	05-16 12:17
will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	6	$5.1K	3,068	3,068	+0	No	+$649	06-10 08:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	2	$4.8K	2,553	2,553	+0	No	+$235	08-29 06:38
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	13	$4.5K	5,401	0	+5,401	No	+$869	03-23 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	1	$4.0K	4,717	0	+4,717	Yes	+$717	10-07 02:04
will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	1	$3.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,100	07-01 22:50
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$3.9K	5,595	0	+5,595	No	+$1,733	06-10 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:18:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	953	5¢	$48	0x35cc63…
10-24 14:18:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x037da5…
10-24 09:50:48	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x916acd…
10-22 23:31:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	5,922	82¢	$4,868	0x544b2b…
10-22 08:47:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	6,369	79¢	$5,000	0x11eb20…
10-21 16:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,200	4¢	$48	0x85341f…
10-21 10:39:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,224	88¢	$1,957	0x8213c3…
10-21 10:12:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,776	88¢	$9,483	0x662cdc…
10-21 09:28:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5,371	19¢	$1,004	0xea24cd…
10-21 09:28:45	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5,180	59¢	$3,062	0x21830e…
10-17 03:20:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,500	4¢	$59	0xd7554b…
10-15 13:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0xac1327…
10-15 13:21:44	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	2,281	57¢	$1,300	0xf725b7…
10-15 03:31:32	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	8,015	85¢	$6,813	0x80f3aa…
10-09 21:57:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,083	83¢	$3,389	0x119dcd…
10-09 03:57:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	273	7¢	$18	0x992671…
10-08 12:53:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	3,680	54¢	$2,000	0xaef95d…
10-08 12:52:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,580	78¢	$2,000	0xe0eb4f…
10-08 07:17:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,227	7¢	$81	0xe7c29f…
10-07 14:56:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,190	68¢	$1,500	0x0dd905…
10-07 12:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,090	39¢	$1,200	0x83e609…
10-07 12:03:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,246	62¢	$2,000	0xa8ed04…
10-07 02:04:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,717	85¢	$4,000	0x615019…
10-07 01:58:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,496	28¢	$419	0x686563…
10-07 01:57:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x5ba390…
10-02 13:36:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,206	7¢	$84	0xc32f70…
10-02 13:35:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x07342d…
10-02 13:06:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,792	7¢	$125	0xfc275f…
10-02 13:00:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,000	82¢	$7,380	0xe8d07b…
09-30 12:35:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,871	67¢	$2,594	0xb51364…
09-30 12:34:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x95f36a…
09-30 12:33:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xb41444…
09-30 12:33:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	266	67¢	$178	0x8f6a5b…
09-30 12:30:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	67¢	$39	0xdbe1dd…
09-30 12:30:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,728	67¢	$1,158	0xeabae8…
09-28 14:38:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	353	32¢	$113	0x639746…
09-28 14:35:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,647	32¢	$847	0x035cb2…
09-28 05:23:24	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	137	90¢	$123	0xb7860a…
09-28 05:23:23	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xcbd788…
09-28 05:23:23	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xc902dd…
09-28 05:23:20	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x029389…
09-28 05:23:17	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xcd4256…
09-28 05:23:17	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb10679…
09-28 05:23:17	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	193	90¢	$174	0x0fa787…
09-28 05:16:42	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xe26f34…
09-28 05:16:39	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x7dd9c5…
09-28 05:12:26	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xcef294…
09-28 05:11:35	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	37	90¢	$34	0x815d18…
09-28 04:52:29	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	33	90¢	$29	0x92a584…
09-26 00:31:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	35¢	$1,050	0x7a2c1d…
09-25 15:46:02	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	355	77¢	$273	0x4b671d…
09-25 15:44:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xb602f6…
09-25 15:44:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x996cbd…
09-25 15:44:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x970ea9…
09-25 15:44:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x78d502…
09-25 15:44:06	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x50038a…
09-25 15:43:05	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x87a660…
09-25 14:33:17	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	45	77¢	$35	0xca4ede…
09-23 04:33:22	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	175	7¢	$12	0xaac0a6…
09-23 04:33:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	852	7¢	$60	0xc950c9…
09-23 04:32:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	973	7¢	$68	0x29ce8a…
09-22 08:31:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	302	45¢	$136	0x136d06…
09-22 08:29:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	237	45¢	$107	0xae418b…
09-22 08:29:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,461	45¢	$3,807	0xe0f057…
09-21 01:56:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	SELL	26	55¢	$15	0xe3000e…
09-21 01:22:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	1,585	10¢	$159	0xbc351e…
09-21 01:22:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	390	10¢	$39	0xec9575…
09-19 15:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xf78c8a…
09-19 01:00:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	910	15¢	$136	0x7f73d1…
09-19 01:00:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	90	15¢	$14	0x54d65e…
09-16 13:02:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	4,897	73¢	$3,575	0x58fc6f…
09-16 13:02:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x24efdd…
09-16 12:57:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xadd96e…
09-16 12:28:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x2cbde2…
09-15 13:40:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	15¢	$180	0xcf4566…
09-15 09:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xb3241e…
09-11 12:37:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,026	73¢	$1,479	0x42b548…
09-11 12:37:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd280ce…
09-11 12:37:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x701907…
09-11 12:37:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x2e0437…
09-11 12:37:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf6a89d…
09-11 12:37:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb755ed…
09-11 12:37:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb6f4f8…
09-11 12:37:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x708c31…
09-11 12:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xcdb9d3…
09-11 12:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x29383b…
09-11 06:33:27	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x505f0f…
09-11 04:59:10	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0x32724e…
09-11 04:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	4,885	61¢	$2,980	0xc88c7f…
09-11 03:36:12	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xceca3e…
09-11 03:16:49	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0xda43ef…
09-11 02:06:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x435b9c…
09-11 01:11:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	426	37¢	$158	0xfef259…
09-11 01:10:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0x28ef30…
09-11 01:08:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0xc60fc9…
09-11 01:01:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	264	37¢	$98	0x526588…
09-11 00:59:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x4aaf0b…
09-11 00:57:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xa70be1…
09-11 00:56:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	381	37¢	$141	0x5781ae…
09-11 00:56:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd18681…