Surprised-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$347

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-13 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 47% $-3

Other

13% — —

Politics

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773590100	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	03-15 15:58
btc updown 5m 1773591000	2	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	03-15 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	508	0	+508	Down	$-2	05-13 21:20
nhl sj ott 2026 03 15	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-15 22:14
btc updown 5m 1774124100	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-21 20:19
btc updown 5m 1773518700	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-12 20:16
btc updown 5m 1773525000	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 21:53
btc updown 5m 1773524700	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 21:49
btc updown 5m 1774794600	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 14:34
btc updown 5m 1774190100	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	03-22 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773519300	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-14 20:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	$-5	05-08 17:10
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	03-14 20:03
eth updown 5m 1773521400	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-14 20:50
will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-03 23:55
will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-15 19:51
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-15 19:50
btc updown 5m 1773520200	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 20:32
eth updown 5m 1773522300	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	03-14 21:06
btc updown 5m 1773521400	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 20:50
will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-14 21:03
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-14 20:03
btc updown 5m 1774133700	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-21 22:58
eth updown 5m 1773519300	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 20:17
Canada recession before 2027?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-14 20:04
btc updown 5m 1773591600	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-15 16:20
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-03 23:54
btc updown 5m 1773522300	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-14 21:05
eth updown 5m 1773518700	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	03-14 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 21:22:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe03f9b…
05-13 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3fd48f…
05-13 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0f13a1…
05-13 21:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0ff0e7…
05-13 21:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x467b2e…
05-12 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcbee3b…
05-12 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x78de06…
05-12 20:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe424b7…
05-10 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x68cf03…
05-10 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf65974…
05-10 19:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8cd2dd…
05-10 18:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1cfb61…
05-10 18:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe1cfc0…
05-10 18:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5ddfaf…
05-10 17:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x03a25a…
05-10 17:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe911ef…
05-09 15:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x033492…
05-08 17:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9271cb…
04-03 23:55:39	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa9b307…
04-03 23:54:49	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbe8ce5…
03-29 14:34:46	btc updown 5m 1774794600	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xe444ee…
03-29 14:32:02	btc updown 5m 1774794600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeae244…
03-29 14:29:16	btc updown 5m 1774794300	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x23f65d…
03-22 14:39:33	btc updown 5m 1774190100	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x38359c…
03-21 22:58:07	btc updown 5m 1774133700	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0336fe…
03-21 20:37:29	btc updown 5m 1774125300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9337d8…
03-21 20:19:37	btc updown 5m 1774124100	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x854a40…
03-21 19:28:57	btc updown 5m 1774121100	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xba0f3e…
03-17 17:08:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfad60f…
03-15 22:14:37	nhl sj ott 2026 03 15	Sharks	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x11603d…
03-15 22:14:21	nhl sj ott 2026 03 15	Senators	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf7f489…
03-15 19:51:21	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd3c3c9…
03-15 19:51:15	will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x184753…
03-15 19:50:51	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7b3c2b…
03-15 19:49:57	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd2e181…
03-15 16:20:45	btc updown 5m 1773591600	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9aaa35…
03-15 16:11:33	btc updown 5m 1773591000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x214c1a…
03-15 16:11:25	btc updown 5m 1773591000	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1fad7a…
03-15 16:08:43	btc updown 5m 1773590700	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x73e8d7…
03-15 16:08:03	eth updown 5m 1773590700	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x159a2f…
03-15 16:00:35	eth updown 5m 1773590400	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x481889…
03-15 15:58:47	btc updown 5m 1773590100	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4cda2c…
03-14 22:08:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xee3b3c…
03-14 22:02:45	btc updown 5m 1773525600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc0671e…
03-14 21:53:51	btc updown 5m 1773525000	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1558cb…
03-14 21:51:27	btc updown 5m 1773525000	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x580625…
03-14 21:49:23	btc updown 5m 1773524700	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x68dd9e…
03-14 21:45:55	eth updown 5m 1773524700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x65fb58…
03-14 21:45:35	btc updown 5m 1773524700	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe36f80…
03-14 21:43:37	eth updown 5m 1773524400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x618c08…
03-14 21:39:01	btc updown 5m 1773524100	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbf3a9d…
03-14 21:38:33	eth updown 5m 1773524100	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x147bf7…
03-14 21:32:35	btc updown 5m 1773523800	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb500b8…
03-14 21:26:59	btc updown 5m 1773523500	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa9464f…
03-14 21:26:47	eth updown 5m 1773523500	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcc4370…
03-14 21:06:01	eth updown 5m 1773522300	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x441c27…
03-14 21:05:45	btc updown 5m 1773522300	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7d38b0…
03-14 21:03:47	will trump say putin this week march 22	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x038317…
03-14 21:03:23	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x951f87…
03-14 20:59:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x00263d…
03-14 20:57:57	eth updown 5m 1773521700	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x14b7ba…
03-14 20:57:31	btc updown 5m 1773521700	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6af845…
03-14 20:50:57	eth updown 5m 1773521400	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x00438b…
03-14 20:50:39	btc updown 5m 1773521400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x369a21…
03-14 20:32:35	btc updown 5m 1773520200	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x00d585…
03-14 20:32:21	eth updown 5m 1773520200	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x96d576…
03-14 20:21:53	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xedfceb…
03-14 20:17:29	btc updown 5m 1773519300	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x23d768…
03-14 20:17:21	eth updown 5m 1773519300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x895743…
03-14 20:06:43	eth updown 5m 1773518700	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc3f636…
03-14 20:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773518700	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x91e579…
03-14 20:06:03	btc updown 5m 1773518700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x812e21…
03-14 20:04:15	Canada recession before 2027?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2569f3…
03-14 20:03:33	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4f07f5…
03-14 20:03:23	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8bc2d5…