Fuzzy-Discrimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

257

Trades

3,823

lifetime

Volume

$6.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-30 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$44

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 25 4pm et	59	$124	227	0	+227	open	—	02-25 21:53
btc updown 15m 1772134200	101	$98	98	50	+48	open	—	02-26 19:42
btc updown 4h 1772038800	17	$95	120	0	+120	open	—	02-25 20:02
btc updown 15m 1772135100	73	$76	52	33	+20	open	—	02-26 19:59
eth updown 15m 1772137800	58	$71	85	33	+52	open	—	02-26 20:44
btc updown 15m 1772136900	72	$63	72	35	+36	open	—	02-26 20:28
btc updown 15m 1772042400	2	$52	135	0	+135	open	—	02-25 18:01
sol updown 15m 1772136000	60	$51	43	20	+23	open	—	02-26 20:12
btc updown 15m 1772136000	45	$51	41	19	+22	open	—	02-26 20:12
eth updown 15m 1772136000	31	$43	35	17	+18	open	—	02-26 20:11
btc updown 15m 1772117100	21	$41	27	20	+7	open	—	02-26 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 25 3pm et	16	$40	72	0	+72	open	—	02-25 20:54
btc updown 5m 1772118600	18	$36	53	0	+53	open	—	02-26 15:14
eth updown 15m 1772134200	29	$36	32	17	+15	open	—	02-26 19:43
xrp updown 15m 1772134200	57	$34	42	18	+24	open	—	02-26 19:45
btc updown 5m 1772116200	11	$34	63	0	+63	open	—	02-26 14:33
btc updown 5m 1772188200	3	$33	70	0	+70	open	—	02-27 10:29
eth updown 15m 1771586100	17	$33	257	0	+257	open	—	02-20 11:29
eth updown 15m 1772136900	42	$33	42	13	+29	open	—	02-26 20:28
btc updown 15m 1772114400	36	$32	25	19	+5	open	—	02-26 14:14
bitcoin up or down february 21 1pm et	11	$31	47	0	+47	open	—	02-21 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$30	27	27	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 04:59
btc updown 5m 1772117400	18	$30	47	0	+47	open	—	02-26 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$29	25	25	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 12:52
btc updown 15m 1772116200	28	$28	27	14	+13	open	—	02-26 14:43
btc updown 15m 1772133300	27	$27	17	12	+5	open	—	02-26 19:29
sol updown 15m 1772134200	48	$27	23	12	+10	open	—	02-26 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	7	$26	51	0	+51	open	—	02-25 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$26	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$26	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 08:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2b0fd0…
05-30 08:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x760c81…
05-30 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9996cb…
05-30 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x75a9be…
05-29 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d1fd3…
05-29 23:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e6179…
05-29 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9597b…
05-29 15:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xebffdd…
05-29 15:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd67103…
05-29 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa74276…
05-29 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77e0f7…
05-29 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x41cb63…
05-29 08:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xecdc3f…
05-29 07:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf24b65…
05-29 07:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97f912…
05-29 07:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x430685…
05-29 07:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x12b9d4…
05-29 07:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78d622…
05-29 06:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d7b2e…
05-29 06:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61d5ca…
05-29 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f0444…
05-27 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc6fe6c…
05-27 02:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9f7e2b…
05-27 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xbb0e46…
05-27 01:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x142310…
05-27 01:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x46ce3f…
05-27 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e706d…
05-26 23:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xca2804…
05-26 23:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1ccf53…
05-26 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbda39f…
05-26 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb09f8e…
05-26 14:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe3f9d7…
05-26 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae02f2…
05-26 14:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc8a1af…
05-26 14:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdcf200…
05-26 13:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e308b…
05-26 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x425706…
05-26 12:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc2a76a…
05-26 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29787a…
05-26 12:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33396e…
05-26 12:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce7c4d…
05-26 12:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc02e1e…
05-26 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafc540…
05-26 11:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67148e…
05-26 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x20a5a8…
05-26 11:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05626d…
05-26 11:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf99eca…
05-26 11:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc0935a…
05-26 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6a42b2…
05-26 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x47fc3b…
05-26 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0e9c8d…
05-26 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35c3d0…
05-26 10:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xe9e7e6…
05-26 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3eb2a0…
05-26 10:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x5d42d5…
05-26 10:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x538823…
05-26 10:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x95aef7…
05-26 10:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf968ad…
05-26 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x85a0f0…
05-26 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x532522…
05-26 10:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbd8b2b…
05-26 10:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbf4f0…
05-26 09:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x461e17…
05-26 09:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x238ef3…
05-26 09:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x82e74e…
05-26 09:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x283f43…
05-26 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa635d5…
05-26 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc02513…
05-26 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78bed9…
05-26 09:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x9f01be…
05-26 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7714b3…
05-26 09:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6d7ec1…
05-26 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc15ecb…
05-26 09:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x194ef7…
05-26 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0fc871…
05-26 08:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb80eb8…
05-26 08:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69d0cb…
05-26 08:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x06d127…
05-26 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf8ad6d…
05-26 08:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x551ea0…
05-26 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99208d…
05-26 08:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x27d1e5…
05-26 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc198af…
05-26 08:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x66d134…
05-26 08:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd735db…
05-26 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xdbe90d…
05-26 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04ff0c…
05-26 08:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xaa1e17…
05-26 08:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe87262…
05-26 08:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3ffa06…
05-26 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc6f0aa…
05-26 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d007e…
05-26 07:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x575a1e…
05-26 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb4de59…
05-26 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaba2fa…
05-26 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xea9df7…
05-26 07:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x92206e…
05-26 07:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xccb731…
05-26 07:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x30e374…
05-26 07:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdff4dd…