Single-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-28 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2900 on january 8	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	01-08 03:16
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	01-12 03:38
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 340 359	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	01-03 08:46
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-20 09:38
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-12 03:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-21 07:06
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-06 06:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	05-19 01:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-08 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-12 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	05-24 07:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	05-28 09:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-01 08:02
ethereum above 2300 on february 9	1	$81	82	+82	open	—	02-09 09:46
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-30 09:10
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 340 359	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-09 09:05
bitcoin above 80k on march 27	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-26 06:41
bitcoin above 62k on april 5	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-05 01:56
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-16 07:18
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-24 03:18
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-18 11:07
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-17 05:20
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-03 01:56
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-25 07:17
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-27 09:45
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-14 03:16
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	01-30 01:34
will bitcoin reach 98k january 19 25	1	$4	2,000	+2,000	open	—	01-25 07:17
will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	1	$2	800	+800	open	—	01-03 08:46
will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-16 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 09:26:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xa75edf…
05-24 07:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc366c4…
05-19 01:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc1b7a1…
05-12 02:44:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xad5564…
05-08 03:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x61fe98…
04-27 09:45:48	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6cc0ca…
04-24 03:18:00	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1391f4…
04-18 11:07:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9acc29…
04-18 11:06:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x150e8e…
04-18 11:06:44	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fa18a…
04-14 03:16:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x49b055…
04-14 03:16:35	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8c38f…
04-14 03:16:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53aaff…
04-14 03:16:13	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf262…
04-14 03:16:01	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec9567…
04-09 09:05:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 340 359	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbff8b4…
04-09 09:05:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8978b7…
04-09 09:05:09	cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 80 99	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2ec1c…
04-05 01:56:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xb61d01…
04-05 01:56:21	will monash fodmap diet be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fb083…
04-05 01:31:29	ethereum above 1800 on april 5	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x669e4f…
03-30 09:10:56	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x5c795d…
03-26 06:41:03	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x92db94…
03-26 06:40:51	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x375ceb…
03-26 06:40:41	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x669c48…
03-20 09:38:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1e0c33…
03-16 07:18:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x500db2…
03-16 07:18:41	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x815701…
03-16 07:18:31	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde6b7d…
03-12 03:16:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x981792…
03-06 06:49:49	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x67ac36…
03-01 08:02:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x1ec289…
02-09 09:46:23	ethereum above 2300 on february 9	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0x993ee0…
02-03 01:56:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8d61a7…
01-30 01:34:32	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x8ddc38…
01-30 01:34:22	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf8f34…
01-30 01:34:12	will v2box v2ray client be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x947cfa…
01-30 01:34:00	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x955179…
01-25 07:17:54	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5da5c1…
01-25 07:17:44	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x167fa2…
01-25 07:17:24	will bitcoin reach 98k january 19 25	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x965106…
01-21 07:06:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xe0f9f5…
01-17 05:20:22	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4ce14d…
01-17 05:20:14	will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3dcaec…
01-17 05:20:00	will paprika recipe manager 3 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7147b5…
01-17 05:19:52	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x943dca…
01-12 03:38:00	bitcoin above 86k on january 12	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xa4999a…
01-08 03:16:43	ethereum above 2900 on january 8	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x09cad8…
01-03 08:46:25	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 340 359	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xdb81a4…
01-03 08:46:07	will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x281f7e…